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Mourdock trails by 11 points in Indiana Senate race, new poll shows
Yahoo! News | The Ticket ^ | Dylan Stableford

Posted on 11/02/2012 5:08:17 PM PDT by deek69

Richard Mourdock--the Indiana Republican Senate candidate who sparked a controversy during a debate last month when he said he opposes abortion even in the case of rape because "it is something that God intended to happen"--is now trailing Democrat Joe Donnelly by 11 points, a new state poll shows. According to the Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground Poll released on Friday, Donnelly leads Mourdock 47 percent to 36 percent among likely voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; indiana; joedonnelly; mourdock; richardmourdock; senate
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1 posted on 11/02/2012 5:08:18 PM PDT by deek69
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To: deek69

Howey is suspect.


2 posted on 11/02/2012 5:09:09 PM PDT by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: John W

this was discussed at Legal insurrection today.


3 posted on 11/02/2012 5:10:22 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: deek69

This is the state of this country now, election by soundbite. They lay in wait for some soundbite that can be echoed 1,000 times a day then they run with it.

And America pays the price.


4 posted on 11/02/2012 5:12:15 PM PDT by Kenny (<p)
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To: deek69

Mourdock and Akin, two dumb sh!ts who don’t know what not to say. I hope they both win, because we dearly need those seats. But if they loose, it’s on them for stupid statements that I am at a loss as to know why they were spoken in the first place. Are these two religious nuts?


5 posted on 11/02/2012 5:12:26 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Perdogg
Thanks, here's the link for anyone interested.

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/11/anti-mourdock-polling-games-in-indiana/

6 posted on 11/02/2012 5:15:40 PM PDT by Menehune56 ("Let them hate so long as they fear" (Oderint Dum Metuant), Lucius Accius (170 BC - 86 BC))
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To: deek69

I’m very dubious on this poll. Indiana is going R bigtime this election. The energy here is excellent. Not pro-Romney energy but anti-Democrat energy.


7 posted on 11/02/2012 5:16:09 PM PDT by nascarnation (Defeat Baraq 2012. Deport Baraq 2013)
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To: vette6387
The leftwingtard interviewers ~ Priebus should have been making sure advisors were available to these guy's campaign staff to instruct them how to deal with leftwingtards.

He didn't.

We'll need to get rid of him before he strikes again.

8 posted on 11/02/2012 5:17:06 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: nascarnation
Not pro-Romney energy but anti-Democrat energy.

I think that's the way it is around most of the country. I'm not seeing much in the way of Romney/Ryan signs but I am seeing a lot of pro republican downticket signs.
9 posted on 11/02/2012 5:19:45 PM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Menehune56
unweighted polling data ~ if it was a random sample poll there was no need to weight it.

I'm surprised the pollster admits jiggering the data, but there you have it.

10 posted on 11/02/2012 5:20:38 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: deek69

This is what happens to you when you try to “Out Biden” Joe Biden.


11 posted on 11/02/2012 5:21:01 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Osama bin Laden is dead, Chrysler moved to Italy and China.)
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To: vette6387

Religious nuts? Are you?


12 posted on 11/02/2012 5:21:04 PM PDT by ansel12 (Vote, but don't pretend.)
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To: vette6387

The “dumb sh!ts” believe this poll.


13 posted on 11/02/2012 5:21:53 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: muawiyah

You are right. When the interviewer asks anything about rape, pregnancy, birth control, fallopian tubes, etc; the correct response is “The national debt is bad for women. The budget deficit is cruel punishment for children.”


14 posted on 11/02/2012 5:22:58 PM PDT by forgotten man (forgotten man)
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To: Kenny

“There you go again”, “Wheres the beef?” and “I won’t use my opponents youth and inexperience against him” were all soundbytes that helped influence elections some 30 years ago.

So this is nothing new to American politics.

The great man, and exceptional President who uttered those lines was blessed with the lack of complete poligical tone deafness being exhibited by the likes of Akin and Mourdock. I think Akin has, miraculously, recovered to the point of actually being able to pull off a win. Mourdock I dont know about. But the fact is that even if they win their paths to victory were needlessly difficult, resulting from self inflicted wounds.


15 posted on 11/02/2012 5:23:23 PM PDT by tanknetter
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To: deek69

Anyone else notice how Yahoo will almost always have at least 2-3 pro 0bama stories and 1-2 anti Romney stories on its front page? When you click the stories to read the comments, the comments are usually anti 0bama and pro Romney.


16 posted on 11/02/2012 5:24:40 PM PDT by gop4lyf (Socialism is the political dream of the unachiever, the excuse maker, and the lazy.)
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To: John W
From the Washington Times:

-snip-

"Mr. Mourdock's campaign countered Friday morning by releasing its own internal numbers from pollster John McLaughlin showing him ahead by 2 points, 46 percent to 44 percent.

"The Democrats have nothing else to point to but smears and distortions, because they certainly can't tout their own record," said Mourdock campaign spokesman Christopher Conner.

That poll of 600 likely voters, conducted from Oct. 31-Nov. 1, has a margin of error of 4 percentage points. The party breakdown is 41 percent Republican, 34 percent Democrat and 21 percent independent."

-end snip-

17 posted on 11/02/2012 5:28:35 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: deek69

He brought it on himself. It’s a shame the GOP will lose a seat they could have easily won, but no sympathy for him.


18 posted on 11/02/2012 5:28:57 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: muawiyah

The RNC and RINO’s are a disaster


19 posted on 11/02/2012 5:29:20 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: vette6387

Whoa there, Sport! You can’t blame Mourdock and Akin.

Don’t you know that conservatives never screw up?

You have to blame the media and the RINOs for this! /sarc


20 posted on 11/02/2012 5:32:20 PM PDT by EveningStar
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To: forgotten man

You’re exactly right because the trap is always set. Discretion is the better part of valor. We need those seats and hopefully coattails will be long enough.


21 posted on 11/02/2012 5:35:17 PM PDT by FryingPan101 (2016 looms)
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To: tanknetter
I don't think these Obama kiddie university pollsters ever had Mourdock leading:

October 4th, 2012.

"According to the latest Howey/DePauw University poll released last Thursday, Democrat Joe Donnelly leads 40 to 38 percent among likely voters -- that's within the margin of error.

Experts say the third party candidate for Senate may be having a negative affect on Mourdock. The poll shows seven percent of likely voters support Libertarian candidate Andrew Horning."

http://cnyhomepage.com/fulltext?nxd_id=26752&d=1

22 posted on 11/02/2012 5:38:28 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: vette6387

Neither said anything wrong. The left just likes to look for things they can twist.

The RINO’s follow the left, of course.

The RNC is dead to me and a lot of conservatives for this.


23 posted on 11/02/2012 5:41:04 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: deek69

Rasmussen has Mourdock down by only 3 to Donnelly.
45%/42%

There’s still time to help Mourdock!

Get Out The Vote!!!


24 posted on 11/02/2012 5:41:30 PM PDT by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: tanknetter

These were not self-inflicted. Their words were twisted by leftists and the RINO’s fall over themselves running away to donate money to another leftist gay RINO in Massataxes instead.


25 posted on 11/02/2012 5:43:29 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: libh8er

I guess he could make up for by eating a baby on live TV and placating the left and RINO’s

/sarcasm


26 posted on 11/02/2012 5:44:50 PM PDT by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: FryingPan101

I live in Indianapolis and all I see is Mourdock signs. I don’t see how Donnelly can be 11 points up.


27 posted on 11/02/2012 5:45:32 PM PDT by DaiHuy (One Big Assed Mistake America)
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To: Red Steel
More Liberal bias from Huey, Dewey, and Louie University - Jun 13th, 2012:


"...told me that he believes Obamacare will propel Mourdock into the Senate, despite polls by Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground (tied at 35%)...."

http://m.courierpress.com/news/2012/jun/13/obamacare-may-kill-donnellys-chances/

Nope, it appears Mourdock never had the lead with these clowns.

