Skip to comments.New Hampshire Poll: Romney 47%, 0bama 47%
Posted on 11/03/2012 5:27:24 PM PDT by Arthurio
These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll ∗ conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and two (502) randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 31 and November 2, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.4 percent. In the following charts and tables, percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding. 2012 Presidential Election
Mitt Romney has closed the gap with Barack Obama in the Granite State, and the two are now locked in a dead heat. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 47% of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Obama, 47% say they will vote for Romney, 2% prefer some other candidate, and 4% are undecided.
When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Obama and Romney remain tied, with 48% for Obama, 48% for Romney, 2% for some other candidate, and 3% remain undecided.
There is a pronounced gender gap, but neither candidate benefits. Obama leads among women by 58% to 40% while Romney leads among men, 57% to 38%. There is also a religious divide -- among regular church goers, Romney holds a 69% to 29% lead while Obama leads by 60% to 34% among people who never attend church services.
(Excerpt) Read more at unh.edu ...
I think this poll had Obama up 8 on Oct. 22. Now its tied. The Mitt momentum continues.
This is like kissing my sister.
Wow, this is no rightwing poll, it has had Obama with a substantial lead all year. In the last poll Obama had a 7 point lead over Romney 49%/42%. Romney has the closed the gap over the last week!
If Romney is running neck and neck with Obama in a liberal state like NH, Obama is in big trouble.
Wish I could say I feel good about NH but there is just too many fleeing Bay Staters escaping the liberal hellhole that is MA to the NH cities of Nashua, Salem, and Manchester. From those areas, it's still a relatively easy commute to the Greater Boston area so people can move there to escape some of the taxes they voted for while not having to give up their jobs.
Unfortunately, most of these refugees take their Democrat voting ways with them. They have had it bred into them since birth that Republicans are evil and only for the rich. This is causing NH to shift demographically to the left and unless this trend is somehow reversed, NH will soon be as bad as MA.
So I actually feel better about PA, WI and IA than I do about NH right now. Would love to see NH flip red again but I'll have to wait and see to believe it.
These polls showing a tie all indicate to me that Mitt Romney is way ahead. Come on Tuesday!!!!
How can Obama be tied under 50 in WI, MN, NH, IA, PA, OH, MI
with CO and VA in Romney lean slight.
Florida with 5 pt. lead R.
Nevada slight Obama.
AND possibly win EV????? It would have to be an inside straight WITH voter
To get to 270 Electoral votes
Romney combinations : 1) WIn PA win (20)
2) win OH win (18)
3) win both PA and OH (38)
4) win WI and NH (14)
5) win WI and IA (16)
6) win MN and WI (20)
7) win WI, MI and IA
Conversely, how does Obama win without OH??? VA and FL and CO?????
I think Maine district is going Romney. (1 EV)
Whoa! There's some Hopium Smokin'.
(I'd be happy to be proven wrong though.)
You're BAD. ;-)
No it means there are a lot of single women and they want government to take care of them. Married women are a minority now.
Wouldn't those be more properly identified as "Massholes" who are screwing up the "Live Free or Die" State?
Don’t forget VA. Romney needs to win that one for any of your scenerios.
This is the biggest pro Obama polling company in NH - they’ve artificially kept Obama up all year by as much as 15 points and suddenly it’s tied there?
Looks good in NH for sure. Romney wouldn’t have his final rally there if it wasn’t trending toward him.
Also the religious divide is very nice. 40 point gap amount church goers but only 26 points amoung non church goers...those church goers will be the ones delivering many of the swing states for Romney and are undercounted in most polls.
Not good news for Romney tied with Obama.
It's better news for Romney than the incumbent, I would say. NH Freepers who are working in the campaign are saying that they are confident that turnout will far exceed 2008.
You know what? You’re right!
I didn’t see the dem bias in that poll. In our primary, 56% of the ballots cast for governor were for a republican. That is in a race with no incumbant and two hotly contested primaries. Either our election fraud coutermeasures are working or voter enthusiasm is skewing to the right.
With these expected Obama states MA/NH tied I am not sure how Rasmussen shows the nation as tied.