Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Final 2012 Election Predictions: Romney wins White House, GOP keeps House,Republicans take Senate.
HillBuzz ^ | November 3, 2012 | Kevin DuJan

Posted on 11/04/2012 6:55:53 AM PST by COUNTrecount

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-5051-86 last
To: PapaNew

God’s mercy is greater than all of our sin. Thank you Jesus for your love and goodness. Thanks for once more raising our country up to once again to be a light of freedom and a spiritual light of God’s grace to the world.


51 posted on 11/04/2012 10:13:23 AM PST by PapaNew
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount
I 100% believe all of the polls are being manipulated purposefully by pollsters to give Barack Obama a psychological advantage in this election.

Now, that will be interesting to witness. I've been thinking "how in hell can America get it wrong again by re-electing the Obama moron"? That would be so un-American if that happened.

52 posted on 11/04/2012 10:47:43 AM PST by unique1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Click


For every New Monthly Donor
A generous Freeper donates $10!!
Please sign up now!

53 posted on 11/04/2012 11:10:40 AM PST by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=om93destr)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Grampa Dave
2008 Obama won b/c Americans got sucked into the biggest fad ever to hit the country since Cabbage Patch Kids, pet rocks, neon friendship bracelets, McRibs, New Kids on the Block, Beanie Babies, etc........

The Obama table games will be known as "Who Can Hide The Most Federal Money" and Who Can Make Make The Highest Deficit."

And FstLdy is an animated figure---when you pull her string, she says," Let's vacay."

54 posted on 11/04/2012 11:46:03 AM PST by Liz ("Come quickly, I'm tasting the stars," Dom Perignon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 41 | View Replies]

To: detch

If Romney wins PA, I hope I have the privilege of seeing Chris Matthews try to explain it.


55 posted on 11/04/2012 11:51:40 AM PST by Cato in PA (1/26/12: Bloody Thursday)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

2008 RESULTS

Barack Obama
Electoral vote 365
States carried 28 + DC + NE-02
Popular vote 69,456,897[2]
Percentage 52.9%[2]

John McCain
Electoral vote 173
States carried 22
Popular vote 59,934,814[2]
Percentage 45.7%[2]

2008 PREDICTIONS

Karl Rove
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200

Matthew Dowd, former Bush strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 250 Democrats 185 Republicans

George Will, conservative columnist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 378 McCain 160
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 254 Democrats 181 Republicans

Donna Brazile, Democratic strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 343
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 39 Republicans
House Seats: 262 Democrats 173 Republicans

George Stephanopoulos, ABC News anchor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 353 McCain 185
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats (59 if there’s a run-off in Georgia) Republicans 40
House Seats: Democrats 264 Republicans 171

Mark Halperin, Time editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 349 McCain 189
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 261 Democrats 174 Republicans


56 posted on 11/04/2012 12:18:41 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (Soebarkah Soetoro)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNJohnnie

No way we win the Senate, we screwed the pooch in too many areas where we should have cruised to victory.

We keep the House.

We take the POTUS (I pray, but I’m nervous beyond belief)...275 electoral votes

Senate, we blow it and have 47.


57 posted on 11/04/2012 12:59:27 PM PST by muwarriors92
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: The Great RJ
Since my birthday falls on election day this year, this scenario would be the best birthday present I could hope for.

I got my birthday present with the first debate. Hope you get yours as well!
58 posted on 11/04/2012 1:14:44 PM PST by yorkiemom (Yorkie Moms 4 Ryan ; Ryan + Romney = Recovery)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Carry_Okie

42 posts to find someone who sees it like I do. You nailed it!


59 posted on 11/04/2012 1:29:31 PM PST by DonnerT (After all is said and done, it is God's Will that will be done.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: jpl

A nice person would say “Your forecast is over-optimistic.” Or, perhaps, “is biased.” But, you said my forecast was “nuts,” as though my forecast didn’t come from me but came from out of thin air and, so, can be judged as “nuts” without reflecting on whether I’m nuts.

Then, after arguing that a person can say things that are nuts and not be himself nuts, you say I’m thinking this is a wave election. Like, 2006 and 2008 were with respect to the Senate when the Democrats won all the close ones.

