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Akin gathering steam in race
The Hill ^ | 11/2/12 | Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 11/02/2012 4:03:17 AM PDT by markomalley

Polls showing him gaining on McCaskill has led to an infusion of funds for campaign ads on Akin's behalf

Rep. Todd Akin (R-Mo.) is showing signs of a newfound strength on the campaign trail — making multiple new ad buys as polling shows him gaining on Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.).

Akin and groups supporting him are making a $1.75 million investment in campaign ads this week, according to his campaign, allowing him to air a wider variety of ads than the incumbent Senator for the first time in the entire race.

That influx of cash has wider implications than just Akin's campaign: His win in Missouri's Senate race would boost what are looking like slim chances for Republicans to take back the majority in the Senate.

Akin’s late-August comments, that pregnancy in cases of “legitimate rape” are rare because “the female body has ways to try to shut that whole thing down,” drew fire from Republicans nationwide, with the National Republican Senatorial Committee cutting off his campaign after he refused to exit the race.

He dropped in polling against McCaskill, who was considered one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators, and grumblings began among the GOP that Akin's decision could cost them the Senate.

But Akin persisted, running a scrappy campaign based on grassroots fundraising and an anti-establishment rallying cry that kept the candidate mostly stable in the polls.

Akin went from a low of 38 percent support in one poll, conducted in the days after his comments drew national scrunity, to just a 2-percentage-point deficit in one recent independent poll released last weekend. One Republican internal poll has Akin and McCaskill tied.

Democrats dispute those polls, pointing out that the one putting him within the margin-of-error of McCaskill was conducted by the same pollster that predicted a third-place finish for Akin in the competitive GOP primary, which he eventually won.

McCaskill’s own internals have shown her ahead by double-digits, and the RealClearPolitics average of polls still puts her up by 5 percentage points.

But the new polling is enough to have sparked an infusion of outside money on Akin’s behalf.

Over the past week, outside groups backing Akin have spent nearly double what’s been spent by outside groups for McCaskill, according to data collected by the Center for Responsive Politics.

That includes the launch of a $1 million-buy by Now or Never PAC, a $550,000 buy by Faith Family Freedom Fund and at least $100,000 in ads from America’s Liberty PAC, affiliated with Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.).

Akin’s campaign also launched their own $600,000 buy on Thursday, which followed a nearly $700,000 joint buy from Akin and the Missouri Republican Party.

That expenditure raised eyebrows, as the state party didn’t have enough money to back their portion as of Oct. 17 — and the funds could have only come from a surge in donations over the past week and a half or a transfer from the national party committees.

A spokesman for the Republican National Committee said the funds did not come from them, and the NRSC did not respond to requests for comment. If the money did come from them, it would be a reversal of their original decision to cut off their nominee and back up claims that Akin is competitive in the race.

Akin’s campaign says the challenger has a wider variety of ads on air than McCaskill, though the incumbent senator has a higher volume of ads running, according to a Democratic source that tracks ad buys.

But a late infusion of cash can’t do much for a challenger down in the polls, facing an incumbent at 50 percent support or higher. Akin, however, may be facing the perfect political climate for the spending surge to take effect.

McCaskill, who returned to the campaign trail Wednesday following the death of her mother, has vastly outspent Akin for the majority of the election — her campaign spent $7 million in the third quarter alone, to Akin’s $1.3 million — but she's been unable to gain a double-digit lead on the challenger since the week after his comments broke.

And Mitt Romney has retained a solid lead over President Obama in the state, ahead by double digits in most surveys, an advantage that Missouri Republican strategist Jeff Roe says could be enough to boost Akin to a win on Election Day.

“This is a complete coattail effect,” he said.

“This isn’t exactly an independent decision [from Missouri voters]. If they’re going to send Romney to the White House, why wouldn’t they send a Republican Senator to vote with him?”

The high number of undecideds at this point -- 8 percent in the last poll -- also makes the race ripe for a last-minute spending splurge taking effect.

Rick Tyler, Akin’s senior adviser, said they’re hoping the new investments will give Akin the platform to spread the message he’s been sharing with voters all along.

“This week, not only do we have a very strong message, we have the means to make sure that every Missouri voter has it,” he said.

The campaign is running four positive spots and one attack ad this week, which is part of what Tyler described as the campaign’s goal in the final stretch: “To make [Missouri voters] feel good about voting for Todd.”

