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North Carolina early vote (2008 vs. 2012); Vanity
GMU ^ | 11/2/2012 | me

Posted on 11/02/2012 6:58:58 AM PDT by Ravi

see above

(Excerpt) Read more at elections.gmu.edu ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2012; obama; romney; ryan; vanity
2008: 2.6 million early votes Dems-51.4% Reps-30.2% 18-29: 14.9% (Hope and Change) White: 69.2%; Black: 26.5

2012 as of 11/2: 2.258 million early votes Dems-48.0%; Reps-31.8% (Dems slowly decreasing and reps slowly increasing this week)

18-29: 11.7% (no hope and change)

White: 67.7%; Black: 27.4% (percentage of whites is slowly increasing and percentage of blacks slowly decreasing this week)

Obama only beat McCain by 0.4% I think we have enough data here to show that Romney should win NC pretty comfortably. Not a 10 point blowout but I would think 5 to 7 points. My takeaway: blacks are showing up for BO but not the college crowd.

1 posted on 11/02/2012 6:59:08 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: LS; plushaye; Jet Jaguar; Perdogg; snarkytart; GoCards

ping


2 posted on 11/02/2012 7:02:02 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

What about Ohio?


3 posted on 11/02/2012 7:03:25 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: Maine Mariner

I’ll post about that later tonite.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 7:05:42 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

Interesting.
Of course there’s no way to see or account for the dems voting for Romney or republicans coming back home from a spell of hopenosis.
Also the obvious big one is how Independents will break for Romney as opposed to how widely they went for zero in 08’.
Plus there will be a number (small but still existent) of blacks that vote against the gay lover.
I wouldn’t rule out a 10 point win for Romney.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 7:08:54 AM PDT by Clump ( the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: Ravi
I understand local Obama office manned by NAACP crowd, has pretty well transported every black student from nearby predominantly black university to the polls already.
6 posted on 11/02/2012 7:20:39 AM PDT by elpadre (AfganistaMr Obama said the goal was to "disrupt, dismantle and defeat al-hereQaeda" and its allies.)
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To: Ravi

Any big changes or surprises?


7 posted on 11/02/2012 7:22:31 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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