Wave elections happen. We will know whether or not this is a wave election on Tuesday night. The possibility that this will be a wave election is the premise of this conversation, based on the lack of ticket-splitting. The lack of ticket splitting will enable a lot of Republicans to win the close ones (that is, close ones in the Red States and close ones in the Battleground states if Romney wins them).

If you would return to my original post, you will notice that I qualified the forecast for the states in which the Republican was counting on ticket-splitting in Blue states. It seems to me that the lack of ticket-splitting nowadays cuts both ways, helping Republicans in Red states and in Battleground states should Romney win, and making it tougher on them in Blue states.


60 posted on 11/04/2012 2:09:28 PM PST by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 49 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

Mitt gets at least 296 Ev’s

http://asspos.blogspot.com/2012/11/election-prediction-victors-of.html


61 posted on 11/04/2012 2:11:14 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

Thanks for this thread.


62 posted on 11/04/2012 2:27:49 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Caipirabob
Thhhhaaaannnnkkkk yyoooouuuuhh heh, heh, heh! Thanks you for the laugh. You made my day and put a smile on my face.

The question is: Will they rise from the dead and become vampires like the Count or ZOMBIES? Either one fits: Sesame Street is sucking the monitary life-blood of Americans and eating our childrens brains.

63 posted on 11/04/2012 2:29:30 PM PST by Jmouse007 (Lord deliver us from evil, in Jesus name, amen.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

Thanks for this thread.


64 posted on 11/04/2012 2:31:18 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Graewoulf

You’re welcome!

I’ll be re reading it tomorrow and Tuesday, it helps to keep a smile on my face.


65 posted on 11/04/2012 2:35:33 PM PST by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 64 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount
Connecticut = Republican surprise win
Very conceivable. Wrestling is fake, but Linda McMahon runs the WWE as a business, and a very successful one at that For her to make it what it is, takes lots of wherewithal and business expertise. She would certainly have my vote if I lived in CT.
66 posted on 11/04/2012 4:59:01 PM PST by Impala64ssa (You call me an islamophobe like it's a bad thing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Usagi_yo

“I think there’s going to be trouble on Tuesday, I anticipate Black on white violence and blacks suppressing votes.”

I really, really DOUBT that will happen. It is for the most part, ALL TALK and nothing more.


67 posted on 11/04/2012 5:46:32 PM PST by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

I got back here a few tens of minutes ago, after knocking on doors here in Central NYState for Ann Marie Buerkle (ACU=100% rating). I was in a pretty Dem-leaning area “to help cut their advantage”, so I have nothing wonderful to report from my contacts there.

What I DO have to report that is great is the atmosphere in her call center. ALL phones were manned when I left there this evening, just as they were BY TEA PARTY folk and YOUNG voters in 2010.

She is in a tough race, a rematch with the Congressman (Maffei) who she beat in 2010. Win or lose, I can report that we Tea Party folk are indeed an activist organization now, and have not at all gone away, despite anything the Dinosaur Media tries to maintain.

I’ll be in a different area tomorrow, and out on the street being human billboard all day on Tuesday. I am not the only one putting in this type of time and energy.


68 posted on 11/04/2012 6:12:33 PM PST by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

One thing I don’t understand. Why would we want Nate Silver’s career to collapse if he (like all the other aggregators, most voters and news organizations) is merely duped into reporting well on the numbers you say pollsters are manipulating? Why is what Silver’s doing any worse than what CNN or Fox does when they report a headlining poll that shows Obama in the lead?

I would want Silver’s career to collapse *if* his model were grossly inaccurate, beyond fixing or *if* he were manipulating that model. But according to this write up, it’s the pollsters that are lying and he is just faithfully analyzing their bullshit.

>> all of the polls are being manipulated purposefully by pollsters to give Barack Obama a psychological advantage in this election. . . Since this is the first time in American political history when they’ve ever done anything like this, I think that a lot of people have not picked up on the fact that there is not a single reputable polling outfit left


69 posted on 11/04/2012 6:24:47 PM PST by DeadPeasant (Nate Silver obsession)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

I bought my Sam Adams Winter Lager and peanuts over the weekend, so I am ready for Tuesday night. ;-)


70 posted on 11/04/2012 7:07:31 PM PST by Stonewall Jackson ( "I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Stonewall Jackson

Cheers and enjoy!


