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The Obama Defectors
The Washington Post ^ | Nov 2, 2012 | Scott Clement and Aaron Blake

Posted on 11/02/2012 12:42:11 PM PDT by sitetest

Barring some kind of last-minute surge, President Obama is going to fall well shy of the 52.9 percent he won in the 2008 election. It might still be good enough to win, but it won’t be resounding.

But just who exactly has deserted Obama over the last four years?

Two weeks of Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll interviews find 84 percent of likely voters who supported Obama in 2008 support him this year, while 13 percent say they are switching to Romney and 3 percent are backing others or haven’t made up their mind yet.

The chart below shows the erosion of Obama’s 2008 coalition among many key demographics:

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; obama; romney; romney2012; washingtonpost
Sorry folks, I don't know how to incorporate graphics into the body of the thread. But suffice it to say, this survey by the Washington Post finds that 13% of the Kenyan's 2008 voters are planning to vote for Gov. Romney.

You do the math.

;-)

1 posted on 11/02/2012 12:42:16 PM PDT by sitetest
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To: sitetest
Posted here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2953923/posts

2 posted on 11/02/2012 12:45:13 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: sitetest

Therefore, my quick amatuerish math is that about 7 % of voters will change their minds.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 12:45:13 PM PDT by dinoparty
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To: sitetest

You do it like that.

4 posted on 11/02/2012 12:45:43 PM PDT by Kenton
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To: sitetest

I didn’t see this posted elsewhere. If it’s a repeat, my apologies.

Anyway, the Kenyan got roughly 69 million votes last time. 13% of 69 million is about 9 million. Add that to McCain’s 59 million last time, and take it away from the Kenyan’s totals, and Gov. Romney wins 68 million to 60 million votes.

Even if some amount of McCain voters go for the Kenyan this time - say 5%, that still makes it 65 million to 63 million.

That takes nothing into account for increased GOP base support and decreased enthusiasm from Dem voters.


5 posted on 11/02/2012 12:46:06 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: sitetest

52.9% X 84% = 44.4%
OBAMA IS TOAST


6 posted on 11/02/2012 12:46:34 PM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: SoFloFreeper

Ah... under a different title via a different outlet. LOL.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 12:47:37 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Kenton

I’ll give you a private reply and explain how to put graphics in your responses, OK?


8 posted on 11/02/2012 12:48:28 PM PDT by Kenton
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To: sitetest

when I read this headline, I SWORE it said ‘Obama DEFACATORS’

LOL


9 posted on 11/02/2012 12:49:55 PM PDT by spacejunkie2001
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To: Kenton

I still don’t how anyone could possibly self describe themselves as conservative and vote for this radical leftist.

Now I did talk to one of my teachers from back in high school, and she is now voting for Obama even though she was always conservative. I asked her if she was no longer conservative and she said she was. I didn’t bother starting an argument as to why the two were not compatible.

She does, however, live in Europe and apparently having O as president makes the Euros give Yanks less crap. Seems like a self interest decision which is masked by other rationalizations.


10 posted on 11/02/2012 12:52:18 PM PDT by drbuzzard (All animals are created equal, but some are more equal than others.)
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To: sitetest
The math, if the article has merit then

Zero's vote percent: 54
McCain's vote percent: 46
8.64 leave the Zero, 54-8.64 = 45.36 remaining for Zero
of that 8.64, 7.02 go to Romney (assume Romney gets McCain's share) 46 + 7.02 = 53.02

I'll take it! Even it is the ComPost saying it!

11 posted on 11/02/2012 12:55:02 PM PDT by Reily (l)
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To: sitetest

Millions of white voters who voted for Obama in 2008 are voting against him in 2012.

We all know that anyone who opposes Obama is a racist. That raises the question, did all those white Obama voters just turn into racists over the past four years or were they already racists and just discovered that Obama is black?


12 posted on 11/02/2012 1:07:41 PM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (Are we nearing the end of the Obamanation?)
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To: Bubba_Leroy

No, they didn’t just turn into racists, Bubba. In 2008, they all voted for Obama’s white half!


13 posted on 11/02/2012 1:12:27 PM PDT by SoCalConservative
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To: sitetest
You are forgetting to consider all of the voters around the country who voted against Obama in 2008 but who are going to vote for Obama in 2012.

There must be dozens of them.

14 posted on 11/02/2012 1:15:35 PM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (Are we nearing the end of the Obamanation?)
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To: Reily

I am predicting about 54-46 so those numbers look correct.

The media loves to bury the truth beneath a pack of lies.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 1:26:04 PM PDT by cgbg (No bailouts for New York and California. Let them eat debt.)
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To: sitetest

Ok, let me see if I got this right...

If 13% of Obama’s voters last time, vote for Romney, and all those discouraged GOP voters in 08 show up this time, and indies go for Romney +8 from -8.....

Doesn’t this turn out to be a complete landslide victory??


16 posted on 11/02/2012 1:36:28 PM PDT by Professional
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To: Bubba_Leroy

LOL!!!


17 posted on 11/02/2012 1:42:47 PM PDT by Professional
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To: Proud2BeRight

That’s not even including the “stay home” factor.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 1:45:09 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Bubba_Leroy
There must be dozens of them.
Don't worry, it's Bloomberg and the Rinos in NYC. The rest of us are sticking with plan RR.
19 posted on 11/02/2012 1:46:23 PM PDT by carumba (The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. Groucho)
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To: Bubba_Leroy

Enough to pack an outhouse, to be sure.


20 posted on 11/02/2012 1:47:41 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Professional

Yep, we have all those factors, and a polling tie of 48-48...

makes a lot of sense, doesn’t it?


21 posted on 11/02/2012 1:48:51 PM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: MrB

...and the crowds listening to Zero’s speeches are down a mere 13%, don’cha know!

HF


22 posted on 11/02/2012 3:07:55 PM PDT by holden
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