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GALLUP: OBAMA'S EARLY VOTE ADVANTAGE COLLAPSES 22-POINTS OVER 2008
Breitbart Big Government ^ | October 30,2012 | JOHN NOLTE

Posted on 10/30/2012 8:19:18 AM PDT by Hojczyk

My pal Guy Benson found a juicy nugget that helps to bring more clarity to the news from Gallup yesterday that shows Romney leading Obama in the early vote by a full seven points, 52-45%. Almost exactly four years ago (October 28, 2008), according to Gallup,

Obama was massacring John McCain among early voters with a fifteen-point lead, 55-40%. That means, at least according to Gallup, that Obama's early vote advantage has dropped 22 points when compared to '08.

Benson also notes that the percentage of voters who have or intend to vote early was 33% in 2008 and remains at 33% today. As Don Surber said in this tweet, "People don't wait in line to vote for the status quo[.]"

In his email to me, Benson makes The Point: "Obama had a 55/40 lead on McCain with early voters in '08, but only led by 3 pts with the election day crowd. He ended up winning by 7 overall."

In other words, among those who actually voted on Election Day, Obama's advantage over McCain was only three-points. Obama won by seven overall because of the early vote margins he had accumulated. If Gallup is correct about 2012 and Romney being ahead by seven with early voters, that means Obama's in very deep trouble. Even polls that show Obama with a small lead in states like Ohio confirm Romney will win among those who vote on Election Day.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; gallup
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1 posted on 10/30/2012 8:19:18 AM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Early Voting: It isn’t just for Dimocrats anymore...


2 posted on 10/30/2012 8:26:10 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Hojczyk

The trend is our friend - and its a consistent one.


3 posted on 10/30/2012 8:27:55 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Early Voting: It isn’t just for Dimocrats anymore...


So True. We voted yesterday for R&R in Fla


4 posted on 10/30/2012 8:28:53 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: Hojczyk

Obama is like Beanie Babies.

All the rage for a while, and then....


5 posted on 10/30/2012 8:29:34 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: Hojczyk

Toast, he’s toast unless he can declare Martial Law due to widespread rioting on the Eastern Seaboard. I suspect they are assembling their allies at Occupy Wall Street, SEIU and the New Black Panther Party. We’ll know tonight which coarse Zero decides to take retirement to Hawaii, or Dictatorship.


6 posted on 10/30/2012 8:33:00 AM PDT by STD (“Cogito, ergo armatum sum)
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To: patriotspride

I still think early voting is a bad idea.

Someday a candidate is either going to die or get caught in a Jerry Sandusky-type scandal two weeks before the election, and still win based on the strength of votes cast early.

Then America will have its “oh, shiite!” moment.


7 posted on 10/30/2012 8:36:55 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: STD

“Toast, he’s toast unless he can declare Martial Law due to widespread rioting on the Eastern Seaboard. I suspect they are assembling their allies at Occupy Wall Street, SEIU and the New Black Panther Party.”

I suspect word has gone out to these groups to behave themselves. Pictures of minorities rioting and looting will only move the election results further toward Romney.


8 posted on 10/30/2012 8:43:47 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I still think early voting is a bad idea.

Someday a candidate is either going to die or get caught in a Jerry Sandusky-type scandal two weeks before the election, and still win based on the strength of votes cast early.

Then America will have its “oh, shiite!” moment.


Agree in principal. In todays case however our minds have been made up for
a long time, and the ballot is actually a 2 pager, front and back, with constitutional amendments involved.

We didn’t want to get caught waiting in long lines as people tried to decipher
what those meant, and delayed the process.


9 posted on 10/30/2012 8:46:50 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: Hojczyk

Perhaps early voters wanting to avoid long long long lines as was the case with Chick fil-a day


10 posted on 10/30/2012 8:49:14 AM PDT by Clay+Iron_Times (Psalms 118:9)
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To: Hojczyk

Early voting must be “racist”


11 posted on 10/30/2012 8:55:24 AM PDT by Michigander222
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To: PGR88

Bravo! That’s a good one.

Hopefully the base of the Democrat party realizes they are in a hopeless situation, and they don’t turn out.