71 posted on 11/04/2012 7:31:59 PM PST by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 70 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount
I really think Debbie Wasserman Schultz loses her seat in Congress because of how poorly she’s looked in everything she’s done in the high profile position Democrats gave her. She’s too affiliated with Obama not to lose, because I can’t imagine people voting for Romney in Florida and then vote-splitting to vote for DWS too. Nancy Pelosi will be ousted as Minority Leader in the next Congress and will retire some time in early 2013. A special election will have to be held to replace her. Pelosi is not going to spend her last years as a former Speaker who has no power and is just another member of the herd. So expect her to be moving back to San Francisco for good around the same time the Obamas are moving to Hawaii.

Long article but well worth the read. I am very hopeful that the writer is 100% correct in his predictions. The above two examples were my favorites! Thank you.

72 posted on 11/04/2012 11:18:50 PM PST by boatbums (God is ready to assume full responsibility for the life wholly yielded to Him.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

I think the media showing it a ‘close race’ will actually cause MORE Democrats to vote for Romney. The prospect of another four years of 0bama is going to scare the sh!t out of them. I think 0bama was right about ‘revenge’. They’ll take revenge against 0bama for forcing them to rebuild the party he’s destroyed.


73 posted on 11/04/2012 11:37:41 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

You are in good company:
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/romney-landslide-here-are-the-biggest-names-predicting-it-how-it-will-happen/

from theblaze:
ROMNEY LANDSLIDE: HERE ARE THE BIGGEST NAMES PREDICTING IT & HOW IT WILL HAPPEN

I agree with you about those conservative sites being pro-obama pessimistic predictors. I just never understood why they are doing this. Take newsmax.com: they print what the opposition is saying: that we are losing or desparate. They put up articles from Reuters, AP, and give a column to very pro-bias Dem Zogby who knowingly tried to manipulate the election for Gore and he’s doing it now for Obama. That you say it’s for web traffic—that’s interesting. I agree that I will not go to those sites again. I’m getting sick of these type of tactics.


74 posted on 11/04/2012 11:59:00 PM PST by annajones (Please Act)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

You are in good company:
http://www.theblaze.com/stories/romney-landslide-here-are-the-biggest-names-predicting-it-how-it-will-happen/

from theblaze:
ROMNEY LANDSLIDE: HERE ARE THE BIGGEST NAMES PREDICTING IT & HOW IT WILL HAPPEN

I agree with you about those conservative sites being pro-obama pessimistic predictors. I just never understood why they are doing this. Take newsmax.com: they print what the opposition is saying: that we are losing or desparate. They put up articles from Reuters, AP, and give a column to very pro-bias Dem Zogby who knowingly tried to manipulate the election for Gore and he’s doing it now for Obama. That you say it’s for web traffic—that’s interesting. I agree that I will not go to those sites again. I’m getting sick of these type of tactics.


75 posted on 11/04/2012 11:59:00 PM PST by annajones (Please Act)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

great article. I do disagree on Michigan it will go RED this year.


76 posted on 11/05/2012 1:51:36 AM PST by MomwithHope (Buy and read Ameritopia by Mark Levin!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount
(1) Almost everything the media tells you is a lie designed to help Democrats and there really is a de facto Ministry of Truth that serves the Left on the tee-vee, over the radio, and in newspapers.

I define a "lie" as the knowing telling of an untruth with intent to deceive. Therefore, the Bush administration's position on weapons of mass destruction in Iraq was not a lie because the administration actually believed that these weapons existed and their intention was not to deceive but to enlighten the public. By this definition I think that most of the media does not lie although they repeat uncritically lies crafted by others, especially the Obama administration. The capacity of the human mind to rationalize into reality that which it wants to be real is almost infinite. This indicts the media as hypocrites but not always as liars. I think many of the media are happy not to examine deeply into the internals of these polls and put them on the air while rationalizing that they are only presenting the facts as they actually are out there, which is true as far as it goes.

