Skip to comments.Vigo County, IN Thread (Bellwether Watch)
Posted on 11/06/2012 7:30:40 AM PST by goldstategop
This county is a national bellwether. Its sided with the winner in all but two presidential elections since 1892.
We'll see tonight who wins this pivotal county. It should tell us who'll win the White House.
"The county is one of the best bellwether regions for voting U.S. presidential elections; it has voted for the winning candidate in every election since 1956 and in all but two elections since 1892. It continued the trend in 2008, voting for Illinois Senator Barack Obama by a 16-point margin.
Holmes is part of Indiana's 8th congressional district, which is held by Republican Larry Bucshon."
I noticed that Missouri seems to have been ignored as a bellwether after it went for McCain in 2008.
I know, MO polls have Romney up by double digits! MO is one of the great bellweathers though it has been trending Repub. I’ve never seen a candidate with a lead like R has there lose. Hell Reagan only took it by 9% in 1980!!
I think traditional “bellwethers” have become meaningless due to the rapid demographic change happening in the US; not the one portrayed on the news (which is designed to prevent Americans from panicking), but the very real one happening in front of our eyes in maternity wards, schoolyards, and immigration offices. America is rapidly becoming much more Asian and Hispanic, and there is simply now way to use past models to project the behavior of those populations.
There are over 3,000 counties/parishes in the US. It is my guess that so called bellweathers are nothing more than a statistical outlier.
Is that Vincennes?
It’s Terre Haute, once home to Eugene V. Debs & the Socialist Worker’s Party. It is also the home the of the Bayh and Hulman families. Terre Haute city has been solid democrat because of it’s industrial base and labor unions. It’s also considered somewhat part of “southern Indiana,” which resembles Kentucky in topography and genetics. Unlike much of Kentucky, many southern Hoosiers still lean democrat. But as with most midwest cities, the industry has gone away, and so the politics of the county at large have drifted back towards the Republicans.
If Romney can carry Vigo County, it would be significant.
No question, Mitt overwhelmingly wins IN.
But what about Todd Akin??
I’m also in Terre Haute (a california transplant) and I have seen very few Obama yard signs and a much larger number of Romney signs. I hope that indicates how the vote will go.
NRO reports respondents in Vigo say they’ll vote 48-42 for Romney over Obama.
This is a county Obama won by 16 points in 2008. So if this holds up tonight, we’re looking at Romney as our next President.
Not to worry about IN - it will go Red.
Akin’s in a tough race.
He’s gone against the world by standing for his beliefs,
and it’s up to folks who also disdain the world’s values to support him.
I live in Fishers but my wife has a lot of family in Terre Haute. Her cousin Mike Saylor was basketball coach at South for several years.
Voted early this AM in very red Saint Charles county (Missouri). Longest line I’ve ever seen at this polling location. In the quiet determination and show of strength, it reminded me of Chick-fil-A day...
Oops, just recalled Akin is in Missouri, not Indiana.
But the question remains, and is directly related to the Senate results which are critically important.
Another transplated Terre Hautian here.
I voted straight Republican as I have done for decades.
What irks me is that I have to vote in a DEMOCRATIC UNION HALL! What is up with that?
No problems doing it physically, I just object to fact that it is a Union Hall and is clearly Democrat.
Hello, fellow Hoosier!
Missouri barely went McCain in 2008, but less than 1%. MO has been moving Right in recent years, however, and is probably about 3-4% off-centre to the right side of the aisle. Still, with Romney posting double digit leads there, I think this still indicates an election going to go our way.
For Indiana, what about Richard Mourdock? I'm hoping Romney has extremely large coattails, because Mourdock is going to need them.