Election 2012: Ohio Senate Ohio Senate: Brown (D) 48%, Mandel (R) 48%

rasmussen ^ | 11/03/2012 | ras

[barryobi]

The U.S. Senate race in Ohio remains a close one.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown and his Republican challenger Josh Mandel each earning 48% support. Two percent (2%) like some other candidate, and another two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

[barryobi]

Keep the faith FReepers. Nov 6 could be a huge shock to the Democrats. Nowhere on their radar did they think uber lib Sherrod Brown would lose to Josh Mandel. Also, in Pa. Bob Casey is in real trouble.

If Romney wins Oh, Pa, Va, and Wi. look for the Republicans to win those Senate races too, thus winning control of the Senate.

Tuesday we need to vote like our future depends on it, because it really does.

[palmer]

I wouldn’t count on Allen in Virginia. It looks like there will be some split votes by the yard signs for Allen without an Obama sign. Even a Romney victory will be close, there are plenty of rural Obama signs and Planned Parenthood has been pouring money into anti-Romney smear ads about every 10 minutes on the country music station.

[palmer]

Whoops, I meant yard signs for Kaine without a corresponding Obama sign.

[barryobi]

How many nascar, country music fans are going to be swayed by planned parenthood to vote for Obama?

[palmer]

Beats me. I guess it’s ok that Planned Parenthood is at least giving our tax money to a worthwhile radio station.

[SC_Pete]

Win the Senate and we can protect the Constitution for a generation.

[SoFloFreeper]

Wow...sounds like a Republican surge in Ohio.

[outofstyle]

How many nascar, country music fans are going to be swayed by planned parenthood to vote for Obama?

There is incongruity at loose in this country. I remember driving through the mountains of VA in 2008. I passed a barn with an 8'x10' Confederate flag side by side with an equally large "Obama" sign. I knew it was over at that point.

[WashingtonSource]

Those yard signs for Kaine show Democrats and Kaine afraid to be identified with Obama. I see it as a positive sign for Allen. There was just a poll which had Allen up 3. See here: http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/allencampaign_pollmemo_10-10-12.html

[TornadoAlley3]

Obama Ohio crowd- 4000

http://t.co/su8ZT05p

[barryobi]

In 2008 he had 80,000 in Cleveland the last weekend. Seems he is 76,000 below that today. John McCain actually gave a speech in that SAME auditorium on the last weekend of 2008 to a similar size crowd.

[ExCTCitizen]

I still think we might pick up CT and keep ME and MA.

[103198]

I agree - I’m counting on Allen and Romney in Virginia. And I’m working on it to get it done.

[SarahPalin2012]

I’m working and will continue to work in VA for Romney and Allen.

Our household has four adults who will vote for Romney and Allen (one who already voted). However, this state will be more RED than people think this year. The goose (an African species bird) is already cooked. Stick a pitchfork in it.

[fortheDeclaration]

Gee, that is some solid evidence you have there!

[AFPhys]

Don’t just vote for Romney and your GOP congresscritters ... work to get some others out to vote along with you! Get one or two, or work to get many... just do what you are able to multiply your own vote!

I got back here a few tens of minutes ago, after knocking on doors here in Central NYState for Ann Marie Buerkle (ACU=100% rating). I was in a pretty Dem-leaning area “to help cut their advantage”, so I have nothing wonderful to report from my contacts there.

What I DO have to report that is great is the atmosphere in her call center. ALL phones were manned when I left there this evening, just as they were BY TEA PARTY folk and YOUNG voters in 2010.

She is in a tough race, a rematch with the Congressman (Maffei) who she beat in 2010. Win or lose, I can report that we Tea Party folk are indeed an activist organization now, and have not at all gone away, despite anything the Dinosaur Media tries to maintain.

I’ll be in a different area tomorrow, and out on the street being human billboard all day on Tuesday. I am not the only one putting in this type of time and energy.

You all can multiply your vote, too!

[103198]

I'm working and will continue to work in VA for Romney and Allen too.

Our household has four adults - two of whom have voted absentee for Romney and Allen. The other two of us will tomorrow for Romney and Allen between working the polls. I agree with you, the Commonwealth of Virginia will be more RED than people think.

We're in the land of Gooch. Where are you located?

[jjsheridan5]

I'm working and will continue to work in VA for Romney and Allen too.

I worked for McCain, and I knew he was in trouble because it seemed like every 5th respondent (out of Republican phone numbers) was dead-set on voting for Obama. What are you seeing?

One good piece of news out of NOVA. I used to live in a heavily "diverse" apartment complex. In 2008, at least one out of four windows had an Obama sign. Bumper stickers were everywhere, as well as yard signs in car windows. The maintenance people even put up those huge Obama banners above their office. Walking around, I had many people (they had no idea I am Republican) wanting to talk politics and were beside themselves with excitement. Traveling to other, similarly diverse complexes, revealed the same thing (not to mention the generally middle class neighborhoods, where Obama signs were *everywhere*.

This year -- nothing. That same complex had a grand total of one bumper sticker. I did a bit of driving to other areas that I could compare with 2008 -- same thing. These were the "new voters" that Obama pulled in 2008, and probably gave him Virginia. In living there for 14 years (off and on), I only once heard anything political, and that was in 2008. I would be very surprised if they show up to vote tomorrow.

[103198]

I worked the 2008 campaign too. That was a train wreck. I had to spent $1,000 of my own money just to get 4’ x 8’ signs printed up in NoVA so that we would have some. Poorly managed.

This one is a whole different ballgame. Better campaign coordination between RPV and the groups including We r Virginia.

We're seeing an energized Republican voter this time and not as much enthusiasm by the Dims. They having to work real hard - and our votes are coming easy. We haven't been able to keep signs in stock. People are anxious to vote and we have set an all time AB vote record. In 2008, the County voted 61+% McCain/Palin and I think it will be larger this time. We also lead the Commonwealth in registered voter turnout with 85.1%. I hope to better it this time.

I don't know exactly where you are, but I have heard that in Fairfax as an example, that there are 32,000 fewer registered voters in 2012 than in 2008. Do you know if the number of voters in NoVA is down across the board?