McCaskill and Democrats have done all they can over the past two months to make it near-impossible for Missouri voters to feel good about voting for Akin — running multiple negative ads based on his comments — but his support has stayed relatively stable since that initial drop.

And as Roe points out, that effort may have backfired — and may be part of what’s fueling the sudden support for Akin in the last days of his improbable campaign.

“At some point, the Republicans just saw their guy getting his teeth kicked in over nothing, and they just kind of started saying, ‘He might be a sonofabitch, but he’s our sonofabitch,” he said.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Missouri
KEYWORDS: akin; senate; toddakin

1 posted on 11/02/2012 4:03:22 AM PDT by markomalley
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To: markomalley

Good deal! I hope he pulls well ahead of her.


2 posted on 11/02/2012 4:08:48 AM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: tsowellfan
Good deal! I hope he pulls well ahead of her.

Me too. I hope he wins decisively just to prove to some FREEPERS here who are very upset that Akin is winning that having principles is a positive and not a negative like some here feel. Still today some FREEPERS on other Akin threads are pissed that Akin continues to show his conservative values. It is sad to see. I hope Akin is forced upon those FREEPERS. I will be thrilled on Tuesday if Akin wins this.

3 posted on 11/02/2012 4:13:36 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: tsowellfan

It makes me sick that when a Republican makes a gaffe - it is pounced on by the MSM. When Joe Biden makes a continuous string of gaffes - it gets swept under the rug.

I hope Akin wins this seat - we need it. I hate the MSM and the double standard. Has the MSM put forth the rumor about the NJ Senator yet? I know they’ll say they don’t have facts, but since when has that stopped them with a Republican is involved?


4 posted on 11/02/2012 4:15:36 AM PDT by Catsrus (WANT)
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To: markomalley

Go Akin!!


5 posted on 11/02/2012 4:16:09 AM PDT by GonzoII (Quia tu es, Deus, fortitudo mea...Quare tristis es anima mea?)
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To: napscoordinator

If Akin wins it will be his victory and his victory alone. He will have proved that RINOs and the GOPe is not needed to win an election. Because of that it will be a BIG victory for him and a MAJOR defeat for the GOPe.


6 posted on 11/02/2012 4:17:13 AM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: napscoordinator

I should also add that you Freepers who stood by him (and those supporters outside of FR) including the username with “Chip” in it (I cannot recall his Freeper name) will also share in the Akin victory if he wins. It will be your victory as well.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 4:20:48 AM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: markomalley

Here’s hoping that the GOP does become the U.S. Senate MAJORITY, for a very long time, and here’s hoping that CONSERVATISM takes over BIG TIME, in both Houses of Congress, in the WH (Please, help to make Mitt Romney, successfully, move, profoundly, to the right, politically, and help Mitt become a very small government conservative, on all of the issues!), and in the courts, too! True conservatism, seriously, needs to dominate in all three branches of government and for a very long time!-Please, and Thank You!


8 posted on 11/02/2012 4:21:00 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (The world continues to be stuck in a "all leftist, all of the time" funk. BUNK THE FUNK!)
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To: markomalley

Good! I’m glad he stuck to his guns!!


9 posted on 11/02/2012 4:22:14 AM PDT by sneakers (Go Sheriff Joe!)
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To: markomalley
I'll admit that I didn't want him to run after his gaffe. However, since he's still there and he espouses strong Conservative principles, I hope he has a HUGE victory.

As I've said before, it's like the soldier in a foxhole sleepily crawling out to take a whizz....wandering around to find a tree, he accidentially sets off a tripwire and the enemy starts shooting at him. A combination of utter terror, experience, and training in him kicks in and he starts charging the enemy machine gun nest....you don't criticize him for screwing up, or shoot him in the back. You lay covering fire and hope he can kill the enemy.

10 posted on 11/02/2012 4:33:20 AM PDT by MuttTheHoople (Pray for Joe Biden- Proverbs 29:9)
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To: MuttTheHoople
most princpaled person running
11 posted on 11/02/2012 4:43:52 AM PDT by scooby321 (AMS)
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To: markomalley

Please, let there be ABSOLUTELY NO MISTAKE HERE.
This was a classic RINO-inspired circular firing squad where most of the so-called ‘GOP’ participated ENTHUSIASTICALLY!!

It appears that the grass roots at home might just pull this one out AFTER ALL!

