Free Republic
Browse · Search
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why We Were Surprised on November 6th? ^ | November 12, 2012 | Bruce Bialosky

Posted on 11/12/2012 5:42:55 AM PST by Kaslin

Ok, I was wrong. I thought the Republicans would win the Presidency. I was not the only one. Smart people like Michael Barone and Karl Rove thought so also, in addition to people like Dick Morris. A knowledgeable friend called me the Saturday before the election and told me John McLaughlin, the pollster, just told him Romney wins it going away. So what happened?

First there is the big picture. I think there were three issues that hurt the Romney campaign along the way. The first is his turn to the right to win the primaries. My now politically-astute son asserted we need to take the party back from the Todd Akins and Richard Mourdocks. While few would be supportive of these yahoos, I told him many in the Republican Party would argue we did not win because we did not put up a clear conservative. I think that is wrong. If we are going to put up a moderate then he has to run as a moderate, and if we are putting up a conservative he has to run as such. The problem is that Republican primaries bring out the conservatives and force moderates to appease them. Mitt muddled his message and Obama’s team jumped on it.

Second, John Robert’s contrived decision to approve the health insurance mandate saved Obama’s neck. It largely muted the issue despite a high percentage of voters being against it.

Third, the campaign badly mishandled the issue of Mitt’s past with Bain Capital. The structure of the campaign allowed them to attack him between the primaries and conventions with a meager response from the Romney campaign.

But here is a bigger question. It was clear structurally that whoever the Republican candidate would be, he or she would likely be short on money after the primaries while waiting for the convention to spend general election funds. Who made the decision to have the convention so late? Historically late! It could have moved it up two weeks to be after the Olympics, or even had it before – July 23-26. Just think how that may have changed the message and minimized the unanswered attack period Obama leveled at the short-on-cash Romney campaign.

The next part to look at is the campaigns. The Obama people flat-out beat Romney’s campaign. The polls were close enough and most of the month of October Romney was ahead, but those annoying people like David Axelrod and David Plouffe apparently know what they are doing. No doubt they had a distinct advantage because they set up the reelection campaign in January 2009. That comes with incumbency. Also, not running against a field of wannabes makes it easy to focus your message. But how in the world, when the main issue of the campaign is the economy and Romney is polling better, can the Democrats turn out between four to six percentage points higher. Every poll for the last six months showed Republican intensity levels up substantially and all of the favorite Democrat sub-groups (blacks, unmarried women, Hispanics) down. But as Brit Hume of Fox News said “A low intensity vote counts as much as a high intensity vote.” Romney’s team did not get the people to the polls and Obama’s did.

Which bring us to the next point. This is not Monday-morning quarterbacking. This is knowledge I have had for a while and kept my mouth shut. If I discussed it, it would only serve to discourage supporters of my interest so not being stupid, I kept quiet. Here it is folks – the people running Romney’s campaign were not inept, but they weren’t much better. There was no Karl Rove there. A lot of these people worked on Meg Whitman’s campaign in California and we know how that turned out. Stunningly, they were doing opposition research on Bain Capital this past summer -- as if there was some surprise that Obama’s team would attack his business career. Just about anyone in a significant position on this campaign should be permanently retired from working on running and strategizing any Republican campaign. On top of it they were arrogant when they should have been humble. On the other hand, the money people did a buffo job so all of them should be kept.

Reince Preibus has largely done a very fine job at the Republican National Committee (RNC), but they have done a miserable job on outreach to minorities. Another item I kept my mouth shut about is that I found out we have a non-existent Asian outreach program. Asians are the fastest growing minority in America and a natural Republican constituency. A source of mine told me they tried to get outreach to targeted Asian communities and had to do it on their own. We lost the vote big time.

Republicans need to get it in gear with addressing all interest groups. Some Republicans reject that idea because we do not like to classify people, but we can address them Republican style. That means we can treat them like Artur Davis said that he was treated once he became a Republican. As a Dem he was treated as a Black man; as a Repub he has been treated like a man.

