Actually the reference to your posts was "comedy", not comity, but whatever...
And for the rest of your post, nothing special -- I actually put numbers to it in July, and I've got Obama within .5%
"I do believe the total popular vote is going to contract this year 2-3%. Some Obama voters are not going to vote this year. Some McCain voters are not going to vote this year. But more importantly, some voters who did not vote in '08 are going to vote for Mittens, and yes, some Obama voters are going to outright vote Mittens. And obviously there are a couple of Freepers switching from McCain to vote Obama this time around, but whatever...
2012 (projected from ABC poll):
R [R] 65,268,000
O [D] 60,732,000
2012 current (FL still counting):
O [D] 61,170,405
R [R] 58,163,977
Now, for the hard questions. Why were your numbers any good? Did you account for mortality, disability, population growth?
I gave numbers to my predictions as well ~ and Obama lived down to every expectation. So did Romney.
I also tied the numbers drift to a theory of how to win elections ~ the one used by LBJ, Reagan, Nixon, Bush ~