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New Hampshire Poll: Romney 47%, 0bama 47%
UNH ^

Posted on 11/03/2012 5:27:24 PM PDT by Arthurio

These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll ∗ conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and two (502) randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 31 and November 2, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent. In the following charts and tables, percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding. 2012 Presidential Election

Mitt Romney has closed the gap with Barack Obama in the Granite State, and the two are now locked in a dead heat. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 47% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Obama, 47% say they will vote for Romney, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 4% are undecided.

When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Obama and Romney remain tied, with 48% for Obama, 48% for Romney, 2% for some other candidate, and 3% remain undecided.

There is a pronounced gender gap, but neither candidate benefits. Obama leads among women by 58% to 40% while Romney leads among men, 57% to 38%. There is also a religious divide -- among regular church goers, Romney holds a 69% to 29% lead while Obama leads by 60% to 34% among people who never attend church services.

(Excerpt) Read more at unh.edu ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 11/03/2012 5:27:25 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: Arthurio

I think this poll had Obama up 8 on Oct. 22. Now its tied. The Mitt momentum continues.


2 posted on 11/03/2012 5:29:04 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: Arthurio
Aye, yie yie:

This is like kissing my sister.

3 posted on 11/03/2012 5:30:27 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Arthurio

Wow, this is no rightwing poll, it has had Obama with a substantial lead all year. In the last poll Obama had a 7 point lead over Romney 49%/42%. Romney has the closed the gap over the last week!


4 posted on 11/03/2012 5:31:56 PM PDT by apillar
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To: Arthurio

If Romney is running neck and neck with Obama in a liberal state like NH, Obama is in big trouble.


5 posted on 11/03/2012 5:33:15 PM PDT by doc1019
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To: Arthurio
I live on the bad side of the border of MA/NH so I go into NH quite a bit to shop (no sales taxes over there).

Wish I could say I feel good about NH but there is just too many fleeing Bay Staters escaping the liberal hellhole that is MA to the NH cities of Nashua, Salem, and Manchester. From those areas, it's still a relatively easy commute to the Greater Boston area so people can move there to escape some of the taxes they voted for while not having to give up their jobs.

Unfortunately, most of these refugees take their Democrat voting ways with them. They have had it bred into them since birth that Republicans are evil and only for the rich. This is causing NH to shift demographically to the left and unless this trend is somehow reversed, NH will soon be as bad as MA.

So I actually feel better about PA, WI and IA than I do about NH right now. Would love to see NH flip red again but I'll have to wait and see to believe it.

6 posted on 11/03/2012 5:33:41 PM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: Arthurio; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; ...

Poll ping.


7 posted on 11/03/2012 5:34:59 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: Arthurio

These polls showing a tie all indicate to me that Mitt Romney is way ahead. Come on Tuesday!!!!


8 posted on 11/03/2012 5:35:43 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: Arthurio
I keep seeing these polls that show a “gender gap”. That should mean that there are a lot of mixed marriages out there. It is time that a few of the Obama voters sides of those marriages get some serious facts explained to them by the thinking side. This crap about voting Obama and letting this nations economy, national security, energy costs, and foreign policy go to hell because they think Obama support abortion is irrational.
9 posted on 11/03/2012 5:38:21 PM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: FReepers; Patriots


Bring It ON!

Freepers are Ready!

Please Support Your Forum Tonight!

10 posted on 11/03/2012 5:42:45 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Paladin2

How can Obama be tied under 50 in WI, MN, NH, IA, PA, OH, MI

with CO and VA in Romney lean slight.
Florida with 5 pt. lead R.
Nevada slight Obama.

AND possibly win EV????? It would have to be an inside straight WITH voter
fraud.

To get to 270 Electoral votes
Romney combinations : 1) WIn PA win (20)
2) win OH win (18)
3) win both PA and OH (38)
4) win WI and NH (14)
5) win WI and IA (16)
6) win MN and WI (20)
7) win WI, MI and IA

Conversely, how does Obama win without OH??? VA and FL and CO?????

I think Maine district is going Romney. (1 EV)


11 posted on 11/03/2012 5:43:11 PM PDT by preamble
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To: preamble
"6) win MN and WI (20) 7) win WI, MI and IA"

Whoa! There's some Hopium Smokin'.

(I'd be happy to be proven wrong though.)

12 posted on 11/03/2012 5:55:19 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: SamAdams76
"I live on the bad side..."

You're BAD. ;-)

13 posted on 11/03/2012 5:56:32 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: Proud2BeRight

No it means there are a lot of single women and they want government to take care of them. Married women are a minority now.


14 posted on 11/03/2012 5:57:08 PM PDT by Varda
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To: SamAdams76
"Wish I could say I feel good about NH but there is just too many fleeing Bay Staters escaping... "

Wouldn't those be more properly identified as "Massholes" who are screwing up the "Live Free or Die" State?

15 posted on 11/03/2012 5:59:46 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: preamble

Don’t forget VA. Romney needs to win that one for any of your scenerios.


16 posted on 11/03/2012 6:05:17 PM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Arthurio

This is the biggest pro Obama polling company in NH - they’ve artificially kept Obama up all year by as much as 15 points and suddenly it’s tied there?

Looks good in NH for sure. Romney wouldn’t have his final rally there if it wasn’t trending toward him.

Also the religious divide is very nice. 40 point gap amount church goers but only 26 points amoung non church goers...those church goers will be the ones delivering many of the swing states for Romney and are undercounted in most polls.


17 posted on 11/03/2012 6:06:21 PM PDT by IsaacDian
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To: Arthurio

Not good news for Romney tied with Obama.


18 posted on 11/03/2012 6:18:26 PM PDT by yield 2 the right (2012, the election year that stinks!)
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To: yield 2 the right
Not good news for Romney tied with Obama.

It's better news for Romney than the incumbent, I would say. NH Freepers who are working in the campaign are saying that they are confident that turnout will far exceed 2008.

We'll see.....

19 posted on 11/03/2012 6:25:53 PM PDT by wolf24
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To: Paladin2

You know what? You’re right!


20 posted on 11/03/2012 6:38:47 PM PDT by nkronos
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To: Arthurio
what the hell happened to Live Free or DIE??? just a saying now days i guess
21 posted on 11/03/2012 6:57:17 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: Arthurio

I didn’t see the dem bias in that poll. In our primary, 56% of the ballots cast for governor were for a republican. That is in a race with no incumbant and two hotly contested primaries. Either our election fraud coutermeasures are working or voter enthusiasm is skewing to the right.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 6:57:56 PM PDT by wizwor
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To: Arthurio

With these expected Obama states MA/NH tied I am not sure how Rasmussen shows the nation as tied.


23 posted on 11/03/2012 7:20:40 PM PDT by Steve Van Doorn (*in my best Eric Cartman voice* 'I love you, guys')
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