Neither party, or the media, want the truth to come out about where this race really stands. The Dems can hardly afford to allow a total collapse in turnout, or they’ll even lose the dog catcher elections. The media needs the money, and the GOP doesn’t want its own base to come up short.

The first sign of trouble is going to come out of NH, when the GOP has a surprising advantage, in what was supposed to be an Obama lean.

The really, really big risk here, is not being prepared. It is incredibly important to have the right kind of food, beverage, and company to this historical election!


12 posted on 10/30/2012 8:57:09 AM PDT by Professional
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I never vote early. I always vote on election day and will this year.


13 posted on 10/30/2012 9:03:36 AM PDT by Halls (Jesus is my Lord and Savior)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

You make a valid point. But, conversely, my spouse and I already voted straight ticket so if the Lord takes us before election day we have left our vote for the sake of our progeny.


14 posted on 10/30/2012 9:10:37 AM PDT by Obadiah (The corrupt MSM is the enemy of the American people.)
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To: Hojczyk

It’s over but the cryin’...Obama voters from 2008 will not be going to the polls on November en masse as they did in 2008. Which means Romney by about 8% as Dick Morris has predicted.

November 6th will be National Obama Repudiation Day....


15 posted on 10/30/2012 9:11:42 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Clay+Iron_Times

The 2010 midterm elections, the recall election of Gov. Scott Walker in WI and the Chic-Fil-A Day are all indications of American’s strong urge to repudiate Obama and the libs for their misgoverning of America.

It will be a long time before they will be elected to high national office if you consider 2 terms for Romney-Ryan and then potentially 2 terms for Ryan-?...


16 posted on 10/30/2012 9:14:49 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Hojczyk
Not surprised by this at all. Sure, Obama is going to get his Democrat machine to turn out for him, but there's none of that starry-eyed "hope and change" enthusiasm that we saw four years ago.

Fortunately we do not see that kind of silliness applied to Romney/Ryan as well. I detest the cult of personality. We need competent leadership from our president, not presidents hanging out with rap stars and doing the Letterman show.

I don't want our president to be "cool" and hip (not that Obama was ever that). I just want somebody with private sector executive experience that can get the nation's economy moving in the right direction again.

17 posted on 10/30/2012 9:30:13 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: PGR88

Obama is like Beanie Babies.

All the rage for a while, and then....


Obama is the Milli Vanilli of American politics - all the rage until exposed as a fraud.


18 posted on 10/30/2012 9:33:43 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Professional

The base of the democratic party doesn’t think it’s remotely possible that Obama may actually lose.


19 posted on 10/30/2012 9:36:12 AM PDT by cdga5for4
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To: Hotlanta Mike

Ryan-West


20 posted on 10/30/2012 9:48:13 AM PDT by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
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To: Hojczyk

I’m only voting for local City Council races where the R’s have experience and connection over the Dems (although their plans are basically similar). Might even leave the Mourdock and Romney lines blank and even feel good about it in the morning. :)


21 posted on 10/30/2012 9:50:57 AM PDT by erlayman
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To: patriotspride

Candidates have died right before an election, but in at least one case, early voting didn’t have an impact. Democrat voters actually went to the polls on election day and voted for a dead man.

In 2000, Gov. Carnahan ran for a Senate seat from Missouri against incumbent Republican John Ashcroft. Only three weeks before election day, Carnahan was killed in a plane crash (along with his son, Randy Carnahan, who piloted the plane, and Chris Sifford, the governor’s chief of staff and campaign advisor). Due to the short time before the election, Missouri election law did not allow Carnahan’s name to be removed from the ballot. Acting Governor Roger B. Wilson announced that he would appoint Jean Carnahan if her husband were to win the election posthumously.

Out of respect, John Ashcroft suspended his campaign during the mourning period for Mel Carnahan. Jean Carnahan did not actively campaign, but announced that she intended to accept Acting Gov. Wilson’s appointment and filmed one campaign commercial.

