According to CNN, nationwide, the 2008 turnout was D 31.3 to GOP 28.7, a +2.5 gap. In 2004, it was D 28.7 to GOP 30.0, a -1.3 gap.
Does ANYONE believe democrats are going to enjoy a much greater turnout in 2012 than in 2008? If the turnout is the same as in 2004, republicans are going to sweep the country. And I honestly think republicans will do better in 2012 than in 2004...
I think by mid-November, the pollsters are going to be re-evaluating how they conduct polling.
All these polls are so far off its silly IMHO.
I fully expect the turnout on election day to be R +3-4.