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To: goldstategop
Nate Silver is living in a fantasy world.

He sure stands to lose a LOT of credibility if he keeps his current stance and is proven wrong by a R+ turnout.

50 posted on 11/01/2012 7:50:30 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

Not likely.

He’ll blame it on a turnout that nobody expected and blame voter honesty in polling as the culprit.

Kind of like the MU Poll for WI yesterday...+8 Obama but even the pollster used the caveat that turnout could completely change it...not mentioning the BS skew he used of course.


59 posted on 11/01/2012 8:01:10 AM PDT by MNlurker
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To: SomeCallMeTim

Or maybe he’s got the inside track on the upcoming jobs number that shows a big improvement?


67 posted on 11/01/2012 8:11:33 AM PDT by paul544
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To: SomeCallMeTim

Nate’s model may be good. But his source data of skewed polls, messes it all up. His baseball stuff is different, because you are basing on a lot of historical data (HR, RBI, etc).


117 posted on 11/01/2012 5:37:39 PM PDT by gswilder
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