Skip to comments.BLS Employment Situation Summary (up 0.1% to 7.9%)
Posted on 11/02/2012 5:35:32 AM PDT by xzins
THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- OCTOBER 2012
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 171,000 in October, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 7.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade.
_______________________________________________________________________________ | | | Hurricane Sandy | | | |Hurricane Sandy had no discernable effect on the employment and unemployment | |data for October. Household survey data collection was completed before the | |storm, and establishment survey data collection rates were within normal ranges| |nationally and for the affected areas. For information on how unusually severe | |weather can affect the employment and hours estimates, see the Frequently Asked| |Questions section of this release. | | | |_______________________________________________________________________________|
Household Survey Data
Both the unemployment rate (7.9 percent) and the number of unemployed persons (12.3 million) were essentially unchanged in October, following declines in September. (See table A-1.)
Among the major worker groups, the unemployment rate for blacks increased to 14.3 percent in October, while the rates for adult men (7.3 percent), adult women (7.2 percent), teenagers (23.7 percent), whites (7.0 percent), and Hispanics (10.0 percent) showed little or no change. The jobless rate for Asians was 4.9 percent in October (not seasonally adjusted), down from 7.3 percent a year earlier. (See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)
In October, the number of long-term unemployed (those jobless for 27 weeks or more) was little changed at 5.0 million. These individuals accounted for 40.6 percent of the unemployed. (See table A-12.)
The civilian labor force rose by 578,000 to 155.6 million in October, and the labor force participation rate edged up to 63.8 percent. Total employment rose by 410,000 over the month. The employment-population ratio was essentially unchanged at 58.8 percent, following an increase of 0.4 percentage point in September. (See table A-1.)
The number of persons employed part time for economic reasons (sometimes referred to as involuntary part-time workers) fell by 269,000 to 8.3 million in October, partially offsetting an increase of 582,000 in September. These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they were unable to find a full-time job. (See table A-8.)
In October, 2.4 million persons were marginally attached to the labor force, little different from a year earlier. (These data are not seasonally adjusted.) These individuals were not in the labor force, wanted and were available for work, and had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted as unemployed because they had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey. (See table A-16.)
Among the marginally attached, there were 813,000 discouraged workers in October, a decline of 154,000 from a year earlier. (These data are not seasonally adjusted.) Discouraged workers are persons not currently looking for work because they believe no jobs are available for them. The remaining 1.6 million persons marginally attached to the labor force in October had not searched for work in the 4 weeks preceding the survey for reasons such as school attendance or family responsibilities. (See table A-16.)
Establishment Survey Data
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 171,000 in October. Employment growth has averaged 157,000 per month thus far in 2012, about the same as the average monthly gain of 153,000 in 2011. In October, employment rose in professional and business services, health care, and retail trade. (See table B-1.)
Professional and business services added 51,000 jobs in October, with gains in services to buildings and dwellings (+13,000) and in computer systems design (+7,000). Temporary help employment changed little in October and has shown little net change over the past 3 months. Employment in professional and business services has grown by 1.6 million since its most recent low point in September 2009.
Health care added 31,000 jobs in October. Job gains continued in ambulatory health care services (+25,000) and hospitals (+6,000). Over the past year, employment in health care has risen by 296,000.
Retail trade added 36,000 jobs in October, with gains in motor vehicles and parts dealers (+7,000), and in furniture and home furnishings stores (+4,000). Retail trade has added 82,000 jobs over the past 3 months, with most of the gain occurring in motor vehicles and parts dealers, clothing and accessories stores, and miscellaneous store retailers.
Employment in leisure and hospitality continued to trend up (+28,000) over the month. This industry has added 811,000 jobs since a recent low point in January 2010, with most of the gain occurring in food services.
Employment in construction edged up in October. The gain was concentrated in specialty trade contractors (+17,000).
Manufacturing employment changed little in October. On net, manufacturing employment has shown little change since April.
Mining lost 9,000 jobs in October, with most of the decline occurring in support activities for mining. Since May of this year, employment in mining has decreased by 17,000.
Employment in other major industries, including wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, information, financial activities, and government, showed little change over the month.
In October, the average workweek for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls was 34.4 hours for the fourth consecutive month. The manufacturing workweek edged down by 0.1 hour to 40.5 hours, and factory overtime was unchanged at 3.2 hours. The average workweek for production and nonsupervisory employees on private nonfarm payrolls edged down by 0.1 hour to 33.6 hours. (See tables B-2 and B-7.)
In October, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls edged down by 1 cent to $23.58. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have risen by 1.6 percent. In October, average hourly earnings of private-sector production and nonsupervisory employees edged down by 1 cent to $19.79. (See tables B-3 and B-8.)
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for August was revised from +142,000 to +192,000, and the change for September was revised from +114,000 to +148,000.
The highest estimate was 150,000. And they blew that away.
It will be interesting to see November/December. I am skeptical.
Watch the MSM try to spin this into good news. Too bad, it won’t work. Jobless rate went up.
Liars. The rate is higher.
MSNBC is saying..this is a positive for the president..it shows the economy is improving...it went up..but this is so so good...WTF!?
I’m shocked! I expected them to cook the books down below 7% for Dear Ruler.
Not what Obama needed, but he can say he kept it under 8% for all that’s worth.
Anyone know if all states are reporting? I heard something last night that New York and New Jersey numbers wouldn’t be incldued...can’t confirm.
