D+ oversampling of 13+ and O’s only up by +4?
This is wildly unrealistic! More accurate numbers would show Romney is actually ahead in PA! He will win there next week.
Considering that PA voter registration IS 50/37 in favor of the D’s, how exactly is this “oversampling”? Not every state has D’s and R’s registration exactly equal, despite what some morons assume (it keeps their math nice and simple).
The saving factor for the R’s is that our enthusiasm is greater than it was in 2008, and the Rats’ is less. But then there’s Massive Democrat Vote Fraud in Philly and elsewhere, which negates our enthusiasm bump.
Romney may pull this one out and hopefully drag Tom Smith over the finish line too, but anyone who is thinks Romney is really ahead in PA right now, much less ahead by a margin greater than MDVF, is delusional.