[Mike Darancette]

Watch VA which is one of the first polls to close. A good Romney Lead will show that the poll assumptions are broken.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Mike,

Great tip. Also, look in the forum. There were bellweather counties posted yesterday by Ravi

Cheers!

[EagleClaw]

I voted early this morning in rural Virginia. The turnout looked about the same as ‘08 in this very conservative district. I was struck by two conversations with neighbors while waiting in line. I know both voted Obama in ‘08. One is switching their vote to Romney, the other not voting for either one. I also know my 86-year old mother, who is the definition of an independent, voted Obama in ‘08 but is voting Romney this time, but she would only whisper that to me and not say it out loud. I think there are many, many voters in Virginia who are very quietly switching their votes.

And former governor Doug Wilder declined to endorse Obama, because Obama did not kiss his ring. Wilder still has significant sway with black voters in this state, and his lack of support for Obama may make some difference.

I feel pretty good that Virginia will go for Romney.