This hurts Obama’s ground game in VA, PA and OH.
Step back from the ledge, and take a breath. Look at the macro picture.
Romney has been in a solid national lead for 3 weeks. In the 3-5 point range, with a Dem turnout model for 2008. Gallup early vote has him up 7 points. All the swing states are moving his way, and only Ohio is still questionable (although I am confident R will win OH). And Romney is expanding into PA, MI, WI, and MN.
Every poll shows greater repub enthusiasm. Gallup survey of over 10k voters (with a MOE of 1%) show a 15% swing in voter ID from 2008 Dem to 2012 Rep.
And why won’t the hurricane hurt Obama more than Romney? It’s impacting almost all blue states. Its a massive storm, but not katrina. All I have seen on TV is Bloomberg and Christi. And they are all talking about how their local resources are taking care of things. Nothing about federal response. We aren’t see National Guard vehicles on every street corner. Obama has actually been pretty invisible the last few days. And the people who are getting news, are getting local news on what is happening and what they should be doing to save their homes and their lives. They aren’t concerned about a press photo showing Obama monitoring their situation. And the 80% who aren’t directly impacted is 90% of Romneys votes and EVs.
How many signs do we need?