The race between Ashcroft and Mel Carnahan had been close. Carnahan posthumously received the most votes by a slim margin — only 48,000 votes out of 2.36 million cast (51-48%) — and Mrs. Carnahan was appointed to the Senate in 2001. Although arguably under Missouri law Mel Carnahan could not win, since he was dead and therefore did not “live” in the state, and Ashcroft actually won (receiving the most votes of the legally qualified candidates), Ashcroft did not contest the election certification of the Democratic Secretary of State, possibly because no legal precedent had been set. The seat was therefore declared vacant and Jean was appointed although, under Missouri law, she would only serve until a special election could be held in 2002.


22 posted on 10/30/2012 9:59:05 AM PDT by randita
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To: Hojczyk

Quite heartening.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 10:00:24 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

“I still think early voting is a bad idea.”

Agree, however my complaint is with the early voting enabling more fraud, which is why IMO the Democrats pushed so hard for such voting in the first place. They can control the numbers they need to manufacture easier with early voting.


24 posted on 10/30/2012 10:04:57 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Hojczyk

what a shame, hurricane Sandy wiped out “early voting” (ballot stuffing) in Maryland and DC


25 posted on 10/30/2012 10:18:28 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age Takes a Toll: Please Have Exact Change)
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To: COUNTrecount

Ryan-West


Then after Ryan has exhausted his eligibility West can be elected as the truly first African American POTUS he actually had accomplishments prior to seeking public office...unlike some mocha affirmative action community organizer.


26 posted on 10/30/2012 10:21:53 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: Hojczyk; kingattax

Galloping Ping!


27 posted on 10/30/2012 10:53:10 AM PDT by left that other site (Worry is the Darkroom that Develops Negatives.)
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To: Hojczyk
Photobucket Pictures, Images and Photos...

Zero is going down!


28 posted on 10/30/2012 11:14:32 AM PDT by mandaladon (Hit the road Obama!)
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To: Hotlanta Mike

Yes!


29 posted on 10/30/2012 11:19:06 AM PDT by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
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To: PGR88

I think that Pet Rock is even more apropos comparison to the -bama fad than Beanie Baby. At least the Beanie Babies could entertain young children after their demise. I can’t recall what that crazy fad that involved growing some stupid green stuff on some shaped thingy was called, but that would be even better example.


30 posted on 10/30/2012 11:20:04 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: erlayman

Since you apparently don’t care about it much, I ask that you vote for the Republican candidates in your state on my behalf. At least in your state there is a chance it can make a difference, as opposed to here in NYState where my vote against the Dems is perpetually less noticeable than my extracting a cup of water from the ocean. Blame it on me if you have doubts the next morning or the next year.


31 posted on 10/30/2012 11:29:05 AM PDT by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: rockinqsranch

I think voting sh9uld require a DNA scan, a retina scan and a Biometric scan along with a private pin.

Voting is a damned sacred duty and should be protected at all costs and any fraud should be considered treason!


32 posted on 10/30/2012 11:31:58 AM PDT by GraceG
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To: Halls

same here.


33 posted on 10/30/2012 11:35:07 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: patriotspride

agreed early voting gives the left more times to vote


34 posted on 10/30/2012 11:36:08 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: Halls
I always vote on election day and will this year.

Me too. It's fun. I'd miss out on insulting the MoveOn.org kooks who set up booths nearby and spouting off my viewpoints with other loud mouths while waiting in line.

35 posted on 10/30/2012 11:42:00 AM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: cdga5for4
The base of the democratic party doesn’t think it’s remotely possible that Obama may actually lose.

You are absolutely right about that. I don't think they have any idea about what is about to hit them. The hurricane this week might be a Cat 1 but they are about to get slammed with a Cat 5 on Tuesday night.

36 posted on 10/30/2012 11:55:46 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: cdga5for4
The base of the democratic party doesn’t think it’s remotely possible that Obama may actually lose.

Well, after the election's over they'll gripe about how no one they knew voted for Romney.

37 posted on 10/30/2012 12:10:58 PM PDT by COBOL2Java (I'm not voting for Obama, so therefore I must be helping Romney!)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I voted last week after being invited to Yosemite for next Mon/Tue/Wed. Otherwise I’d be enjoying seeing my neighbors at the local polling place at the church down the street on election day.