28 posted on 11/02/2012 5:46:21 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: DaiHuy

Mourdock is now on with Mark Levin.


29 posted on 11/02/2012 5:46:58 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: vette6387

What kind of nut are you? Irreligious one?


30 posted on 11/02/2012 5:47:22 PM PDT by Moorings
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To: forgotten man
That's about it ~ no excuse at all for the RNC and the RNC Senatorial Committee to have failed to send out some coaches to make sure our Senate candidates (from whatever faction they were) were prepared with answers to deflect the leftwingtard attacks.

We must hold the RNC chairman accountable for these mistakes.

31 posted on 11/02/2012 5:48:30 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: vette6387

The last three words you don’t want to hear,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Meet Your Maker


32 posted on 11/02/2012 5:53:25 PM PDT by silentreignofheroes
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To: deek69

Thanks for the AstroTurf posting from a certified Ovama bundling front group !
Give Axelrod bird troll


33 posted on 11/02/2012 5:56:27 PM PDT by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: nascarnation
I’m very dubious on this poll. Indiana is going R bigtime this election.

The exact same poll shows Romney up +10 in Indiana. Mourdock is running FIFTEEN POINTS behind Romney.

34 posted on 11/02/2012 5:57:03 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: deek69

Well, even if Mourdock loses, I think it was a good gamble for conservatives in Indiana to take. Richard Lugar had been in since 1976, and even though he would probably have cruised to re-election, it was time for a change. Indiana is not Maine or Oregon; conservatives can and do win there regularly. That’s why Donnelly has been touting himself as pro-life and conservative (by Democratic standards) in his campaign ads (note I said touting, and not that he was conservative or pro-life - we’ve all seen how that plays out in DC). It’s unfortunate that Mourdock made the comments he did, but he may yet win if some of the closer polls out there are accurate.


35 posted on 11/02/2012 5:57:41 PM PDT by DemforBush (100% Ex-Democrat.)
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To: DaiHuy

I haven’t seen any Donnelly signs either and I live next door to his old district and personally couldn’t bring myself to vote for either one. Mourdock has such a troubling history of extremist comments there is no doubt he truly believes that the“highlight” of politics is the chance to “inflict” your opinion on someone else.


36 posted on 11/02/2012 5:57:44 PM PDT by erlayman
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To: erlayman

Yeah ok, let the Harry Reid’s 3 million dollar candidate win so Harry can do some more obstructing.


37 posted on 11/02/2012 6:00:32 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: muawiyah
unweighted polling data ~ if it was a random sample poll there was no need to weight it.

It's completely impossible to obtain a truly random sample in a poll and any poll without any weighting (that is, a completely raw data poll) is utterly worthless.

The landline vs. cellphone issue is one prominent reason why all polls have to be weighted, among others.

38 posted on 11/02/2012 6:00:34 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: deek69

They’re lying about what Mourdock said.

The way they write the headlines and speak about it, it sounds as if Mourdock said that God intended the rape to happen.

That is a flat out lie.

He said that if a woman is raped, and then has a baby, then God intended her to have the baby. Killing an innocent baby is just plain wrong. On that point, Mourdock is a hell of a lot better than Romney, who recently said that it’s OK to kill the baby.

And Mourdock is a HELL of a lot better than any Democrat politician, who think it’s OK to kill every baby in sight.

The Christian position is that a baby is a gift of God as well as a physical product of the mother and father. And, incidentally, that is also the position of the Declaration of Independence. The right to life is an inalienable right. The government cannot take it away. Because it is a gift of God.

Which, of course, Obama and any Democrat flatly deny.

Mourdock was right! And if he gave the Democrats an opportunity to twist his words and lie, then we ought to fight back with the truth, not just lie down and take it. The same with Todd Akin. Anything else is letting the Lying Communist Libtards set the rules and define the language.


39 posted on 11/02/2012 6:04:57 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Strategerist
The pollsters all say the landline/cellphone problem has been resolved satisfactorily, but if you'd noticed ~ which I have after getting contacted by 5 major pollsters this year ~ they leave a number for you to call to participate in the poll they picked you for.

That also reduced the non-contact problem. Still, the biggest problem is successful response ~ which is down to 9%. Given the ability of small special interest groups to simply distort their numbers in the population greatly by doing nothing more than ALWAYS answering the phone or making those critical callbacks, you really can't get a true random sample ~ but it only compounds the nonsense when you WEIGHT bizarre data that's pre-loaded with a good 10% GBLTs, feminazis and abortion industry participants.

40 posted on 11/02/2012 6:12:02 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

I live in Virginia.

No poll calls at all.

I only have a cellphone and it still has a Maryland area code.

Without weighting EVERY poll in 2008 would have shown McCain up 10% - you simply have to weight for the fact that younger people are harder to contact and less likely to respond.

One reason the polls are all over the place is everyone is doing that differently, of course.

But it’s unbelievably naive to demand that no weighting be done.


41 posted on 11/02/2012 6:21:54 PM PDT by Strategerist
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To: Strategerist
lots of things change in 4 years ~ the response rates are so low that the results are too fragile to work with ~ plus, small groups can subvert the poll by simply always answering every phone call.

Accept it, the polls are garbage weighted or unweighted, and, after weighting, they aren't even random.

This method of determining public opinion has expired!

42 posted on 11/02/2012 6:30:04 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: deek69

I can’t believe that people here are stupid enough to buy that “poll”. Seriously? Are you all THAT easy?


43 posted on 11/02/2012 6:59:08 PM PDT by DesScorp
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To: deek69

who is in that Senate seat now??


44 posted on 11/02/2012 7:00:52 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: gop4lyf

Yahoo went über liberal with new CEO. I give yahoo less than 2 yrs of life.


45 posted on 11/02/2012 7:04:39 PM PDT by Professional
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To: libh8er

Mourdock’s statement actually plays well here in Indiana. We understand. Don’t worry, he’ll take the race by at least 5 points.


46 posted on 11/02/2012 7:09:05 PM PDT by PhiloBedo (You gotta roll with the punches and get with what's real.)
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To: PhiloBedo

I’m not buying the five points claim; but I think it’s now an even race, as opposed to the Democrat leading. Gonna need to get the masses out and drag Mourdock across the finish line here.


47 posted on 11/02/2012 7:17:14 PM PDT by TitansAFC (Nice job, Rick Santorum. Mission Accomplished! Grrrrrrrrrr.......................)
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To: muawiyah

You are probably right on. We need to fill the seats to take control of the Senate. But what have we, if the “quality” of our members is subpar? Will they be obstructionists who don’t see the bigger picture and hang things up because of some strange belief system? I guess, at this juncture, we haven’t a choice. Just hope they win and then are manageable. A free society survives if we have quality leadership. Unfortunately, in a lot of cases, the person who should have run didn’t even get in the race. I call it the Real Estate Developer/Ambulance Chasing Lawyer Syndrome. That seems to be what we end up on our Town Council. They run, not because they want to do something positive for the town, but rather so that they can line their pockets.


48 posted on 11/02/2012 8:00:17 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Red Steel

“The “dumb sh!ts” believe this poll.”

Mourdock is not leading in any poll I’ve seen since he let us in on his views on women and abortion. Agreed, this poll is probably an outlier, but show me one where he is substantially ahead. I’d like to be comforted that there is hope.


49 posted on 11/02/2012 8:02:15 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: nascarnation
I live in Marion County and have Mourdock...Mike &...May signs in my front yard. Two doors down is an Obama sign. No other signs on the block. (excuse if spelling incorrect. Free Republic spell check weird since changing settings. I am going back to my old settings. Speed has not changed.)
50 posted on 11/02/2012 8:07:50 PM PDT by Bronzy
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