But let us get perspective while the legions are talking of the end of the Republican Party. First, they still control the House of Representatives. Second, they have 30 Governors who preside over a large majority of the American people. The number of 30 is the highest either party has had in over a decade. The next election in 2014 will not have Obama and his team and, after another disastrous two years of Democrats in charge, there should be major Republican gains. So they did not beat an incumbent President -- it is rarely done. Romney made a valiant effort.

The question moving forward becomes will we survive as America after another four years of Barack Obama. Most of the people I know fear we have already become a dependency society. Four more years of Obama will only bring more. Wait until the EPA starts rolling out more rules. Wait until the 157 commissions and panels in ObamaCare tell us what to do about our healthcare. How many people will be getting food stamps four years from now?

I guess I can think of a personal bright spot out of this. My tax clients will be in need ever more help than they did before. That is unfortunately also a sad one.

TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bho2012; blame; romney2012
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-46 next last

1 posted on 11/12/2012 5:43:01 AM PST by Kaslin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

How about a simple explanation. Fraud, fraud, fraud.

2 posted on 11/12/2012 5:45:31 AM PST by GilGil
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

Voter Fraud and Free Stuff.

3 posted on 11/12/2012 5:49:09 AM PST by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

RIP, GOP. The Republican Party was killed by Obama’s promise of free stuff for everybody and having Blacks in charge at polling places in swing states.

Hillary wait for her turn in 2016. She will win the same way that Obama won, by bribes and corruption at the polling places.

Conservatives should abandon the GOP and let the country implode. When the free stuff stops, we will have Greece. Then we can start over.

4 posted on 11/12/2012 5:51:02 AM PST by txrefugee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

If the Republican Party does what this writer suggests, then the Republican Party - and the USA - is lost. It’s as simple as that.

5 posted on 11/12/2012 5:53:22 AM PST by Prov3456
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin
I used to think dems were idiots but after reading all these excuses I've now come to the conclusion republicans are bigger idiots!

Mitt lost because he is a rino, end of story!

6 posted on 11/12/2012 5:55:29 AM PST by sirchtruth (Freedom is not free.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten; GilGil


Massive voter fraud.

Sign the petition for a recount:


Visit this site.

They are keeping a running account of cases of voter fraud and what to do about it:


SATURDAY UPDATES (Thurs and Fri fraud at site)

Military service members purged from voter rolls in Florida...

Pundit Press: In Florida: Obama Got Over 99% in Broward County Precincts

TRR: Allen West Seeks Recount Amid Growing Vote Count Scandal

[This is the same St. Lucie that has 141.1% voter turnout affecting both Romney and West...]

St. Lucie County - 84 juridictions, 83 of them had 121-166% turn out

Nevada Unions Are Regestering Illegals and Forcing Them to Vote

The video suggests that this method was the only way Harry Reid was able to defeat challenger Sharon Angle in 2010 to retain his Senate seat and continues to be used.

via Jewel on Facebook: “Could you please help us? There is a petition for a recount and it takes 28,000 signatures. We are all promoting it and would love to have you on our side. The link to sign the petition is:”

Another petition, this one to Congress:

You can also request that Reince Preibus of the GOP start a swing state recount based on information available at this website and as part of ORCA (Thanks Shirley!):

I’ve added links to all three petitions to the sidebar at the top of this page and expect to add more.

Voter Fraud by the numbers? Absolutely

Thank you to everyone who is sharing this page! As of Saturday morning, we are getting about 3,000 visitors an hour. You are making a difference!


This one is MUST SEE:

“Obama won 100% of the 900,135 votes cast in Cuyahoga County OH! No votes from new registered voters or indies went to Mitt. Voting officials SHOULD BE ARRESTED BY OUR MILITARY FOR SEDITION & PERPETRATING A FRAUD AGAINST ALL OF AMERICA. A CLASS ACTION LAW SUIT WILL BE FILED against the networks for not telling the truth! view pic.”

Summary Photo

Throw out this all-fraud county and Mitt wins Ohio, no question!

Why? A total of 5,364,324 “people” voted in Ohio. Obama got 2,691,861 votes, while Romney got 2,584,620, a difference of 107,241 votes.

How did Cuyahoga County’s 900,135 votes affect the final result? You do the math.

