Skip to comments.North Carolina early vote (2008 vs. 2012); Vanity
Posted on 11/02/2012 6:58:58 AM PDT by Ravi
(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...
2012 as of 11/2: 2.258 million early votes Dems-48.0%; Reps-31.8% (Dems slowly decreasing and reps slowly increasing this week)
18-29: 11.7% (no hope and change)
White: 67.7%; Black: 27.4% (percentage of whites is slowly increasing and percentage of blacks slowly decreasing this week)
Obama only beat McCain by 0.4% I think we have enough data here to show that Romney should win NC pretty comfortably. Not a 10 point blowout but I would think 5 to 7 points. My takeaway: blacks are showing up for BO but not the college crowd.
What about Ohio?
I’ll post about that later tonite.
Of course there’s no way to see or account for the dems voting for Romney or republicans coming back home from a spell of hopenosis.
Also the obvious big one is how Independents will break for Romney as opposed to how widely they went for zero in 08’.
Plus there will be a number (small but still existent) of blacks that vote against the gay lover.
I wouldn’t rule out a 10 point win for Romney.
Any big changes or surprises?
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