I don’t think it’ll be that low!
Ras’ bias is showing in D+2 - I’ve asked SE to correct for it in with Gallup’s projection this year’s election will be GOP majority and Ras is assuming GOP voting will be like in 2008.
I think he’s off here.
You’ve got to wonder what his definition of “republican” is if he has 12% voting for Obama. Like OAFla says, “raise your hand if you’re a republican voting for Obama.”
I’m trying to think of some way he could ask for party ID and have people be confused about what “republican” means.
It’s inconceivable to me that independents would turn to a republican and republicans would turn to the opposition.
That simply doesn’t add up.