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Why the Polls are Wrong
Breitbart ^ | November 5, 2012 | John Nolte

Posted on 11/05/2012 11:39:15 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan

While every single poll on the planet predicts Democrats will enjoy a turnout advantage of three to eleven points, the latest Rasmussen survey of party affiliation taken throughout October shows that Republicans enjoy a huge 5.8% Party ID advantage going into the 2012 election.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls

1 posted on 11/05/2012 11:39:15 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan
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To: trappedincanuckistan

The anticipation and excitement of knowing we’re going to win grows with every single minute of the day that we get closer to the election!

WE’RE GONNA WIN!!!

MITT ROMNEY/PAUL RYAN 2012!


2 posted on 11/05/2012 11:43:25 AM PST by wk4bush2004 (Thank You, Lord, that Mitt Romney is our President and Paul Ryan is our VP, in Jesus' Name, AMEN!)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

I’m done paying attention to polls. I’m going to go vote tomorrow, and bring my wife and daughter with me. Then tomorrow night we will watch the only polling numbers that count.


3 posted on 11/05/2012 11:44:50 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
Along with what this article points out, a CNN poll shows that independents support Romney 59-35. The same poll has the race tied at 49% with a sampling of D+11. So despite what the Liberal Media and Fox News has been saying, Romney should do very well tomorrow.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/romney-winning-independents-59-35/article/2512610#.UJfn3MXA-4d

4 posted on 11/05/2012 11:45:24 AM PST by Repeal 16-17 (Let me know when the Shooting starts.)
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To: PapaBear3625

Excellent.


5 posted on 11/05/2012 11:47:31 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

judging by the time this article was written and released it sounds like the Breitbart guys are reading Free Republic.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 11:47:56 AM PST by barmag25
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Getting Out The Vote (GOTV) is all that matters not at this stage.

How To Convince Undecided Voters! Dick Morris

http://www.dickmorris.com/how-to-convince-undecided-voters-dick-morris-tv-lunch-alert/

Video: Get Out & Vote: A message from Herman Cain - http://ow.ly/f2rLO


7 posted on 11/05/2012 11:50:50 AM PST by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Getting Out The Vote (GOTV) is all that matters at this stage.

(I don’t know where the “not” came from)


8 posted on 11/05/2012 11:52:06 AM PST by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

We must go and vote as if our lives depend on it.

For all we know, that may be literally true...

“After we win this election, it’s our turn. Payback time. Everyone not with us is against us and they better be ready because we don’t forget. The ones who helped us will be rewarded, the ones who opposed us will get what they deserve. There is going to be hell to pay. Congress won’t be a problem for us this time. No election to worry about after this is over and we have two judges ready to go.” V. Jarrett


9 posted on 11/05/2012 11:54:24 AM PST by C210N ("ask not what the candidate can do for you, ask what you can do for the candidate" (Breitbart, 2012))
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Rasmussen shows a GOP +5.8% Party ID advantage, yet only shows Romney up 1 today in their tracking poll. How do you explain that?


10 posted on 11/05/2012 11:54:39 AM PST by arista
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To: arista

It can’t be explained. At least Ras is reasonable. The other polls are laughable.


11 posted on 11/05/2012 11:56:02 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
While every single poll on the planet predicts Democrats will enjoy a turnout advantage of three to eleven points
I got called at least a dozen times in the last 6 weeks and told each and every caller I was voting for Øbama.
12 posted on 11/05/2012 12:03:17 PM PST by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Turnout may be affected severely by the aftermath of superstorm Sandy in the five boroughs of NYC and parts of North Jersey, RAT strongholds. Romney might even have a shot at winning one or both states!


13 posted on 11/05/2012 12:04:22 PM PST by JimRed (Excise the cancer before it kills us; feed &water the Tree of Liberty! TERM LIMITS, NOW & FOREVER!)
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To: oh8eleven

Why?


14 posted on 11/05/2012 12:08:29 PM PST by ScaniaBoy (Part of the Right Wing Research & Attack Machine)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

In 2010 we were DOWN 2.9% in the last preelection poll and won 63 seats in Congress. By the next month we were up 1.3% meaning Rasmussen did not catch the trend until after the election. A 4.2% jump in a month then makes these new numbers very believable.


15 posted on 11/05/2012 12:11:00 PM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: arista

It could only be explained if Independents were breaking for Obama or a few percent of Republicans are going to vote for Obama. But Independents are breaking for Romney and I would think that an even larger percentage of Democrats will be voting for Romney than vice versa.

Also I have seen that 97% of Republicans are voting for Romney whereas only 93% of Democrats are voting for Obama. (Forget where I saw those numbers.)


16 posted on 11/05/2012 12:11:23 PM PST by randita
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To: oh8eleven

Sneaky. Guerrilla tactics. When the revolution comes let me knows where you’re at :)


17 posted on 11/05/2012 12:14:03 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: ScaniaBoy
Why?


Because the Dems get a false sense of security and the Reps try harder.
18 posted on 11/05/2012 12:18:21 PM PST by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
The pollesters have accepeted the Democrat premise that the White, Male voter isn't coming out to vote, but that the Democrat ground game will get out Obama's base.

This will be the excuse used on Wed. to explain why the polls didn't pick up the signs that a landslide was coming

It should be an interesting day watching all of the excuses coming from the pollesters on why they got it so wrong.

19 posted on 11/05/2012 12:36:57 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Check this out

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2955253/posts

Reality is setting in among the left wing media. They are already preparing the narrative. They know their gambit of using polls to gin up support for Obama has failed!!!!!


20 posted on 11/05/2012 12:39:18 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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Comment #21 Removed by Moderator

To: trappedincanuckistan
...Republicans enjoy a huge 5.8% Party ID advantage going into the 2012 election...we don't need no stinkin' polls with this info and a few modest assumptions alone - population breaks down 36 reps, 30 'rats, 34 indies; no particular turnout advantage for either party, so both sides turn out their prorportion of the population; 91% of reps vote for Romney, 89% of 'rats vote for Obama, indies break a modest 55-45 percent for Romney - simple math gives an outcome win of 54% to 45% for Romney - okay, knock off a few points for third party votes, say it's 52-45 - still a landslide.......

Blazing fast....

22 posted on 11/05/2012 2:58:14 PM PST by Intolerant in NJ
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To: oh8eleven

I LITERALLY do not understand people who think they are ‘cute’ by telling a pollster they are voting for Obama when they are not. This inflates Obama’s numbers. Believe it or not, there really are some people who think if their candidate doesn’t have a shot, or feel they are overwhelmed by numbers, they will NOT go out and vote. You could end up discouraging Romney voters. “oh, well, Zero has a 5 point lead, and I’m sure he’ll win this state — it’s raining like hell — no sense in getting pneumonia I guess I’ll just stay home.” Then Obama wins by 1 fricken vote. so frankly, thanks for nothing.


23 posted on 11/05/2012 10:50:50 PM PST by gemoftheocean (...geez, this all seems so straight forward and logical to me...)
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