Exactly! You would think that Goeas would continue to project the 52-47 number with this new poll of his showing the race back to a tie. But for some reason he now thinks it’s a 2 point race. I don’t know if it is the Sandy effect or just the normal tightening of the race. Hope we find out tomorrow when he releases his final voter projection. At least I think he will be releasing it tomorrow if not later tonight. We’ll see.
Projection is based on poll internals more than Topline. Obama favorability improved, probably due to Christie/Sandy.
Did he say he’d be releasing a projection tomorrow? According to the last paragraph of this article, Battleground is going to do one final poll.