Skip to comments.WaPo ABC Tracker: R49/O48 (D+3)
Posted on 11/02/2012 2:18:11 PM PDT by tatown
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
I hereby proclaim the Sandy bump over and dead.
Amen to that! In fact, the incompetence displayed by FEMA just may hurt Obama.
Sandy seems to have been slightly less bouncy than the proverbial dead cat.
“These are the times that try men’s souls....”
Hopefully this keeps the usual suspects quiet since they think these dumb daily polls are their only guiding light for the election.
I don’t understand why anyone said there was a Sandy Bounce to begin with:
Romney moved UP in WAPO
He moved up in PPP National
He moved up in CNN’s latest Ohio Poll
He’s still leading in the necessary states to get to 270 (McCain + Indiana, NC, Virginia, Florida, Ohio + one other state such as Colorado).
The ONLY problem today was some statistical noise in Rasmussen which sent people in a ridiculous tizzy. Just go vote!
D+3 or 4 is the likely national turnout.
It's a conceivable turnout, but certainly not likely. I'd say that's definitely a best-case scenario for Dems.
Gallup did thousands of surveys to come up with its likely voter model for 2012 and it the breakdown will be:
Rasmussen has it at D+2.
I'll be very suprised, given the intensity gap if it isn't even or maybe +1 either way - I'd bet +1R.
If that number is correct, it is landslide for Romney.
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