Posted on 10/31/2012 12:07:49 AM PDT by emax
it will be a miracle if b.o.
gets to 225
this puppy is over only issue is how many of those hideous rats (redundant i know) hang on in the senate.
“When you average the polls, Obama’s lead is 2 points. Comfortable lead? Think not.”
When you include crap polls in your average, the average is tainted. Real Clear Politics poll averages includes reputable Rasmussen and Gallup, but also ABC/CBS/NBC/CNN polls with their +4 to +9 over-sampled Dims. Rasmussen and Gallup are the only ones to be trusted with party breakdowns.
let me be clear on this....if Obama is severely down in support in Conn, PA, Minn, WI, Mich, Oregon, Washington, he is not going to win Ohio or any of the swing states for that matter, its just pure simple maths, you do not lose that big a slice of national support and go on to carry swing states.
The polls are being boosted to keep this race competitive til the end. Do not believe the media.
Whoa! I could live with that!
Last week, OHIO BASED auto-parts manufacturer Dana Holding Corporation warned employees of potential layoffs amid “looming concern” about the economy. President and CEO Roger Wood specifically mentioned the walloping burden of “increasing taxes on small businesses” and the need to “offset increased costs that are placed on us through new laws and regulations.”
OHIO ARE YOU LISTENING?
the momentum is with Romney and IMHO will continue. I look for some nice surprises on election night.
There was an article about accuracy of pollsters and Rasmussen was at the top. So look at that...Romney +2 :)
In 2008, two pollsters tied for being most accurate regarding the presidential election: Rasmussen and Pew.
Here is a rundown in PDF:
Fair enough. A much less frequently asked question is how is it looking for Republican Elections in Congress ? Do Republicans have a good chance at gaining a stronger majority in the House and possibly winning a majority in the Senate in this year’s Congressional elections ? This gets overlooked so much in light of such a heated election and I wish these elections - which are only marginally less important than the Presidential election - were not so severely overlooked.
As I watch this race, I am reminded of Secretariat.
... the huge crowds on Chick-fil-A appreciation day are signs that this election will be very bad for the Democrats.
That was actually when I realized Romney would win. The hatred of the Obama administration by those who understand the history and constitution of the US is so high that I expect HUGE voter turnout on the R side.
The polls are only hinting at it, but I expect a Romney landslide.
The sales force for IBM has a phrase: “Scorched earth sale”.
It is where a salesman does anything and everything possible, even if it destroys IBM’s reputation with the client, to get the sale. He pulls out all the stops and nothing is sacred.
I’m concerned that, not that it will do him any good, Obama will go for a scorched earth sale on election day. The desperation is obvious and he has made some statements that sound frighteningly like he is whipping up his base to take action if the nation has the audacity to “steal his presidency” from him.
I’m basing my comments on, based on what he has been saying the last couple of weeks, the kinds of things I expect him to say and do as he ramps it up the next week.
We’ll see.
Gallup said early voting nationwide is favoring Romney so even if Ohio is counter to this an Obama is wining early vote there it’s still NOT at 2008 levels. McCain won Election Day vote in OH but not enough to match Obama’s massive early vote.
Like everywhere else in the country, Ds are having a tough time find NEW supporters willing to vote. Enthusiasm is down. So it’s not as easy for Obama as you sound. Plus O is weak in many of his so-called fire wall states.
“let me be clear on this....if Obama is severely down in support in Conn, PA, Minn, WI, Mich, Oregon, Washington, he is not going to win Ohio or any of the swing states for that matter, its just pure simple maths, you do not lose that big a slice of national support and go on to carry swing states.
The polls are being boosted to keep this race competitive til the end. Do not believe the media.”
I AGRRE EVEN HERE IN CALIFORNIA IT IS WAY CLOSER THAN 2008... WONT HELP US WIN HERE BUT THAT IDEA ACROSS THE NATION HAS OBAMA LOSING THE CLOSE STATES AS THEY HAVE ALL TIGHTENED AND SOME WILL FLIP....
Two huge axlerod paid for polls were included in this average so just stop with the negative vibes. (Oddball, Kelly’s Heroes)
Just go look at the two outliers in this average and maybe you can stop whistling defeat. YOU are in a battle now... fire at the enemy and stop biting your nails.
LLS
Go look at the two outliers that skew this average and then buck up man! This is war... act like it and stop with the demoralization of those who are willing to fight. JESUS asked, “How many years can you add to your life with worry”?
It's amazing. All the hard evidence says Zero is so far behind his early vote # s that he has already lost OHZ, perhaps big. Yet you people keep looking at polls.
Absentee % point to big R win. D's up n absolute # s but so far behind 08 they can't make it up on Election Day.
You keep me sane, Larry. Thank God you are here to counteract the ubiquitous chicken littles.
QED...
Many of the polls included in the average are ones that outrageously oversampled Dems troll
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