DESPITE the actions/efforts/pussilaniousness (sp?) of their so-called “leadership”.

GOOD!


12 posted on 11/02/2012 4:53:47 AM PDT by Flintlock (-THE TRUTH--It's the NEW hate speech.)
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To: markomalley

McCaskell is proving to be a common thief.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 5:13:22 AM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: markomalley

Akin is the type we need in the Senate. Even if the R’s gain control it has to be the right type of R’s. We’re going to need strong, principled conservative leadership in Congress in order to keep Romney in line. He’ll go wobbly if he doesn’t get the right signals and feedback from us as well as Congress.

The Beltway isn’t going to relinquish control easily.


14 posted on 11/02/2012 5:24:24 AM PDT by bereanway
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To: markomalley

It is about time. I just hope it isn’t a little late and there is enough in the kitty.

Go, Todd, Go.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 6:25:48 AM PDT by YOMO
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To: markomalley

I have lived in Missouri since 1978. We are run by the DemoRATS in Jeff City, even after we the people have voted repeatedly that we want Obamacare OUT of Missouri, the DemoRATS do NOTHING! McCaskill is a crook and a thief! She was paid for her vote for Obamacare, big time! And here comes a man of God, willing to stand up to her, willing to repent to the nation for a ‘mistake’! We all need to pray for Todd Akin and his family, they are under terrible attacks. He is a good man, everyone we know has voted for him or will be on NOVEMBER 6, 2012!
GOD SAVE OUR AMERICA from more of McCaskill, DemoRATS in JEFF CITY, and the MUSILM minions in Washington DC!
Please Jesus hear our cry and deliver us from our mistakes as a nation! IN JESUS NAME WE PRAY! AMEN!


16 posted on 11/02/2012 6:34:34 AM PDT by 4GodandCountry
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To: markomalley
It seems the GOP is sending backdoor dollars to Akin via the State Party. Newt and Huckabee deserve a lot of credit- they helped bring PAC money into the state. I am still pissed at the GOP for bailing too quickly. Then they send emails to me, a Missourian, asking for money to support other Senate candidates. Then Murdock stumbles with a similar comments, but lo and behold, we still support him. FACTS about Missouri that the GOP missed.

1.) Missouri went to McCain 2008 after massive spending by Obama and literaly McCain conceding the state.

2.) McCaskill only won in 2006, a great RAT year, thanks to a 3% libertarian turnout.

3.) The TEA Party was born in Missouri. In my county, a TEA Party rally happens on a busy corner every Saturday for the last 4 years!

4.) SIEU has sent counter protestors, sometimes violent, to counter the TEA Party.

5.) In 2010, Missouri voted 70% to repeal OBAMACARE. McCaskill basically called the ballot initiative stupid.

6.) Mitt Romney is up in Missouri by double digits- without any advertising.

7.) Does the GOP really think that a state with a large TEA PARTY that has attracted Libertarians and Independents, that people are going to walk into a voting both, vote for Romney, then vote for McCaskill? Maybe a few RINO's in rich suburbs, but not in the heart of the TEA PARTY.

17 posted on 11/02/2012 6:49:49 AM PDT by 11th Commandment (http://www.thirty-thousand.org/)
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To: markomalley

Akin would (and I hope will) make a great Senator. He owes absolutely nothing to the Republican establishment and will be his own man, free to follow his conservative instincts. He could be a real breath of fresh air in the Senate.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 7:34:30 AM PDT by Malesherbes (- Sauve qui peut)
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To: markomalley

Good news indeed. But it ain’t over, yet! I hope all Conservative freepers keep up the prayers and good thoughts, and I hope all Conservative Missourians get the word and vote out! The Liberal D’rats will cheat, bully and coerce at every chance they can get! Best of luck to everyone.


19 posted on 11/02/2012 10:04:29 AM PDT by hawaiianninja (Palm note to self: Work for a successful 2012! +Throw the liberal garbage out!)
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To: markomalley
McCaskill's thrown everything at him but the kitchen sink and she needs that to try to wash her hands of her husband's business deals.

And still it is a dead heat. Let's hope the influx of funds is well spent and well placed.

20 posted on 11/03/2012 12:52:42 PM PDT by Uncle Chip
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To: Uncle Chip; markomalley; katiedidit1

It angers me to see the barrage of despicable, misleading TV ads against Todd Akin that are being aired by the McCaskill campaign. She ran an ad where a man claimed that he has a son and a son-in-law in the Marines and said that he doesn’t think he can trust Todd Akin to care for them when they get out.