I agree with your concern, though early voting does have its place.


38 posted on 10/30/2012 12:25:39 PM PDT by MarineBrat (Better dead than red!)
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To: Hojczyk

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map_race_changes.html

According to this, Obama will still win the electoral college vote unless Romney gets enough swing states. Among OH, FL, CA, FL, NC, IA and MI, which ones are we confident Romney will win ?


39 posted on 10/30/2012 12:33:50 PM PDT by emax
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To: erlayman
Might even leave the Mourdock and Romney lines blank and even feel good about it in the morning. :)

That sounds like a plan. Others will pick up your slack and do the heavy lifting for you.

40 posted on 10/30/2012 12:47:26 PM PDT by tnlibertarian (I am not going to vote for Romney..... I already have.)
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To: cdga5for4

That condition is actually a dangerous one for our country at this time.

Violence is more likely if 0bama’s defeat is a surprise.


41 posted on 10/30/2012 12:54:02 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Hojczyk

Voted by mail absentee. Best way.


42 posted on 10/30/2012 1:19:36 PM PDT by tellw
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To: Hotlanta Mike
Obama is the Milli Vanilli of American politics - all the rage until exposed as a fraud.

Tagline!

43 posted on 10/30/2012 1:27:27 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Hotlanta Mike
Photobucket
44 posted on 10/30/2012 1:29:20 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Hojczyk
COLLAPSES 22-POINTS OVER 2008

Yes, I suspect even the likes of McQueeg and Mrs. Palin would have had a chance this time.

Just as glad they're not running, though. It would be dicey, at best.

45 posted on 10/30/2012 1:52:32 PM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson)
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To: cdga5for4

The base of the democratic party doesn’t think it’s remotely possible that Obama may actually lose.
________________________________________________________

It is amazing isn’t it? The arrogance, the delusion, the snobbery, they feed off of each other in this weird surreal political circle jerk. They are blind to polls showing O behind and embrace everything that shows him ahead. When Mitt pulls ahead the headline is the race is tightening. But the headline is never that Mitt is winning. This isn’t only true with the usual MSM liberal crowd. I even see this on Fox as well. It’s like they just can’t wrap their pinheads around the idea that maybe,...just maybe...Obama is toast.

That is what is going to make election night so damn delicious. Can’t wait to watch MSNBC...I’m not sure which meltdown I’m looking more forward to, Chrissy’s or Lawrence’s.


46 posted on 10/30/2012 2:24:08 PM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: cdga5for4

The base of the democratic party doesn’t think it’s remotely possible that Obama may actually lose.
________________________________________________________

It is amazing isn’t it? The arrogance, the delusion, the snobbery, they feed off of each other in this weird surreal political circle jerk. They are blind to polls showing O behind and embrace everything that shows him ahead. When Mitt pulls ahead the headline is the race is tightening. But the headline is never that Mitt is winning. This isn’t only true with the usual MSM liberal crowd. I even see this on Fox as well. It’s like they just can’t wrap their pinheads around the idea that maybe,...just maybe...Obama is toast.

That is what is going to make election night so damn delicious. Can’t wait to watch MSNBC...I’m not sure which meltdown I’m looking more forward to, Chrissy’s or Lawrence’s.


47 posted on 10/30/2012 2:24:27 PM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: Halls

Me too!! I go to my polling place. Stand in line, get the ballot and PRAY! VOTE...get my “ I voted” sticker and come home. And I DROP THE BALLOT in the locked box personally!!!

Polly.....waving hi to you my friend!


48 posted on 10/30/2012 2:35:35 PM PDT by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: Buckeye McFrog
Early Voting: It isn’t just for Dimocrats anymore...

Ha! Now the dems will try to stop it.
49 posted on 10/30/2012 2:35:59 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Hojczyk
If Gallup is correct about 2012 and Romney being ahead by seven with early voters, that means Obama's in very deep trouble.

From your keyboard to God's ears.
50 posted on 10/30/2012 3:36:02 PM PDT by yorkiemom (Yorkie Moms 4 Ryan ; Ryan + Romney = Recovery)
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