For Ohio to certify this result would be a crime in and of itself.

Thank you to the Examiner for mentioning us!

Citing voter fraud, petition at White House web site demands recount of election

Thanks also to The Competent Conservative for quoting us in entirety!

Is There Enough Evidence of Voter Fraud To Merit a Recount?

Much more to come! As one of our commenters below said, voter fraud is like cockroaches. You find one and they are likely everywhere. Cuyahoga County, Ohio is obviously not alone!

Here is a petition you can sign at to request a full recount. I suggest we just focus on the swing states, but it is true that many Congressional and Senate races are also affected, from Allen West to, I believe, Mia Love. Mia was up by 10% the week before the election and lost by 3,000 votes to Matheson in a state that went 73% for Romney. Not likely!

Military votes not counted?

The Columbus Dispatch reports, “Voter rolls in Ohio are bloated, experts say”

An update on St. Lucie County, Florida:

Video: More fraud from Florida, including kicking out an elderly poll observer doing his job using the police:

Townhall blogger Rachel Alexander reports:

Obama Likely Won Re-Election Through Election Fraud

The Washington Times: Florida Vote Twist: More Ballots Than Voters

Here is a link to Allen West’s press release on the voter fraud situation in Florida:

Newsmax reports: Voter Fraud Charges Begin in Ohio

Darin Southam recommends for some pre-election indications of potential voter fraud, but the page understates what actually happened in pretty much every swing state.

And what do you think of this? This was way before the election, but apparently George Soros, who we have already established rigged an election in Hungary and was banned for it AND helped get Obama elected the first time... I’ll let you read the headline:

“Soros advises Obama to use forceful measures to override the will of the people”

I think this goes well beyond the 900+ executive orders that go around Congress, more than three times the executive orders given by all previous US Presidents combined. We saw it in action Tuesday, November 6th!

A Tea Party group has posted this article, with interesting stats and some criticism for Romney for not standing up and doing something about it yet:

Personally I think as the case is strong enough, Mitt will do something. Too much is at stake, and as we just found out, Ohio is definitely Mitt’s, and Florida, too, just based on fraud in a few counties! Colorado, too!

Keep up the referrals and the sharing, everyone! Thank you SO much for helping America fix an election that has clearly been “fixed.”

Voter fraud cheapens the votes of the 60 million who picked Mitt to the point of nothingness and gives weight to those who in reality were the minority. If grand theft is defined as any theft over $5,000, what do you call the ONE BILLION times that that is likely to happen AGAIN over the next four years if we do not right this wrong?

Posted by Jed M. Merrill at 1:56 PM 68 comments:

7 posted on 11/12/2012 5:55:29 AM PST by patriot08
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin
Smart people like Michael Barone and Karl Rove thought so also, in addition to people like Dick Morris.

LOL at the Dick Morris insult!

8 posted on 11/12/2012 5:55:58 AM PST by krb (Obama is a miserable failure.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
When one Florida county comes up with 158% of registered voters that is Prima Fascia Evidence. Most have ignored the psychological warfare aginst the white and conservative voter. Did George Soros own voting machines?

I feel betrayed. It the Traitor John Kerry becomes secretary of state I will have to work hard not to lose it.

God Bless America and thanks to the Veterans.

9 posted on 11/12/2012 5:56:07 AM PST by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: All

Sign the petition for a recount:

Visit this site. They are keeping a running account of cases of voter fraud and what to do about it:


Photo of Ethiopians brought to Ohio voting stations by busload, 95% of whom did not speak English, and told to vote for Obama, straight Dem ticket

Must watch videos!

VIDEO-- Programmer Testifies About Rigging Elections With Vote Counting

VIDEO- Illegal Aliens Caught Voting and Stealing Elections In Florida In Vast Numbers

VIDEO- Michael Savage: How Obama fixed the 2012 election:

VIDEO- Massive voter fraud discovered in April:

VIDEO- Whistle blower speaks out about voter fraud: feature=player_embedded&v=k_rMpQKqZhM


We can not wait for 2014 and 2016 to regroup and figure out new strategies. By then it will be too late. The Marxist/Muslim usurper will have completed his planned distruction of America. That's what people fail to understand.