I do believe that the administration itself, and its campaign are engaging in "lies" and they no doubt have compatriots in the media and in the polling organizations that believe what Alinsky taught, that there is no morality in our current political system, it is so corrupt, so capitalist, that it is illegitimate and therefore no duty of truth is owed to it or to the people whom it would deceive. They will revert to the civil rights struggle or to Watergate to rationalize their deceptions in a greater more moral cause.

I do not bring up these distinctions up merely to cavil but to provide a frame of understanding of how the media and the whole liberal establishment works. If Mitt Romney wins in a landslide as this article is predicting, one would expect the liberal media to sustain an epiphany and mend its ways. After all, nothing could be clearer than arithmetic and all of the liberal media polls will have been proved to be bogus by the numbers for all to see. But we both know that nothing of the kind will occur. The media will not change its ways, it certainly will not repent, it will merely change the subject. Need we apply the same analysis to academia?

Leftists are not leftists because of logic they are leftists because of the emotional fulfillment they receive by reinforcement from the cult.

(2) Conservative websites are pessimistic places run by straight males who are deathly afraid of being mocked if they’re wrong about predicting a Republican win…but are never concerned about being called out for saying that a Republican will lose

My experience, especially here on free Republic, is entirely to the contrary.

(3)…All predictions that Minitru makes of an Obama win or a close election are based on the Tea Party having disappeared and of Americans actually liking Obama more in 2012 than they did in 2008, which is madness.

The author conflates two propositions. The question is not whether the Tea Party has disappeared, the question is whether the Tea Party retains its intensity. This also applies, if one is intellectually honest, to the second proposition, to wit, that these media predictions are predicated on the assumption that "Americans actually like (ING) Obama more in 2012 than they did in 2008, which is madness." I agree if that is the assumption it is madness. But Axelrod is not arguing that rather he is saying that there is enough of 2008 left in the electorate to push Obama over the line. If we are honest with ourselves, we have to acknowledge that that is the issue. Yes, there are some polls which credit the Democrats with a higher intensity than 5 to 7% of 2008, and that is obviously "madness." But what about those polls like Rasmussen which credit the Democrats only +2%? Rasmussen comes up with a tie or a loss for Romney in some of the swing states.

Is not that the real danger? Do we answer this ultimate question by setting up a strawman as quoted above so we can knock it down? How does that advance our understanding?

It seems to me the relevant data to this question comes to us, courtesy of Dick Morris, from Gallup with their massive polls showing a substantial lead for the Republicans over the Democrats. This is not a strawman, this is hard data and we are entitled to rely on it. But, although I am persuaded, I am not ignorant of the fact that Rasmussen has gone +2% the wrong way and I do not know why.

(4)2008 was not a “transformational election” but a massive fad that hit the country like a hurricane…and for the last four years we’ve been cleaning up the damages. Every poll, news article, or analysis of this election is flawed because it’s based on the conceit that voters choice Obama because they liked what he would do to the country…

I have written many posts on Barack Obama as the empty suit 2008, quoting an echoing the observations of Shelby Steele who described the dynamic of white guilt operating to draw votes to the "white" Negro. That could fairly be described as a "fad" election but that is not to say that the reason Romney will win this time is because we are center-right country. The demographics of the United States are rolling inexorably against us. If we win this election it will not be because America is a center-right country but because Obama clumsily overreached. The author tacitly adopts this position when he says that the 2012 election was lost for Obama on the two occasions in which the two houses of Congress passed Obama care. This is but another description of overreach.

But just as we should inform ourselves about how the media and academia rationalize the grotesqueries of the Democrat party, we should also inform ourselves about the demographic tsunami which is about to engulf the Republican Party. If the Republicans cannot check immigration from cultures which do not share our language, our acceptance of the free market, our belief in the rule of law, our relative absence of cynicism toward democratic government, there will be no hope of saving the Republic in years to come. If the Republicans cannot reform the education process to check the process of indoctrination being done to our kids by the National Education Association and by the Marxist in our universities (do not forget community colleges), there is no hope of saving the Republic from the left in years to come.

Barak Obama was not so much an aberration in his election of 2008 but in his governance. The scary thing is that the electorate was not only vulnerable to the siren of an empty suit but actively sought it out and spurned any contrary opinion. There is very little in the election of 2008 upon which to congratulate the citizens of America, to the contrary, it exposed an appalling cupidity and shallowness. It is validated the effectiveness of the rationalizations.

It is utter folly to regard the election 2008 as an aberration, it is all too much an expression of who we really are.

For the record, I believe the author is right, we will win Ohio and Wisconsin for the reasons he states and because our ground game in both places should be first-class. Clearly our ground game in Wisconsin is a proven winner.

I am more skeptical about Pennsylvania not so much because of the history of Pennsylvania leaving us at the altar but because the polls are not well known. I suspect the Susquehanna is more to be relied upon than the national polls, but I am not sure.

I stay with my original conception of the race. Romney wins New Hampshire and that means Obama is on the defensive everywhere. Obama must then sweep the board winning all of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and one of Iowa or Nevada. That means that Obama is almost sure to lose one of these states and I think he is certainly going to lose Ohio and Wisconsin. When we have tight polls in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Minnesota one begins to think they reveal a trend if not a wave. I want to believe this because this is what I predicted some months ago, a break toward Romney at the end similar to the Reagan victory. But since I want this, I am suspicious of my own judgment.

I repeat my observation that this election is sui generis because of the overreach of Obama and does not tell us that America is a center-right country.

Although I agree with the author's observation that Republican tickets are unlikely to be split against Republican Senatorial candidates, I think the author nevertheless is too optimistic by perhaps three or four in his count of 10. I think we have a very good chance Missouri because of the ticket splitting argument. I think we are in trouble and New Mexico because there will be no reason to split, as the author says. Pennsylvania depends on the top of the ticket as does Ohio. Scott Brown should win in Massachusetts because he is running against a mountebank but since when do leftists (especially in Massachusetts) care whether their candidates are frauds? Just as Senator Menendez of New Jersey. I think Tommy Thompson in Wisconsin can win on his own and on his record. George Allen has, I believe, the edge in Virginia and I do not see Virginia going for Obama so George Allen benefits from the wave.

* The Ministry of Truth completely lied to the American people and didn’t care about the damage it would do to its reputation. They went all-in and broadcasted from an alternate, fictional universe in this race. What happens to them next?

Of course the media cares about its reputation and to the degree that it is in knowingly risking its reputation, it regards itself as rendering a patriotic service. " What happens to them next?" Nothing, they go on exactly as before. And before they succeeded in selling a mountebank to the electorate in 2008 who ran on no principled platform. It was demagoguery of the uplifting sort as opposed to the negative demagoguery of this campaign. He ran not against his opponent but against the record of the preceding president. It is instructive to understand why he could succeed by doing that. In the last four years of his presidency, George Bush abdicated the bully pulpit to the media. Represented metaphorically by Hurricane Katrina, George Bush became the focus of all evil as he simply declined to fight his corner. The media lynched George Bush and he submitted to it so long as he could pursue his policy in Iraq and hold the line on increased taxes. By the time Barack Obama intruded himself fully formed out of nothing onto the consciousness of the electorate, it was a matter of common consensus the George Bush and failed, just look at Katrina.

After Romney takes office, we can expect much the same treatment from the media. The difference must be an aggressive fight back campaign conducted by the Romney administration. Romney has demonstrated that he can be an extremely effective counterpuncher. But recall, there was a time this summer when he seemed to be playing rope-a-dope. If he does that after he takes office it could be fatal. The growth in George Romney since the beginning of the campaign in the primaries through the debates with Obama and culminating with his performance recently on the stump, is stunning. By all outward appearances this man has the stuff from which presidents are made. This assessment is an imponderable but one that cannot be dismissed from our calculations about Tuesday's results.

A few prayers for the Republic and for Romney would not be out of order. I believe they will be repeated as prayers of thanksgiving on Wednesday.


77 posted on 11/05/2012 2:45:30 AM PST by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Are there any FReepers out there whose ‘premonitions’ turn out to be accurate?

Sometimes I make serious plans for trips and activities or moving to a new home, job offers, etc., which never materialize but during the process I could not ‘visualize’ them as materializing and they didn’t. Almost like premonitions.

Anyone have this election result ‘visualized’?


