That's really GOOD!
Posted on 10/30/2012 1:13:43 PM PDT by nhwingut
Two media-tracking sources say Mitt Romney's campaign has started reserving TV time in Pennsylvania for the final two days of the campaign, including Election Day.
The initial placements come as the pro-Romney super PAC Restore Our Future is buying over $2 million in time there, and as Crossroads is also going up with a buy over $600,000. The Obama campaign, forced to expend resources there, has responded with a defensive buy of over $600,000.
The Romney buy is intended to signal the campaign considers the state, which Republicans have made plays for in past presidential cycles but went for Democrats in 2004 and 2008, to be one that could be part of an expanded map. And some polls have shown tightening there.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
Maybe he ate a bad taco and was just trying to make it through interview. People can “seem” different ways due to circumstances beyond what they are talking about at the time.
Thank you. I was just responding to samkatz’s post when I saw yours. I heard Rove yesterday at a gathering in Denver on Hugh Hewitts’ show and his citation of how great the early #’s look in Ohio sounded anything but depressed.
I’m not sure what Rove was doing for samkats to think he was depressed.
Sorry Tony. I just saw your post after I posted mine. Didn’t meant to repeat what you said but obviously we’re thinking the same thing.
There are a lot of Pennsylvanians without power - most of them in the Philly area. If they don’t get power up and running in a couple of days, those people are going to be angry. Something will be the target of that anger and I think it will be the federal gubmint (just like Katrina).
In last year’s Halloween storm, a lot of people in northeastern PA were without power for days, not necessarily in rural areas.
No doubt Obama thinks he will benefit politically by the storm, but this is a double edged sword.
Romney may have decided that he's got his message out well enough in OH, and more ad buys would not convince anybody who was not already convinced by the prior ads.
It’s all good...try to read Rush’s transcripts today. No hand wringing, promise? :)
Also you probably get a little carry over from Western PA into Eastern Ohio on some of the stations.
I would seriously doubt at this point that there are any available slots to purchase in Ohio...I’m sure they were bought out long ago.
One said he had just gotten off the phone with a party muckety-muck in Minnesota who was in a full blown panic looking for more volunteers. Both DU posters acknowledged this wasn't good news, because it meant they were now having to go back and defend areas they thought were safely locked up.
...and unsurprisingly, very little discussion about polls...hehehe...
I agree with you. When people are grumpy on election day, it’s probably not a good day to be an incumbent. :)
To me that is the level of voter fraud if they are measuring it correctly
If only the Massachusetts-Mitt had not come in The Hillary of Massachusetts clothing.
Propping up the phony financial paradigm peddlers, won’t cut it.
Rove is a very good tactician and perfected micro-targeting. But he not as smart as he thinks he is about polling. He believes in them too much. In 2004, he shared the leak of the raw polls with Bush, on the flight from Texas to Ohio, telling the President he had been defeated. Bush took the “news” well and never let on that he “knew” he had been defeated. Turns out those raw polls were wrong. The model by which those polls were constructed wasn’t yet reconciled against the actual tabulation of the vote.
In one poll of 750, Rasmussen shows Romney up in Ohio by 2 points. Everybody else shows the state tied or Obama ahead by a few points, but below 50. Even if all these polls imbedded the correct turnout model, we would still have a decent chance of winning, as the incumbent is less than 50 percent and we’re the challenger.
But, there is also turnout uncertainty. The other poll-takers tend to imbed a 2008 turnout model if not in partisan mix, then in demographic mix which is effectively the same thing. But, we have lots of reasons to suspect that the turnout will be something in between 2004 and 2008. Rasmussen, who weights by a trailing average of partisan mix, may himself be understating Romney’s strength, as self-identification is a pretty fluid in Ohio since the state does not register voter by party.
Now, as to spreading the field: There are several considerations as to where to spend additional campaign dollars. Ohio is saturated. $2.6 million more in Ohio won’t have much effect. But, $2.6 million in Pennsylvania, countered by only $600,000 from the other side, can move the numbers a point or two. This might tilt the balance in Pennsylvania, providing insurance, precluding a lawsuit, and helping with a Senate race.
Real tower of strength, you are .. pffft !
lol....i remember from my college days reading, the rise and fall of the third reich. the last couple of days hitler was hoping a battalion was going to stop the allied army that was outide berlin. his generals, if i remember were lying to him just to avoid his wrath, and he kept saying, of the battalion, “where’s steiner”. hilarious if you are aww2 junkie.
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