We must act NOW.

Start with the election. If we let the Rats get away with this massive voter fraud, we're no better than a bananna republic.

We must keep digging and pounding him every day, in every way we can- phony birth certificate, Benghazi, Fast and Furious, his hidden life, records....

We are FReepers. We must fight!

Those who shrug and accept this atrocity without a fight are not worthy to be called Freepers!

10 posted on 11/12/2012 5:56:20 AM PST by patriot08
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
However this morning, when observers arrived at the elections office for the 7:00 a.m. recount, they were told by the Supervisor of Elections only the final three days of early voting would be recounted, when in fact the data in question relates to the first three days of voting. During discussions about the recount, the canvassing board repeatedly tried to shoo away observers and prevent them from listening in on discussions

That could explain the depressed turnout. The early votes would be heavily anti Obama. If a significant portion of these were cast as soon as early voting started and were not counted that would explain the discrepancy

11 posted on 11/12/2012 5:56:35 AM PST by Cowman (How can the IRS seize property without a warrant if the 4th amendment still stands?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

When you pack it all down, there were only 4 reasons why Oblamer won: 1. Cheating, 2. Cheating, 3. Cheating, and 4. Cheating..

If 1. The deceased’s votes, 2. The non-citizen votes, 3. The electronically switched votes and 4. The multiple votes were sifted out, Romney would have won by 5+ percent.

12 posted on 11/12/2012 5:57:36 AM PST by Tucker39
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Dear God, please save us from these RINO analysts who wouldn’t know conservatism if it bit them in the a**.
Let them start a third party called the Candy A** WannaBe Lib Dim Party.
Just go away....

13 posted on 11/12/2012 5:59:49 AM PST by matginzac
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil
How about a simple explanation. Fraud, fraud, fraud.

How about "lazy, cowardly, and ill-informed?"

14 posted on 11/12/2012 6:00:48 AM PST by HomeAtLast
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

IIRC, Ohio has a Republican governor. Why would a Republican governor not address or investigate the voting irregularities within his state?

15 posted on 11/12/2012 6:04:02 AM PST by texteacher
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GilGil

I’m absolutely convinced the admitted foreign born Kenyan won by fraud. Putting aside the fact that he was unconstitutionally elected in the first place, the fact remains, at least from what I can tell, that Democrats just didn’t like the guy. I live in New York city, the rotting putrid sphincter hole of liberalism of the east coast, and know a LOT of libs. And all most ALL of them told me they did not like the job the admitted foreign born Kenyan was doing and probably would not vote. That plus comments left on almost every news site I visited prior to the election, almost all the comments were in favor of Romney. So what happened? F-R-A-U-D. I mean think about it: Is there any President on record who has been more of a F up than this guy? I really can’t think of any. At least Carter didn’t help Al-Qaeda take over entire countries. BHO is an unmitigated disaster from hell, even Democrats knew that, and the guy WINS a 2nd term? WTF? Nooo, no no no, we got fraud going on here just like his nationality.

16 posted on 11/12/2012 6:05:33 AM PST by GrandJediMasterYoda (Someday our schools we will teach the difference between "lose" and "loose")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

We didn’t expect entire rosters of major sports teams to vote in every precinct, as well as Disney entities.

17 posted on 11/12/2012 6:11:50 AM PST by rawcatslyentist ("Behold, I am against you, O arrogant one," Jeremiah 50:31)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: patriot08

I have to ask, what good would a recount do? The fraudulent votes exist, they’d just be recounted. We need a clean RE-ELECTION, not a re-count.

18 posted on 11/12/2012 6:15:56 AM PST by FrogMom (Chicken Little is coming, and he's right!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

How Soros fixed the election

19 posted on 11/12/2012 6:17:03 AM PST by patriot08
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kaslin

Because the stupidity of the average American voter is only surpassed by their gullibility . . . plus a good measure of voter/ election fraud.

20 posted on 11/12/2012 6:17:30 AM PST by RatRipper (Self-centeredness, greed, envy, deceit and lawless corruption has killed this once great nation.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-46 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794 is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson