Skip to comments.Here's Why Obama Will Lose Wisconsin
Posted on 11/03/2012 8:48:01 AM PDT by Kaslin
President Obama avoided Wisconsin like the plague during the Walker recall campaign season because he didn't want to be associated with the liberals losing effort which came up 7 points short. Up until today, Obama has only visited Wisconsin twice in the past eight months (his last visit before the June 5 recall election was February 15 to Masterlock).
This morning, Obama visited Green Bay and he has two more plans to visit Wisconsin before November 6. So that's 2 visits in 8 months, then 3 last minute visits in the campaigns' final 5 days. These are the signs of a President who senses he is on the ropes and must win Wisconsin in order to be re-elected.
Polling has been all over the place for the Presidential race in Wisconsin. Rasmussen Reports has showed it tied in their two latest Wisconsin polls, but Marquette Law Poll has jumped all over the place, from Obama leading by 11 in late September, to only 1 point in the middle of October, to now leading by 8 points. As Wisconsin conservative talk show radio host Charlie Sykes pointed out, this wild movement in polling suggests Marquette Law Poll isn't on the money this time. NBC News/Marist/Wall St. Journal's latest poll has Romney cutting Obama's prior edge in half (it was 6 points 3 weeks ago) and now is only 3 points (within the margin of error). This poll had a +5 D sample. So if the electorate is merely +1 D, Obama is in real trouble.
In Obama's 2008 14-point Wisconsin win, exit polls showed a partisan ID split of +6 D: Dem 39%, GOP 33%, IND 29%. In the 2010 fall election, where Gov. Scott Walker was elected by 6 points, exit polls showed a partisan ID split of only +1 D: Dem 37%, GOP 36%, IND 27%. The June 5, 2012 Recall election then had a partisan split of +1 GOP: Dem 34%, GOP 35%, IND 31%.
One of the miscalculations of the Left's recall efforts was what it would do to conservatives. They came out of the woodwork to help re-elect Gov. Scott Walker and the recall re-invigorated the Tea Party. But it also gave conservatives an important test run of their ground game.
As a ground-game organizer for American Majority Action, I can attest that having just built up a significant GOTV operation for the June 5 recall election has made it much easier to build it up even bigger before November 6. Not only that, but the recall election allowed conservatives the chance to use cutting edge canvassing technologies, such as Political Gravity, which American Majority Action and other conservatives groups use. We are now more efficiently reaching voters and able to target the swing voters that could tip the balance in this election.
American Majority Action has nearly knocked on 85,000 doors in Wisconsin in the past several weeks and will eclipse 100,000 by November 6. Had the recall election not happened, I doubt we would have been able to as easily and efficiently knock on this many doors.
When you factor the conservative ground game into the polling data in Wisconsin, you see why Obama is frantically coming to Wisconsin so much in the final 5 days of the campaign. This is a Presidency that is on the ropes and he is afraid Wisconsin could land the knockout blow.
Are the unions going to support the traitor? Didn’t 0bama promise undying support and to carry a sign? Are they going to forget Mr Big Talk No Show?
I haven’t even had to read any of the poll predictions, concerning Wisconsin.. Obama is going down.. BIG.. in this election.. Yawn.. :)
Didn't see a single Obama-Biden sign anywhere along the interstate. Not one. Saw a bunch of Romney-Ryan bumper stickers on cars, along with "I Stand With Scott Walker" bumper stickers, while I saw perhaps one, maybe two Obama bumper stickers.
That was true on the way UP to our cabin in the U.P. and on our way HOME.
Sure looks to this casual observer that Romney has WI in the bag.
It’s remarkable how Øbozo crapped on the left in Wisconsin and yet they still pull the lever for him. They have a death-grip on their ideology in spite of the fact that it no longer serves their interests.
Liberalism in a mental disorder
I was a Wisconsin resident when another campaign made desperate last minute visits to the state. In 1992, campaign genius Mary Matalin had George H.W. Bush drop into the state about 5x in the last 6 days. His voice was gone, he looked haggard. I recall him on Larry King, live from Wisconsin on the Friday evening before the election. Earlier that afternoon Caspar Weinberger had been indicted in Washington, so that was the topic of the moment, and Bush seemed peeved and distracted. It was a miserable end to the miserable campaign, but Matalin thought that being in Wisconsin at the end would help. Result - Clinton won by 5%. Apparently the Bush campaign’s internals were confounded by Ross Perot’s presence.
May Barack Obama feel the same heartbreak in the Badger State in 2012!
BART STARR back to pass... looking looking downfield.... spots a wide open ROMNEY in the end zone....TOUCHDOWN WISCONSIN! TEAM ROMNEY WINS THE USA BOWL!
President Obama avoided Wisconsin like the plague during the Walker recall campaign season because he didn't want to be associated with the liberals' losing effort which came up 7 points short. Up until today, Obama has only visited Wisconsin twice in the past eight months (his last visit before the June 5 recall election was February 15 to Masterlock). This morning, Obama visited Green Bay and he has two more plans to visit Wisconsin before November 6. So that's 2 visits in 8 months, then 3 last minute visits in the campaigns' final 5 days.What's this "like the plague" stuff? Zero *is* the plague, and we are the penicillin.
600 job cuts announced last night at WPS, a major medicare insurance processor. More layoffs at Kimberly Clark and Oshkosh Truck. The state Dems killed a mining deal earlier this year that could have brought hundreds of union jobs to northern WI.
Wisconsin will vote their pocketbooks and Obama will lose.
Despite having voted for Dukakis in 1988, WI was one of 9 states that definitely would have gone to Bush instead of Clinton in 1992 had Perot not been on the ballot (the others were GA, MT, CO, NV, OH, NH, NJ and KY); IA, CT and ME would likely have been narrow Clinton wins, but had Bush won IA and CT, he would have gotten exactly 270 EVs.
One of the miscalculations of the Left’s recall efforts was what it would do to conservatives. They came out of the woodwork to help re-elect Gov. Scott Walker and the recall re-invigorated the Tea Party. But it also gave conservatives an important test run of their ground game.
Yet another example of liberals’ inability and unwillingness to consider the consequences of their misguided actions. In their ideological zeal to depose Walker and others they actually helped to create a strong conservative political organization. The mother of all ironies would be if that organization was to win Wisconsin and put Romney over the top.
The same Masterlock that's shedding jobs and closing plants?
Most likely! They "outsourced" all their trigger-lock1 production to China and had to eat several 100K finished locks because of failures to meet specifications.
The Chinese had "redesigned" the lock, changing the material for a ratchet pawl to mild steel from high carbon, reducing it's thickness by two thirds, and eliminating all heat treatment. A child could pull the two halves of the locked lock apart with no problem. The pawl was destroyed in the process and the lock would no longer close.
It cost them millions.
PS A friend of mine ran CNC machines in their tool room. He told me about the fiasco shortly before he left to find a better job.
All guns sold in the US must include a locking device that can render the firearm non-functional. The mechanism may be internal to the firearm or external like a two piece trigger lock that clamps around the trigger guard. The legislation was introduced by Senator Herb Kohl, Wisconsin's senior Senator. He thus created an ongoing market for Masterlock (Headquartered in Milwaukee) which could have resulted in millions of sales of the $7.00 lock. Too bad, so sad!
Come on, Cheeseheads.
This is your last chance to turn Obamacare into a 2700 page bonfire.