How do you get an increase in non-farm hiring and a rise in the rate? Shouldn’t htey work inversely? I think need to turn off the TV until next Wednesday. Thanks for the post, though..
The spin will be althought the rate of unemployment was up it was because more people entered the workforce feeling they had a better chance of getting a job.
so an increase from 7.8 to 7.9 is ‘unchanged’?
Obama could be caught in bed with a dead women or live boy and MSNBC would say it is positive for the President....
Market not liking the number
The 7.8% number for September was later “corrected” to 7.9%.
Very true about MSNBC they even spun the fact that the # of people looking for a job(vs those that gave up) went up!! How is that good news
They will spin it positively. Because more jobs were added than expected. Of course, the rate went up, and they would have spun THAT otherwise.. its always about spin spin spin.
The report said that approximately 400,000 people starting looking for work this past month. Under the stupid BLS formula, the more people that are looking for work and do not find work, the more unemployment.
That’s why Rush has been saying that the only way to manufacture a decrease in unemployment is to shrink the universe of people looking for a job. It worked in the inverse this month.
Bad news for the president, the only number people pay attention to is the unemployment rate and it went UP UP UP. I hope Romney has the commercials ready to go...
They are already hard at work doing just that.
The spin is that the higher unemployment rate validates the President’s policies and proves the economy is improving.
“Employment growth has averaged 157,000 per month thus far in 2012, about the same as the average monthly gain of 153,000 in 2011.”
That’s the key point. 2012 has not been an improvement over 2011. All is flat.
Another key point: Gallup was wrong. Don’t you forget it.
If unemployment went up to 12%, MSNBC would argue that it's a positive for Obama because the vast majority of voters didn't lose their jobs.
Isn’t it interesting that the unemployment rate magically ended up at 7.9% instead of 8% right before the election? Imagine that!
I don’t recall that.
Bottom line - the unemployment rate went up. That needs to be shouted from the rooftops all day every day from here through Tuesday.
It also will bring the race back to the economic issue front and center.
Well you are talking about the Official Obama news network..
The unemployment rate went UP. There was no revision that I can see.. Headline: Unemployment rate rises right before election.
If that's your adder, it incorrect. If it's the real headline, it's incorrect. It was 7.8% last month. It went up!
Oh yeah..it goes down, that’s good. It goes up, that’s also good. It reminds me of the “climate change” debate. Hotter than expected? Climate change! Colder than expected? Well, that’s also climate change and “proof” of global warming.
Liberals have no shame, especially those in the “news” media.
When people have more confidence they start again looking for work so they increase the total actively searching and therefore raise the rate of unemployed (actively looking for a job)
Remember the rate is determined by the number of people LOOKING for work and not the numnber of unemployed. This is why when the labor participation rate drops the unemployment nunber also drops.
“the only number people pay attention to is the unemployment rate and it went UP UP UP.”
Right! The dumb “undecideds” don’t dive into the details. That’s why they are “undecided”. The top line number is all they care about, for better or worse. MSNBC can spin these data all they like, but they’re wasting their oxygen on their brain-addled viewership.
How is it “essentially” unchanged if it ticked up one tenth? When it ticked down one tenth they said flat out the unemployment rate dropped. lol
The point is..it went up..even we are spinning this in a positive light.it went up!..it is higher than when Bush left office!..if Romney and the GOP don’t flood the airways this weekend and win this election..they are incompetent fools..if they fight, they win..they have history and numbers on their side...if they lose, it’s because they like playing too nice and we deserve to LOSE...This election is Romney’s to lose...
With all due respect change your headline. That’s not the headline of the article in parenthesis.
It happened yesterday. They revised the numbers. The increase in the number of jobs created was cut in half.
Number of unemployed increased by 170,000
That is his adder but he’s getting it from the wording in the article. Still its a lie.
“Watch the MSM try to spin this into good news”
They already did.
An INCREASE was reported as “essentially unchanged”.
For once, everyone expected the rate to go up to 7.9%. Unlike last month, when everyone was saying it was going to stay the same or go up and it went down, UNEXPECTEDLY! (through number manipulation)
I changed the headline to revert it as closely as possible to the original.
This will change nothing.
Given that our current federal methodology purposely under-counts inflation (by which we’ve actually continued in contraction rather than an expansion straight through Obama’s four years), real wages are really plummeting.
And of course even the 7.9% figure is bogus.
Unemployment amongst blacks jumped almost a full point. Just shaking my head at that number.. That is truly sad.
The ‘effin WSJ bloggers are all spinning it positive for Obama, even in the face of many negative features of this report. Incredible.
My original posting said the number Rose. My headline was changed to “unchanged”
I have no idea why.
7.8 to 7.9 is an increase according to everyone from my math teacher spouse to my calculator.
:: I expected them to cook the books down below 7% for Dear Ruler. ::
Ahhh, but they did! Yesterday, they announced revisions that indicated less jobs than were previously thought since February. There was no corresponding revision of the Index for those months. It was, most likely, 8.5 to 8.3 in that time.
Odd how the first big bump down (8.3 to 8.1) occurred in March, isn’t it?
Obama still their man, though.
Hey, it either change or didn’t! It changed, really, not essentially! (semantics)
No worries. Give him a second term. He will fix it all, but good. You will see 20% unemployment and everyone broke with his total socialist destruction of America. Tuesday folks. Tuesday. Anyone who votes for him GETS what they ask for, and the end result will be nothing.