78 posted on 11/05/2012 3:29:17 AM PST by sodpoodle (Life is prickly - carry tweezers.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 77 | View Replies]

To: BlatherNaut

Your last point about secret union Brown supporters who say they will vote for Warren but them pull the lever for Brown in the secrecy of the voting booth is a good point. Now, with the U Mass/ Boston Herald poll (published 11/5) showing Brown up by 1%, I see Brown with a solid chance of victory. If Romney does better than expected, he will do better in Mass, too, and may even have the coattails to pull Brown to victory. I believe Brown could win with fewer than 1,000 more votes than Warren.

One troubling fact is that undecideds usually break for the challenger. But in this race Brown may be viewed as the underdog/challenger to the Democrat machine.


79 posted on 11/05/2012 6:42:56 AM PST by Combat_Liberalism
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Combat_Liberalism
I see Brown with a solid chance of victory. If Romney does better than expected, he will do better in Mass, too, and may even have the coattails to pull Brown to victory.

Here's hoping.

I believe Brown could win with fewer than 1,000 more votes than Warren.

Certainly possible, and if it happens, I expect Warren and the democrat machine to pull an Al Franken.

80 posted on 11/05/2012 10:13:42 AM PST by BlatherNaut
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount

Bookmarking in case of epic fail.


81 posted on 11/05/2012 3:31:04 PM PST by KantianBurke (Where was the Tea Party when Dubya was spending like a drunken sailor?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KantianBurke

If there’s an epic fail tomorrow than we are all in Venezuela.


82 posted on 11/05/2012 3:38:15 PM PST by COUNTrecount (Clear eyes. Full hearts. Can't fail.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies]

To: COUNTrecount
My cynicism says the current stalemate continues with 4 more yrs of Obama, narrower Dems Senate, GOP House.

Obama will claim a mandate for his "fundamentally transforming" vision even if he wins by one electoral vote.

83 posted on 11/05/2012 7:22:28 PM PST by newzjunkey (Osama's dead... and so is our ambassador - Coulter.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Cato in PA

If Romney wins PA, I hope I have the privilege of seeing Chris Matthews try to explain it.
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////
Chrissy will claim that there was a massive wave of vote fraud by the GOP! Either that or Romney bought the election with all his money which of course he only has because he has not paid his “fair share”.


84 posted on 11/05/2012 8:14:07 PM PST by RipSawyer (Free healthcare is worth FAR LESS than it costs.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 55 | View Replies]

To: Redmen4ever

Great, great prediction on all those Senate seat pickups there, pal. You were so close! And your reasoning and methodology to back it up were so sound, I don’t know how anyone could ever have possibly doubted your prognosticating brilliance.


85 posted on 11/06/2012 8:12:15 PM PST by jpl (The government spent another half a million bucks in the time it just took you to read this tagline.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 60 | View Replies]

To: jpl

On the basis of straight-tciket voting, the Republicans in blue states lost. Also, the Republicans in battleground states lost by Romney also lost. Did any of them outperform Romney? I could be wrong, but I don’t think so. If any would have outperformed Romney in the battlegrounds, I would think that would be Tommy Thompson. But, no, not even Thompson outperformed Romney in the battlegrounds. So, the theory of straight-ticket voting condemned them all. This actually supports the argument that, had Romney won, the theory of straight-ticket voting would have helped them all.

Now consider the only two deviations from the assumption of straight-line voting, Republican losses in the red states of Indiana and Missouri. Even in these cases, the third party vote was significant, although not decisive.

Things changed during Hurricane Sandy. The change was masked by the suspension of the Gallup Poll.

After the suspension of the Gallup Poll, Romney’s lead in Gallup and Raz fell to only 1 point. This was because Obama’s standing with the public strengthened during the suspension.

In contrast, during the same period, Obama’s lead in the media-sponsored national and state polls fell to 1 point or so. But, how could the President’s standing with the public have fallen during that period? His standing didn’t fall. His standing with the public increased. The bias in the media-supported polls was removed.

A dramatic turn-around of the election. The October surprise was a November surprise and was an Act of God.


86 posted on 11/06/2012 10:46:34 PM PST by Redmen4ever
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 85 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-5051-86 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson