Can someone explain something re: Ohio... Are the tallies we’re seeing at present (O 57 R 42) the early voting numbers? If so, this is way below Obama’s expected strength in the early voting. Do I have this right?
That’s the way I understand it. BTW, any idea how Allen/Kaine is going?
Yes; but in fact, it is very likely even better than that.
Red counties (like the one around Cincinnati) are seeing near-all-time-record turnout. Have they been reported yet?
And elsewhere, the lines are so long in SW Virginia (coal country, and NOT near DC, so likely very red) that voting there has been extended.
Remember ALL the MSM and Fox have been invested in the "it's a TIE!" meme for so long; and that they have an interest in maintaining ratings.
15% has us in striking distance. 10% was what we were hoping for in order to get a comfortable win.
If it had been 25%+ like many of the polls were showing, Obama would definitely have won Ohio.
Personally, I think Obambi has a slight edge there, but it is very slight. The exit polls showing him winning by four look to me to be incorrect.