Akin served in the Army and he has three sons who served overseas with the Marines. And the goofy guy doesn’t trust Akin to care for his boys? I’d definitely trust Todd Akin before I’d trust Claire McCaskill, Obama’s lap dog.

Katiedidit1 posted a great Akin ad of REAL veterans who support Akin.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pd0kzrdNP1g


21 posted on 11/04/2012 8:03:46 AM PST by Jonah Vark (Any 5th grader knows that the Constitution declares the separation of powers.)
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To: Jonah Vark

We all need to go to McCaskill and Akin’s facebook sites and fight the trolls. I honestly believe I converted a McCaskill supporter due to a post I made on Obamacare.
Have to fight them in their own backyards.

Got a recorded call from Ashcroft and his wife...supporting Akin. Everyone waited so late to get onboard


22 posted on 11/04/2012 9:28:23 AM PST by katiedidit1
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To: napscoordinator
Every time I go to Bing to search news on Akin I get a bunch of pro McCaskill and anti Akin results. I contacted Bing to complain but to no avail.
Have been going to McCaskill’s site and Akin’s site on facebook and battling the leftwing trolls.
23 posted on 11/04/2012 9:32:03 AM PST by katiedidit1
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To: Uncle Chip; Jonah Vark; YOMO; elephant; Evil Slayer

Another lie by McCaskill in regards to the veterans..

McCaskill has made at least two specific accusations. Both are baseless.

Accusation #1: “In 2005, Todd Akin Opposed Additional Job Training Assistance for Veterans Returning from Overseas”

The Truth: The vote in question was a “motion to recommit” which is a procedural vote used to kill the bill. If this Democratic motion had passed, it would have killed the whole bill, bringing down all of the Job Training Improvement Act of 2005 (H.R. 27). This vote was a political stunt, not serious legislation. Every Republican voted against it, including the Chairman of the Veterans Affairs Committee. Even worse, the Job Training Improvement Act of 2005 contained significant resources specifically for veterans workforce investment programs, so voting for this amendment to kill the bill was a vote to keep veterans from receiving job training.

Accusation #2: “In 2005, Todd Akin Opposed $50 Million Increase for Military Transitional Job Training”

The Truth: Once again, this amendment was a “motion to recommit” which is a procedural vote to kill the bill. If this amendment had passed, it would have killed the bill and directly prevented adequate funding from reaching our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. Only two Republicans voted for this motion to recommit, both of whom were openly anti-war. Rep. Jack Murtha, the top Democrat on the Defense Appropriations Committee also voted NO on this amendment. The very next vote, to pass the underlying Iraq funding bill, passed with overwhelming bipartisan support, 388-43. The final version of this bill passed 100-0 in the Senate.

If you want to find out more, read Todd’s veterans page.


24 posted on 11/04/2012 10:20:53 AM PST by katiedidit1
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To: Jonah Vark; markomalley; Uncle Chip; Evil Slayer

Jonathan Dine is running for MO senate as a libertarian..he is a felon...check this out..So, who is Jonathan Dine? For starters, he’s a convicted felon whom Missouri law would bar from the ballot in any state or local contest. (State law may not add additional qualifications (like not being a felon) for candidates for federal office over and above the bare requirements provided in the U.S. Constitution.) In addition to convictions for possession of marijuana (kind of a badge of honor for a Libertarian) and driving while intoxicated, Dine also has a 2005 conviction for identity theft. He favors gay marriage and drug decriminalization, while opposing U.S. “interventionist” foreign policy.

So, let’s get this straight. A set of mostly conservative voters who overwhelmingly and equally (67%) disapprove of both McCaskill and Akin are resolving their conflict by voting for a convicted identity thief who favors gay marriage, drug legalization and a foreign policy the Green Party could endorse?


25 posted on 11/05/2012 7:27:50 PM PST by katiedidit1
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To: katiedidit1; markomalley; Uncle Chip; Evil Slayer

Meant to include the link but there are other stories on Dine..http://theunablogger.wordpress.com/2012/11/05/the-libertarian-felon-is-no-alternative-to-todd-akin/


26 posted on 11/05/2012 7:30:46 PM PST by katiedidit1
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