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EXCLUSIVE: Romney campaign memo on Iowa
Washingtom Post ^ | November 1, 2012 | Jennifer Rubin

Posted on 11/02/2012 1:32:29 AM PDT by GonzoII

The Romney team has been exuding confidence about Iowa, although public polling has been mixed. Right Turn has obtained from an Iowa Republican a copy of a campaign memo regarding the state of early voting there. As indicated by its reference to numbers as of Oct. 30, it is the most recent assessment from the Romney team’s perspective on the race in the state that launched Barack Obama’s presidential race in 2008:

• DEM lead of more than 44 points (16.91 to 60.99%) on 9/28 collapsed to 12.27 points by 10/30, an improvement of nearly +32 net points on the margin by Republicans.

• Republicans have already turned out 128 percent of our absentee and early voters from four years ago — nine percent more than the Democrats have done.

• Republicans have cut Democrats’ historic advantage in in-person early voting by 75 percent.

• At this time four years ago, Democrats led in-person early voting 70,484 to 41,927. Not only have Republicans turned out 10,000 more early voters than we did at this time in 2008, but more than 10,000 fewer Democrats have voted – a clear sign of their depressed enthusiasm and failure of their ground game to turn their voters out.

• The Obama campaign is panicking, and you can see it in the way they are turning out their most reliable, most likely voters long before Election Day. They are using their highest propensity voters to pad their absentee and early vote numbers. Incredibly, half of Iowa Democrats who have voted in all four of the last four general elections have been made to request absentee ballots or vote early by the Obama campaign.

• The upshot is that Republicans have twice as many reliable, high propensity voters available on Election Day...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: romney; romney2012
Four more days!
1 posted on 11/02/2012 1:32:36 AM PDT by GonzoII
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To: GonzoII

What is this from Dems or Romney?


2 posted on 11/02/2012 1:41:47 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: GonzoII

Oy nevermind. I read it. Sorry it’s 4:30am :)


3 posted on 11/02/2012 1:42:46 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: GonzoII

The MSM is lashing itself ever more tightly to the good ship SS Obama. They’re going with it whether or its in distress.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 1:44:12 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: GonzoII

Wow, it looks like a landslide is coming.

I think this election may be on par with a Reagan like blow out of 1980 where the liberal media kept the election tight until the very end with their lies and propaganda, then the election came and Reagan blew everybody away with the truth.

I have a feeling the big loser of this campaign will be the liberal media.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 1:55:43 AM PDT by radpolis (Liberals: You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy)
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To: radpolis
I have a feeling the big loser of this campaign will be the liberal media.

That would almost be as important as getting 0 out of the WH.

6 posted on 11/02/2012 2:03:07 AM PDT by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: radpolis
I have a feeling the big loser of this campaign will be the liberal media.

How about that tool Nate Silver, where will that guy be on election night? He may have to wear body amour, seriously. I give it 5 minutes after MSNBC declares Romney the winner before the lefty blogosphere starts calling him a dumb (rhymes with bike), I mean they are so tolerant.

7 posted on 11/02/2012 2:05:23 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: radpolis

O is campaigning in Boulder, CO. That’s how I know the election is over. Its a huge “tell.”

When Sarah Palin came to Colorado Springs here around this same time four years ago, I knew it was over!

Any time you need to lock down your base and get them out, you signaling you’re not winning.

All the MSM fake polls in the world can’t hide how badly O is really doing.


8 posted on 11/02/2012 2:11:43 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: GonzoII

Dems are already thanking Sandy and Christie for helping Obama win


9 posted on 11/02/2012 2:23:00 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: dalebert

But why is O in Boulder and in Dade?

Shouldn’t he be looking for swing voters?


10 posted on 11/02/2012 2:24:57 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

You can kind of tell Obama is losing because of his strategy.

He only needs to hold states that he already won.

The fact that Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Nevada are still competitive this late tells me he is losing them when he should be basically all in Ohio if the Blue state coalition was holding up.

Also, I smell absolutely no desperation anywhere in the conservative community or media while the liberals are losing their mind and reek of desperation.

If Obama was winning, he would be talking reconciliation and using flowery rhetoric to bring the country together instead of throwing red meat out at his far left supporters.

He has totally written off the independents.

He is campaigning like a mad men.

Romney, on the other hand, is campaigning as the winner.


11 posted on 11/02/2012 2:25:08 AM PDT by radpolis (Liberals: You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy)
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To: goldstategop

he doesnt need swing votes with Christie campaigning for him all over national tv


12 posted on 11/02/2012 2:27:36 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: dalebert

NJ is going go for O anyway. The Romney Campaign didn’t even bother to open a campaign office in the Garden State.

There are some places in this country it makes no sense for a Republican presidential candidate to travel to.

Screw the Christie endorsement!


13 posted on 11/02/2012 2:32:23 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

I would just like to see Christie shut up...enough already..Obama is not doing anything any other president would do ..and it is not Obama’s money that is being sent to his state.


14 posted on 11/02/2012 2:38:11 AM PDT by dalebert
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To: dalebert

If O had gotten a Sandy “bounce” - do you think he would be spending in Boulder? Heck - no!

I imagine his campaign internals are terrible. David Axelrod knows it, too. But don’t looking for The One’s adoring press fan contingent to look for the truth.

Its now like Bernie’s on the weekend. Gotta keep him alive y’know. By Wednesday, if O loses, the recriminations will begin.

Should be fun to watch!


15 posted on 11/02/2012 3:22:46 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: GonzoII

Adrian Gray, Bush pollster and genius #s guy, said as long as Rs hold early vote to 60k, they should win. I think now especially that the Ds EVERYWHERE are turning out their Election Day voters early, cannibalizing them, that IA looks very good.


16 posted on 11/02/2012 3:45:03 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GonzoII

I’m confident that Romney has the support, but I don’t like all the damn polling stories about Romney votes showing up as douche-O votes. Cheating bastards gonna cheat.


17 posted on 11/02/2012 4:01:07 AM PDT by Mich Patriot (PITCH BLACK is the new "transparent")
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To: GonzoII

It was done with tongue firmly in cheek... But I’m already on record with R above 400 EV on my Facebook wall... Ok ok I was trolling my liberal friends but still.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 4:24:54 AM PDT by Frapster (There you go again....)
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To: dalebert

Outside of the NE... no one in America likes chubs. NJ is and shall always be a leftist voting state. They have good Conservatives there but not enough of them to make a difference.

LLS


19 posted on 11/02/2012 4:37:24 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: goldstategop

He thinks he can sway other states by showing huge crowds in bastions of his base?

He needs a narcissism supply fix?

He can reliably count on a large turnout in both places from progressives, unions, university and youth voters?


20 posted on 11/02/2012 7:06:41 AM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: radpolis
Wow, it looks like a landslide is coming.

It sure as hell better be. Otherwise, it means We The People failed to receive or heed a very clear warning and it won't be long before liberalism rises again, stronger and eager to inflict more and worse damage than ever before.

21 posted on 11/02/2012 7:29:19 AM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson)
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To: pburgh01
How about that tool Nate Silver, where will that guy be on election night?

He will stand by his "model" and say that although it predicted an X% chance for an Obama win, this was just clearly a case of things turning out in the (100-X)% side. It was unlikely, but always possible. Shoulders shrug, and off the "tune" the "model" to make another useless wild-ass -- but precise to one decimal place! -- guess in four years.

22 posted on 11/02/2012 7:35:31 AM PDT by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
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