Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Vigo County, IN Thread (Bellwether Watch)

Posted on 11/06/2012 7:30:40 AM PST by goldstategop

This county is a national bellwether. Its sided with the winner in all but two presidential elections since 1892.

We'll see tonight who wins this pivotal county. It should tell us who'll win the White House.

From Wikipedia:

"The county is one of the best bellwether regions for voting U.S. presidential elections; it has voted for the winning candidate in every election since 1956 and in all but two elections since 1892. It continued the trend in 2008, voting for Illinois Senator Barack Obama by a 16-point margin.

Holmes is part of Indiana's 8th congressional district, which is held by Republican Larry Bucshon."


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Indiana; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2012election; bellwether; indiana; notbreakingnews; vanity; vigo

1 posted on 11/06/2012 7:30:48 AM PST by goldstategop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I noticed that Missouri seems to have been ignored as a bellwether after it went for McCain in 2008.


2 posted on 11/06/2012 7:35:37 AM PST by Shadow44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Shadow44

I know, MO polls have Romney up by double digits! MO is one of the great bellweathers though it has been trending Repub. I’ve never seen a candidate with a lead like R has there lose. Hell Reagan only took it by 9% in 1980!!


3 posted on 11/06/2012 7:40:07 AM PST by Reagan‹berAlles
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Shadow44

I think traditional “bellwethers” have become meaningless due to the rapid demographic change happening in the US; not the one portrayed on the news (which is designed to prevent Americans from panicking), but the very real one happening in front of our eyes in maternity wards, schoolyards, and immigration offices. America is rapidly becoming much more Asian and Hispanic, and there is simply now way to use past models to project the behavior of those populations.


4 posted on 11/06/2012 7:41:58 AM PST by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: kearnyirish2

There are over 3,000 counties/parishes in the US. It is my guess that so called bellweathers are nothing more than a statistical outlier.


5 posted on 11/06/2012 7:49:49 AM PST by Arkansas Toothpick
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

Is that Vincennes?


6 posted on 11/06/2012 7:50:52 AM PST by traderrob6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Arkansas Toothpick
There are over 3,000 counties/parishes in the US. It is my guess that so called bellweathers are nothing more than a statistical outlier.

You could probably find a similar number of precincts with an opposite correlation, they always pick the loser.
7 posted on 11/06/2012 7:52:08 AM PST by DaveInDallas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

It’s Terre Haute, once home to Eugene V. Debs & the Socialist Worker’s Party. It is also the home the of the Bayh and Hulman families. Terre Haute city has been solid democrat because of it’s industrial base and labor unions. It’s also considered somewhat part of “southern Indiana,” which resembles Kentucky in topography and genetics. Unlike much of Kentucky, many southern Hoosiers still lean democrat. But as with most midwest cities, the industry has gone away, and so the politics of the county at large have drifted back towards the Republicans.

If Romney can carry Vigo County, it would be significant.


8 posted on 11/06/2012 7:58:35 AM PST by henkster (If you let them do it to you, you got yourself to blame.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Reagan√úberAlles

No question, Mitt overwhelmingly wins IN.

But what about Todd Akin??


9 posted on 11/06/2012 8:02:10 AM PST by txrangerette ("hold to the truth...speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: henkster

I’m also in Terre Haute (a california transplant) and I have seen very few Obama yard signs and a much larger number of Romney signs. I hope that indicates how the vote will go.


10 posted on 11/06/2012 8:05:00 AM PST by Wordkraft (Remember who the Collaborators are.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: henkster

NRO reports respondents in Vigo say they’ll vote 48-42 for Romney over Obama.

This is a county Obama won by 16 points in 2008. So if this holds up tonight, we’re looking at Romney as our next President.

Not to worry about IN - it will go Red.


11 posted on 11/06/2012 8:05:26 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: txrangerette

Akin’s in a tough race.
He’s gone against the world by standing for his beliefs,
and it’s up to folks who also disdain the world’s values to support him.


12 posted on 11/06/2012 8:05:40 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Wordkraft

I live in Fishers but my wife has a lot of family in Terre Haute. Her cousin Mike Saylor was basketball coach at South for several years.


13 posted on 11/06/2012 8:09:15 AM PST by henkster (If you let them do it to you, you got yourself to blame.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Reagan√úberAlles

Voted early this AM in very red Saint Charles county (Missouri). Longest line I’ve ever seen at this polling location. In the quiet determination and show of strength, it reminded me of Chick-fil-A day...


14 posted on 11/06/2012 8:14:16 AM PST by ScreamingGreenAlienGorilla (The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left. Ecc. 10:2)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: MrB

Oops, just recalled Akin is in Missouri, not Indiana.

But the question remains, and is directly related to the Senate results which are critically important.


15 posted on 11/06/2012 8:18:07 AM PST by txrangerette ("hold to the truth...speak without fear". (Glenn Beck))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: henkster

Another transplated Terre Hautian here.

I voted straight Republican as I have done for decades.
What irks me is that I have to vote in a DEMOCRATIC UNION HALL! What is up with that?

No problems doing it physically, I just object to fact that it is a Union Hall and is clearly Democrat.


16 posted on 11/06/2012 8:25:32 AM PST by marychesnutfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Wordkraft

Hello, fellow Hoosier!


17 posted on 11/06/2012 8:50:48 AM PST by grame (May you know more of the love of God Almighty this day!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Shadow44
I noticed that Missouri seems to have been ignored as a bellwether after it went for McCain in 2008.

Missouri barely went McCain in 2008, but less than 1%. MO has been moving Right in recent years, however, and is probably about 3-4% off-centre to the right side of the aisle. Still, with Romney posting double digit leads there, I think this still indicates an election going to go our way.

18 posted on 11/06/2012 8:52:27 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy (It's time to make Obama a minor footnote in the pages of history)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: txrangerette
But what about Todd Akin??

For Indiana, what about Richard Mourdock? I'm hoping Romney has extremely large coattails, because Mourdock is going to need them.

19 posted on 11/06/2012 9:17:39 AM PST by Lou L (Health "insurance" is NOT the same as health "care")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
This area has also been part of coal country and Terre Haute has been a satrapy of the Hulman family (Indy 500 track and that level of money).
Lovely country around there if making a living is not a problem.
20 posted on 11/06/2012 9:33:29 AM PST by count-your-change (You don't have to be brilliant, not being stupid is enough.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson