Posted on 11/06/2012 5:18:28 AM PST by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin
The media-inspired polls have to be cooked. So many evidences are present that people are fed up with the lies of government, the polls can NOT be accurate. More than likely, the media wants the public to follow the election through their services so they can sell advertising. A close, controversial election provides viewership and sells ads. May a little simplistic, but that's my story and I'm sticking to it. Nevertheless, any other outcome than what I want and the other side cheated. That's going to be the cry anyway.
This sums it up.
Pollsters knowingly over sampled Dems because they feared recriminations from the regime more than they wanted to be accurate.
9% response rate.
I think both sides want people to believe its close to get people out to vote.
Why are we so worried about the polls. We never hear about the Italians, or the Irish. Polls this, polls that. Hey, they make great sausage and all but they are highly over rated.
perhaps #6 should have been #1
They are not “cooked,” per se. The info is probably accurate. It’s their assumptions about who is going to show up to vote that is likely wrong. O isn’t going to get the turn out he got in ‘08, and R is likely to get a larger turnout than McCain.
Series: It is the attempt at including cell phones and still getting a representative sample.
They were skewed by the aberrant 2008 numbers.
Garbage in garbage out.
The constant, and accelerating, oversampling of dems and certain demographics is a dead give away of the push nature of their polls, IMO.
I have my doubts about the polls because I remember when the media and the polls had the republicans losing BIG TIME in 2002.
That was the year the Republicans won control of the both houses of Congress.
The day after the elections news story: “Why were the polls so wrong”?
Their conclusion was that there are less landlines and more people are using cell phones.
I also remember (I think it was 2008) when the media’s exit polls had John Kerry winning and when the final results came in and Bush won the election, the media was practically trusting the exit polls and questioning the actual voting results.
And finally this election: Over sampling democrats.
I hate Norwegians.
No particular reason. I just don’t think they should get a pass.
Bunch’a damn herring shuckers.
Overall, Obama by 3%.
Correction: I meant 2004 for John Kerry vs Bush
Polling has not remotely reflected reality from day one.
I fully expect R+3/4 in final turnout.
I do not and have not believed this cycle was ever close.
I live in PA and it was clear on the ground the state was in play long before the election cycle ever started yet it was consistently polling with 8+ point Obama leads and only now in the last weeks are the pollsters and pundits admitting it could be in play.
Polls just are not and have not been capturing what’s happening on the ground.
We will know in a few hours but the idea this is a squeaker is a MYTH
GOTV!! Fight like it is but nothing about this election feels like a close one.
Obama not able to draw reasonable crowds even with The Boss giving free concerts just dAys before election while Romney folks are waiting hours and turns away because the venues are full.. Etc etc etc
oversampling of dems `which should have ended 10 days ago to preserve credibility and future business. They are still over sampling Democrats, they could give a crap
Today’s CNN poll has Ohio tied
I’m thinking Romney wins this. Not a Reagan-type landslide but it will be a decisive victory.
I don’t think the polls are wrong. I think we have exactly what they say we have: an extremely close, almost 50-50 race, very similar to 2000 and 2004.
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