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Rasmussen Daily: SAT: 11/03: R:48 O:48 Obama -8% : THREE Days Left!
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 11/03/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 11/03/2012 6:36:26 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Saturday, November 03, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows the race tied, with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are still undecided. See daily tracking history.

Forty-six percent (46%) are certain they will vote for Romney, while 45% are sure they will vote for the president.

For most of the year, Rasmussen Reports has conducted 500 survey interviews per night and reported the results on a three-day rolling average basis. For the final week of the campaign, we are conducting 1,000 survey interviews per night.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Sitting in no power, no gas, NJ right now. Sandy + 6 and we have had an Obama photo op and praise for said photo op from Gov Tub. We have had nothing else. People who were good natured and affable are now mad as hell. They are openly wondering what the truck President photo op was talking about when he said that we would get whatever we need. As te anger increases, look for a fade for President photo op.


41 posted on 11/03/2012 7:13:46 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: JPG

My pleasure...

(Raise you a toast in anticipation of the Governor’s victory on TUE)


42 posted on 11/03/2012 7:14:19 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
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To: goldstategop

They get an A- and 97 percent accuracy for polls. This must be the 3 percent inaccurate...lol. Of course, all polls that do not go our way is considered suspect...lol.


43 posted on 11/03/2012 7:17:36 AM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: FerociousRabbit
Well we need to direct those people to those poling places that open just for them on Wednesday AM, where prepaid phone cards and left over Halloween candy will be distributed to the first 1000 voters. I think I heard Jay-Z and Pitbull will be performing a duet of “Turn this mutha out”, there also.
44 posted on 11/03/2012 7:17:40 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: FlipWilson

You are going to stew in your anger but the media won’t cover it. Christie could redeem himself now (somewhat) by asking Obama very publicly what happened to all the help that was promised.


45 posted on 11/03/2012 7:20:38 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Ras weekly poll commentary : http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/weekly_updates/what_they_told_us_reviewing_last_week_s_key_polls2

Strong majority still wants to repeal obamacare. People must be schizoid.


46 posted on 11/03/2012 7:22:42 AM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

This! Christie better get to it. It would only be the truth anyway.


47 posted on 11/03/2012 7:22:48 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: SoftwareEngineer
I am not going to say that Scott Rasmussen is deliberately skewing this poll...

No, he wouldn't skew. He uses a special sauce.


48 posted on 11/03/2012 7:24:37 AM PDT by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: napscoordinator
Of course, all polls that do not go our way is considered suspect...lol.

C'mon. You're still bitter that Mitt Romney is our nominee, and so you post doom on poll threads to depress other FReepers? Would it actually make you feel better to see Obama win?

49 posted on 11/03/2012 7:24:46 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (O-H-I-O, Barry - misspell our name and we kick you out!)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Calm down, Freepers. Take a Xanax, and stop looking at polls. Keep in mind:

1. They told us the Wisconsin Recall was TOO CLOSE TO CALL on the day of that election.

2. We were told Kerry had a lead in OH of 5 points days before the 2004 election. Bush won OH.

3. Not one single pollster predicted the republican TIDAL WAVE of 2010. Not a single one.

4. Romney/Ryan are filling up HUGE stadiums and Zero’s people are having to change to smaller venues so there can’t be photos of massive empty seats.

5. Ask yourself this: Forget about R or D. Suppose Candidate A is an incumbent president who can’t get to 50% in the polls. The people who enthusiastically turned out for him before are going to either switch sides or stay home in significant numbers (youth vote, women, Jews, Catholics). Candidate A cannot run on his disastrous record, and so the entire campaign strategy has been to depict his opponent as an evil person and accuse him of being a lying murderer. The crowds at events for Candidate A look dejected and desperate. Even though the press is trying fervently to cover for Candidate A, the public saw with their own eyes and ears how Candidate A blamed a video for a terrorist attack and the public knows that to be a blatant lie.

Candidate B had the entire lame-stream press against him, yet he handily won the first debate and people saw that he is not the person demonized by his opponent. Candidate B has run an upbeat campaign and has talked about the issues. Candidate B has a business record to run on. Candidate B has been at 50% to 51% in the polls (with a minor blip due to slobbering hurricane press coverage of Candidate A). Candidate B has won back the women’s vote from what it was at the last election. The independents are favoring Candidate B. The enthusiasm for Candidate B is at record levels.

So, forgetting R or D, with three days left to go, which campaign would you want to be a part of?


50 posted on 11/03/2012 7:24:52 AM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: Arthurio
You are going to stew in your anger but the media won’t cover it. Christie could redeem himself now (somewhat) by asking Obama very publicly what happened to all the help that was promised.

Just thought about that a few minutes ago. If Christie is smart, come out blasting FEMA. In fact, I am giving it a 50/50 chance that he does.

51 posted on 11/03/2012 7:26:25 AM PDT by Hero
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To: Arthurio

I was prepared so I am really not angry . You miss my point. It is the victim class that is angry. The media is addicted to reporting on the victim class and will do so this time. In addition, the media’s rule is that “if it bleeds it leads” and it is starting to bleed (metaphorically speaking). I have already seen it being reported on the local news.


52 posted on 11/03/2012 7:29:30 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: PatrickHaggerty

According to what is on his site the final number will be released on Monday but ONLY after careful examination of the results to determine their validity as it applies to the standards of the Gallup Organization.


53 posted on 11/03/2012 7:29:45 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: ilgipper

The MSM are acting as if Mitt Romney does not exist.


54 posted on 11/03/2012 7:30:58 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Obama won’t have positive headlines on drive time radio this Monday and Tuesday as he did last week. AP may be able to bury how bad things are on Staten Island, but they won’t be able to manufacture “Savior of the World” headlines.


55 posted on 11/03/2012 7:34:56 AM PDT by gusopol3
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To: SoftwareEngineer
I think Rasmussen's (and other national polls) are being overweighted based on the number of respondents who say they have voted early, when state data clearly indicates they have not. Yesterday's Ohio poll was a good example - it showed 40% or respondents had voted early, yet the actual early turnout (absentee and early) has only been about 29%. The early vote in Ohio has more Democrats represented (as they have been aggressively campaigning for early votes), so if you start with a Likely Voter screen that is inaccurate and weight it more towards the Democrats, you wind up with a signifcant error in the final number.

BTW, I would add that the early numbers from Ohio are looking very good for Romney. :)

56 posted on 11/03/2012 7:36:42 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (O-H-I-O, Barry - misspell our name and we kick you out!)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

OTOH, Barone made a manly predition.


57 posted on 11/03/2012 7:38:11 AM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
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To: daler

Re: It will all come down to turnout


True!

Re: I can’t see anyone being swayed at this late hour.

FALSE!

We just may not see that sway until the final results of the election.

KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!


58 posted on 11/03/2012 7:38:17 AM PDT by tsowellfan
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To: scooby321; Impy

NBA Commissioner David Stern referred to it as “Katrina”.


59 posted on 11/03/2012 7:40:22 AM PDT by GOPsterinMA (The Glove don't fit, but it's better than a burqa.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I think the key thing is that these are randon samples, there is a margin of error, even in the internals, and the small fluctuations in the internals are simply random. It’s going to be close.


60 posted on 11/03/2012 7:43:14 AM PDT by Numbers Guy
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