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GOP pollster: Romney up in Ohio, closing the gap in Wisconsin (R49, O46 in Ohio)
The Hill ^ | 11/1/2012 | Cameron Joseph

Posted on 11/01/2012 10:38:04 AM PDT by whitey righty

Mitt Romney has the lead in Ohio and trails narrowly in Wisconsin, according to a new poll for the Republican group Citizens United.

Romney leads Obama by 49 to 46 percent in Ohio, according to the poll, and trails Obama in Wisconsin by 49 to 47 percent, according to polling first obtained by The Hill.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; ohio; poll; polls; romney2012; wisconsin

1 posted on 11/01/2012 10:38:05 AM PDT by whitey righty
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To: whitey righty

I can’t wait to get this election over and stop reading about polls!


2 posted on 11/01/2012 10:39:09 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: whitey righty

This is large.


3 posted on 11/01/2012 10:40:57 AM PDT by Principled (Is 340 EVs too much to ask for?)
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To: ilovesarah2012

Following the polls is kind of fun. You’re doing it.


4 posted on 11/01/2012 10:41:06 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: whitey righty

From a post at The Hill:

Headline for Republican Poll:

Obviously Biased and Inaccurate Republican Poll Shows Romney Ahead Even though He Isn’t

Headline for Democrat Poll:

Pesident ahead in a poll so accurate that we have decided to just go ahead call the election for Obama.


5 posted on 11/01/2012 10:42:55 AM PDT by randita
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To: randita

First little trickle of water from the damn!


6 posted on 11/01/2012 10:48:31 AM PDT by Kahuna
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To: whitey righty

GOP pollster? No one is seeing this but us.


7 posted on 11/01/2012 10:48:38 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: whitey righty

Of course RCP will post the twisted PPP polls all day long, but this one will never see the light of day over there.


8 posted on 11/01/2012 10:48:53 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Pray hard!)
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To: randita
Obama's Information Minister sez:


"Dear Friends, the Republicans lie to you! We are well ahead in Iowa and Wisconsin. We will crush the right-wing troglodytes next week. We will prove Nate Silver and Intrade are on the money. You will all be astonished at the President's come from behind victory! Mitt Romney is a legend in his own mind!"

9 posted on 11/01/2012 10:54:58 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: johniegrad

I know but it’s driving me crazy! Romney is up - Obama is up - Ohio leaning Romney - leaning Obama. Romney has Florida wrapped up - Florida going for Obama. NC not in play - NC going for Romney!

AAAHHHHGGGGG!!!!!!


10 posted on 11/01/2012 11:00:13 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: LS; SoftwareEngineer; Perdogg; nhwingut; Ravi

Ping

This is a D+5 poll and without rounding has R up 3.5 points.

http://www.wenzelstrategies.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/CU-Ohio-Statewide-Poll-Topline-Report-11-1-2012.pdf


11 posted on 11/01/2012 11:04:00 AM PDT by tatown (Obama was right, it was a 'one term proposition')
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To: ilovesarah2012

Here are the internals

D=37
R=32
I=30

In other words Romney is leading with D+5!!!!!


12 posted on 11/01/2012 11:07:05 AM PDT by Anti-Hillary (Barry, Barry quite contrary, how does your government grow?...)
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To: Anti-Hillary

Those pesky internals!
Thanks very much, sweet you!


13 posted on 11/01/2012 11:10:00 AM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: whitey righty
This poll jibes with Rasmussen’s Ohio pol on October 29

Things are looking good!

14 posted on 11/01/2012 11:38:41 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: whitey righty

With less than a week to go before Election Day, about 1.1 million Colorado voters have already turned in ballots, according to state election data released Wednesday.

Registered Republicans in the state were slightly ahead of Democrats in casting mail-in ballots. The statewide tally of 1,150,698 includes 439,269 Republican; 404,870 Democrats; and 295,122 independents.

Read more: Colorado Republicans lead Democrats in early voting with 1.1 million ballots cast - The Denver Post http://www.denverpost.com/breakingnews/ci_21897135/colorado-republicans-lead-democrats-early-voting-1-1#ixzz2Azucdqet


15 posted on 11/01/2012 11:43:23 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: TornadoAlley3

OH seems to be trending to Romney. This with the RAS +2 poll earlier in the week, sounds good.


16 posted on 11/01/2012 12:09:17 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: whitey righty

Someone in another thread this was posted says this was done by a Republican pollster so it doesn’t mean much


17 posted on 11/01/2012 12:25:48 PM PDT by zt1053
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To: whitey righty

Someone in another thread this was posted says this was done by a Republican pollster so it doesn’t mean much


18 posted on 11/01/2012 12:25:50 PM PDT by zt1053
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To: whitey righty

Me too.. especially when the outcome has been obvious since January.

Romney will win OH and win it handily, at least 4 points, and will win the national vote by a huge margin. The very idea this is or was going to be a close race is nonsense! McCain and Dole had more of a chance winning their runs for hte White House respectively and Obama does this one.

The whole damned thing is bread and circuses.


19 posted on 11/01/2012 12:31:23 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Anti-Hillary

R is leading by huge margins folks.. fight like its neck and neck, but be serious.

Turnout isn’t going to be D+3 or even D+0 I fully expect R+3 or more will be the national turnout on election day.

I fully expect Romney’s lead with Indies to be close to 2-1 on election day.

This is going to be a blowout the likes of which a sitting president hasn’t seen since 1932 Hoover re-election bid.


20 posted on 11/01/2012 12:34:00 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: whitey righty
Video: Clear Eyes, Full Hearts - Ohio

Ohioans are looking for real change. In 2012, the man and the moment have met perfectly. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan will lead in Washington and take back our country. Clear eyes. Full hearts. Ohio can't lose.
21 posted on 11/01/2012 1:01:17 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: johniegrad
Following the polls is kind of fun. You’re doing it.

It's addictive. There's probably going to be mass crankiness after the election due to poll withdrawals. Some might even resort to getting their poll high from posting reality programming votes, only to get zotted.
22 posted on 11/01/2012 1:19:06 PM PDT by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: tatown

One of the more interesting things about the internals is the self-reported 2008 vote — among this cohort it was 50-45 for Obama (with 5% not having voted in 2008). That is identical to Obama’s 2008 margin in Ohio, 5 points. That’s a good sign that the sample is not skewed one way or another (in fact, I would argue that the self-reported 2008 vote, if truthful, is a very good check on a state poll).


23 posted on 11/01/2012 1:21:46 PM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: whitey righty; DarthVader

24 posted on 11/01/2012 1:30:17 PM PDT by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: whitey righty

Zero at 46% is really bad. You would expect that he would get at least 47%. LOL. I hope this spills over into MI and WI and we have a very early night on Tuesday.


25 posted on 11/01/2012 1:31:12 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: kingattax

ODamBustula!!


26 posted on 11/01/2012 1:40:54 PM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: ConservativeInPA

obama did nto do AD’s or anything much up in those states but then Romney caught them by surprise in the final couple of weeks and now they are trying to defend these states thus taking time and money from the key battle grounds, .

smart move and if this pays off then they caught the left with their pants down


27 posted on 11/01/2012 2:19:15 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: manc
they are trying to defend these states thus taking time and money from the key battle grounds

You got that right. Romney, RNC, NRA, Crossroads, etc. are pouring dollars into previously "safe" states. Obama blew his load before the debates on negative ads. He's broke now and borrowing money from Bank of America. That is so appropriate considering Democrats can't do anything without borrowing money.

28 posted on 11/01/2012 2:26:18 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (I advocate indentured servitude for the 47% until the national debt is eliminated.)
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To: johniegrad

Rasmussen Electoral College Breakdown

Romney 285
0bama 243

Safe Romney (167)
AK (3), AL (9), AR (6), GA (16), ID (4), IN (11), KS (6), KY (8), LA (8), MS (6), ND (3), NE (5), OK (7), SC (9), SD (3), TN (11), TX (38), UT (6), WV (5), WY (3)

Likely Romney (21)
Arizona (11): Romney 52%, 0bama 44% (October 25, 2012)
Missouri (10): Romney 54%, 0bama 43% (October 19, 2012)

Leans Romney (18)
Montana (3): Romney 53%, 0bama 45% (October 17, 2012)
North Carolina (15): Romney 52%, 0bama 46% (October 27, 2012)

Toss-up (95) - Romney 79, 0bama 6
Florida (29): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 26, 2012)
Ohio (18): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 29, 2012)
Virginia (13): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 25, 2012)
Colorado (9): Romney 50%, 0bama 47% (November 01, 2012)
Iowa (6): Romney 49%, 0bama 48% (November 01, 2012)
New Hampshire (4): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 24, 2012)
Wisconsin (10): 0bama 49%, Romney 49% (November 01, 2012)
Nevada (6): 0bama 50%, Romney 48% (October 24, 2012)

Leans 0bama (37)
Connecticut (7): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 23, 2012)
Minnesota (10): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 23, 2012)
Pennsylvania (20): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 25, 2012)

Likely 0bama (28)
Michigan (16): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 12, 2012)
New Mexico (5): 0bama 54%, Romney 43% (October 10, 2012)
Oregon (7)

Safe 0bama (172)
CA (55), DC (3), DE (3), HI (4), IL (20), MA (11), MD (10), ME (4), NJ (14), NY (29), RI (4), VT (3), WA (12)
29 posted on 11/01/2012 2:27:09 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: zt1053

[ Someone in another thread this was posted says this was done by a Republican pollster so it doesn’t mean much ]

First off, welcome to FR!

So we should take Rat media polls seriously instead? I think Romney will win OH, WI, CO, IA, and NH. FL, NC, and VA are in the bag. PA may surprise everyone and go Romney as well.


30 posted on 11/01/2012 2:33:54 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: ilovesarah2012

If you placed every pollster end-to-end on the bottom of the ocean.


31 posted on 11/01/2012 2:53:02 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Soebarkah Soetoro)
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To: Jeff Chandler

They would get eaten after the lawyers?


32 posted on 11/01/2012 4:03:33 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: ConservativeInPA

this culd be a great strategic move if this works.
We got the first debate and took them off step and now we have them on this and Axelrod must be getting his knickers in a twist LOL.

Lets just hope this pays off as we have to win with a good majority to fight off the media bias and voter fraud.


33 posted on 11/01/2012 6:06:42 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: Brown Deer

CD1 in Maine is not safe for Obama. I don’t know what it is for sure, but it’s certainly not “safe”.


34 posted on 11/02/2012 6:29:02 AM PDT by MSF BU (n)
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To: onyx

‘Those pesky internals!”

I’ve come to believe that a +5 D is accurately reflecting the fraud that will occur, so all things being equal...it is what it is.


35 posted on 11/02/2012 12:00:21 PM PDT by Canedawg
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