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Newest Wenzel Strategies/Citizens United Poll: OHIO Romney 49%, Obama 46%
Wenzel Strategies ^ | 1 hour ago | November 1st, 2012 by Fritz Wenzel

Posted on 11/01/2012 3:36:40 PM PDT by drewh

NOVEMBER 1, 2012-The latest Wenzel Strategies survey of Ohio voters shows Republican Mitt Romney leading Democrat Barack Obama, 49% to 46%. The race is also razor-thin in Wisconsin, where Obama leads by a 49% to 47% margin. See the story here.

Here is the topline report for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Poll Topline Report 11-1-2012

Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum 11-1-2012

Here is the topline report for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Poll Topline Summary 11-1-2012

Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum 11-1-2012


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls
Ive seen Wisky tied as well so good news across the board...
1 posted on 11/01/2012 3:36:43 PM PDT by drewh
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To: drewh

Only 5 more days of this socialist nightmare called Obama then after 5 days the nightmare is over!


2 posted on 11/01/2012 3:43:56 PM PDT by rurgan (give laws an expiration date:so the congress has to review every 4 years to see if needed)
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To: drewh

Seems like new polls are coming out of the woodwork lately. I’m thinking about issuing my own poll this weekend. Calling it GnL Poll Strategies.


3 posted on 11/01/2012 3:44:31 PM PDT by GnL
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To: drewh

37d
32r
30 I


4 posted on 11/01/2012 3:49:48 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: crosslink

Mandel 50
Brown 45


5 posted on 11/01/2012 3:51:16 PM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: drewh

Rasmussen Electoral College Breakdown

Romney 285
0bama 243

Safe Romney (167)
AK (3), AL (9), AR (6), GA (16), ID (4), IN (11), KS (6), KY (8), LA (8), MS (6), ND (3), NE (5), OK (7), SC (9), SD (3), TN (11), TX (38), UT (6), WV (5), WY (3)

Likely Romney (21)
Arizona (11): Romney 52%, 0bama 44% (October 25, 2012)
Missouri (10): Romney 54%, 0bama 43% (October 19, 2012)

Leans Romney (18)
Montana (3): Romney 53%, 0bama 45% (October 17, 2012)
North Carolina (15): Romney 52%, 0bama 46% (October 27, 2012)

Toss-up (95) - Romney 79, 0bama 6
Florida (29): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 26, 2012)
Ohio (18): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 29, 2012)
Virginia (13): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 25, 2012)
Colorado (9): Romney 50%, 0bama 47% (November 01, 2012)
Iowa (6): Romney 49%, 0bama 48% (November 01, 2012)
New Hampshire (4): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 24, 2012)
Wisconsin (10): 0bama 49%, Romney 49% (November 01, 2012)
Nevada (6): 0bama 50%, Romney 48% (October 24, 2012)

Leans 0bama (37)
Connecticut (7): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 23, 2012)
Minnesota (10): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 23, 2012)
Pennsylvania (20): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 25, 2012)

Likely 0bama (28)
Michigan (16): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 12, 2012)
New Mexico (5): 0bama 54%, Romney 43% (October 10, 2012)
Oregon (7)

Safe 0bama (172)
CA (55), DC (3), DE (3), HI (4), IL (20), MA (11), MD (10), ME (4), NJ (14), NY (29), RI (4), VT (3), WA (12)
6 posted on 11/01/2012 4:11:00 PM PDT by Brown Deer (Pray for 0bama. Psalm 109:8)
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To: drewh

OHIO – Romney 49%, Obama 46%


7 posted on 11/01/2012 5:05:32 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: rurgan

Why does RCP post democratic pollster results and incorporate them into their averages but not republican?


8 posted on 11/01/2012 5:08:41 PM PDT by PatrickHaggerty
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To: PatrickHaggerty

In my opinion, it’s most likely because Real Clear Politics is democrat leaning and they have an agenda.


9 posted on 11/01/2012 5:41:45 PM PDT by Darth Gill
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To: 1035rep

So, by my count four of the last six polls have had Romney winning OH; and before that two of three had him tied. I think it’s safe now to say the dials have moved to come into line with reality that some of us were preaching two months ago.


10 posted on 11/01/2012 5:42:19 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

The pollsters are coming into line with reality so they won’t have egg on their faces next Tuesday evening.


11 posted on 11/01/2012 6:00:33 PM PDT by Deo volente (God willing, America will survive this Obamanation.)
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To: Deo volente

Yea, even old Zogby has it tied now.


12 posted on 11/01/2012 6:20:21 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: drewh

From John Nolte via Breitbart...

Once again, pollsters can claim they aren’t weighting Party ID to benefit Obama, but if their LV screen is loosened, it has the exact same effect, because more Democrats make it into the LV pool of voters. The best example of this arrived yesterday with three Quinnipiac polls that showed Obama winning in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida.

In the wave election of 2008, Democrats enjoyed turnout advantages of D+5 in OH; D+6 in VA; and D+3 in Florida. Yesterday’s much publicized Quinnipiac polls predicted Obama’s turnout advantage in those states would actually increase this year: VA: D+8 — FL: D+7 — OH: D+8.

But if Quinnipiac doesn’t weight for Party ID, where did that result come from?

Those three Quinnipiac polls are really RV polls. Normally, when looking for the more accurate LV pool of voters, most pollsters tighten the screen to qualify as a LV with the kinds of questions that screen out somewhere between 20 to 30% of RVs. Quite incredibly, Quinnipiac only screened out 4% of RVs. If you release a poll where 96% of RVs make it through the LV screen, you are releasing a RV poll — which of course includes more Democrats and favors Obama.

Quinnipiac is just one example of another reason we’re seeing most state and some national polls claiming Obama has a small but persistent lead thanks to a D+5 to D+8 turn out advantage.


13 posted on 11/01/2012 6:22:10 PM PDT by ez (When you're a hammer, everything looks like a nail.)
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To: PatrickHaggerty

RCP is a Chicago based outfit...


14 posted on 11/01/2012 6:23:02 PM PDT by wireman
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To: drewh

Woo hoo! Go, OIHO, Go!


15 posted on 11/01/2012 6:24:48 PM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: LS

Great info provided by you throughout the race. Voter ID “rigging” notwithstanding, I have and continue to be heartened by Obama’s perpetual inability to break 48% in almost every independent battleground poll. Even the rigged polls have to stretch a mile to hit 50.


16 posted on 11/01/2012 6:35:21 PM PDT by johncocktoasten (Practicing asymetrical thread warfare against anti-Palin Trolls)
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To: drewh

+5 RAT


17 posted on 11/01/2012 6:50:33 PM PDT by arrogantsob (The Disaster MUST Go. Sarah herself supports Romney.)
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To: arrogantsob

Yep, Democrats probably panicking more than we know.

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/01/Artur-Davis-Democrats-Panicked-By-Early-Voting-Numbers


18 posted on 11/01/2012 7:10:04 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: drewh

It would be great to see Romney winning a lot more states than he needs.


19 posted on 11/01/2012 9:48:21 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: WashingtonSource

Lol. I may be the only one who caught on to your post.


20 posted on 11/02/2012 7:03:57 AM PDT by Right Brother
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To: drewh

I know several registered Dems that will be voting for Romney on Tuesday.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 7:50:38 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: Right Brother

Thanks! I can’t wait until they call OIHO for Romney on election night! There’s supposed to be a huge rally tonight.


22 posted on 11/02/2012 8:47:43 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: Brown Deer

Wentzel also had Akin ahead in Missouri!


23 posted on 11/02/2012 12:24:56 PM PDT by drewh
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