Now you just stop that right now!
Michigan 51-48 with 20% reporting, they call it for Obama.
North Carolina 51-48 Romney with 80+% reporting, they won’t call it. Bullcrap.
I think it’s a long shot for Romney to pull it out at this point but it’s not over yet. However, there’s no way in hell it should have even been this close, not with Obama’s record.
There are more mathematically complex and accurate methods of calling a race than staring at the raw vote totals, and actually the networks are typically fairly conservative - you can generally do it before they do.
99% of the time the combination of exit polls and the actual results from select precincts, compared to the last election, is going to tell you who won. 2000 was the exception.
I wish people didn’t treat math like some sort of voodoo sorcery.
The reality is most of the time, the average of the polls is more or less correct, and the same is true of exit polls.