Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Texas' New Senator Is Absolutely Terrified About His State Going Blue
Business Insider ^ | 11/12/2012 | Brett LoGiurato

Posted on 11/12/2012 8:58:45 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Ted Cruz

APIn Ryan Lizza's story in this week's The New Yorker, Texas' newly-elected Republican Senator Ted Cruz worries about the changing electoral landscape --- and how it could get even less favorable for the GOP in coming years. 

Cruz provides what must be a truly terrifying thought for the Republican Party:

"In not too many years, Texas could switch from being all Republican to all Democrat," he said. "If that happens, no Republican will ever again win the White House. New York and California are for the foreseeable future unalterably Democrat. If Texas turns bright blue, the Electoral College math is simple. We won't be talking about Ohio, we won't be talking about Florida or Virginia, because it won't matter. If Texas is bright blue, you can’t get to two-seventy electoral votes. The Republican Party would cease to exist. We would become like the Whig Party. Our kids and grandkids would study how this used to be a national political party. ‘They had Conventions, they nominated Presidential candidates. They don’t exist anymore.’”

Mitt Romney already faced a tough road to the White House through the electoral map this year, and the country's shifting demographics make the map an even bigger problem for the Republican Party in future elections

Some Democrats think that Texas and Arizona could be the next to become swing states, and there were signs of a future Democratic invasion into these Southwestern states during the 2012 campaign, including San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro's keynote speech at the Democratic National Convention. 

Cruz is right: Without Texas' 38 electoral votes, it would be virtually impossible for Republicans to win a presidential election. There is simply not a corresponding state that Republicans are targeting to go from blue to red. 

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: cwii; hispanicvote; latinos; tedcruz; texas; trends; tx2012
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-104 next last

1 posted on 11/12/2012 8:58:52 AM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

This puts the chances for Texas secession in the dumpster.


2 posted on 11/12/2012 9:02:32 AM PST by AZLiberty (No tag today.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The demographic trend is not our friend:

National numbers

white voters 1992: 87% of total
white voters 2012: 72%

Blacks vote dem > 95%
Hispanics 80%
Asians 70%


3 posted on 11/12/2012 9:03:21 AM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's bankruptcy: 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I did read somewhere within the past week that the projection is that TX will go blue within the next 4 to 6 years due to the influx of libs. And forget secesion(SP). Now one leaves the farm without permission and somebody ain’t granting it.

Helping keep mankind warm for 65 years.


4 posted on 11/12/2012 9:04:23 AM PST by rktman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AZLiberty

Texas going blue could follow the New Hampshire model.

There used to be a time when NH was conservative, a truly “Live Free or Die” state.

Then, Massachusetts residents slowly MOVED to NH and overwhelmed their residents.

Now NH have chosen to “die” instead of “Live Free”.

Similarly, California voters could do the same to Texas.

What can the Lone Star state do about it?


5 posted on 11/12/2012 9:05:58 AM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: AZLiberty

they better do it soon!


6 posted on 11/12/2012 9:06:15 AM PST by MNDude
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: rktman

Texas has 3 million on Medicare and 4.5 million on Medicaid.
All the secession talk is bluster.


7 posted on 11/12/2012 9:06:25 AM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's bankruptcy: 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: rktman

Texas needs to check state residence before admitting newcomers. The east and west coasters will flee their messes and destroy it at some point.


8 posted on 11/12/2012 9:06:54 AM PST by Phillyred
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Refugees from “blue” states might keep the Longhorn State “red” as long as they leave their politics behind.


9 posted on 11/12/2012 9:07:18 AM PST by Fiji Hill (Deo Vindice!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Phillyred
The east and west coasters will flee their messes and destroy it at some point.

Add to that those crossing from Texas' southern border as well.

10 posted on 11/12/2012 9:08:41 AM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation
The demographic trend is not our friend:

But it could be if we spent more time reaching out to these groups. Today there are very few conservative groups that actually reach out to these demographic groups.

11 posted on 11/12/2012 9:11:09 AM PST by HOYA97 (twitter @hoya97)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Maybe it really is time to change electoral college.


12 posted on 11/12/2012 9:15:25 AM PST by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to the tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Young man at my husband’s company moved from CA because he couldn’t. get a job there. He just loves Obama! Welcome to Texas...Not!!


13 posted on 11/12/2012 9:15:41 AM PST by lone star annie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

While all this is true, George W. Bush got 40% of the vote in 2004 among hispanics, so the hispanic vote is not as locked up as the black vote.


14 posted on 11/12/2012 9:17:26 AM PST by Crimson Elephant
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The only way to keep Texas red is to shut down the border and run all the illegals out to other solid red states to dilute them. Or, send them packing south. Since the federales have no desire to enforce border security for obvious reasons (i.e. democratic voters), it is only a matter of time.


15 posted on 11/12/2012 9:17:49 AM PST by crusty old prospector
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The time for electing a GOPer.. especially a conservative one .. is past. We fought the good fight, but we`re outnumbered by the takers.

Texas, like Colorado, Virginia and Florida before it, will indeed turn blue in time, barring a major influx of conservative arrivals from liberal states.

Like Rush says... you can`t beat Santa Claus. Amerika likes free stuff, and the dems are willing to engage in bidding wars in order to dole the goodies out to them.


16 posted on 11/12/2012 9:18:29 AM PST by ScottinVA (I've never been more disgusted with American voters.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

In the wake of 9-11, there was a real chance to change our suicidal immigration practices. Unfortuanately we had open-border clown GW Bush as President at the time.


17 posted on 11/12/2012 9:19:04 AM PST by Dagnabitt (If I had a failed President, he'd look like Obama.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Well then, I look forward to hearing what Sen. Cruz has planned to stop this. I expect him to work hard to stop and then reverse the trend.


18 posted on 11/12/2012 9:21:48 AM PST by ABQHispConservative
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

It easy to turn a state blue. They just have to have a 110% voter turn out.


19 posted on 11/12/2012 9:22:12 AM PST by bmwcyle (Women reelected Obama)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

By 2016, 2020 at the latest, Texas takes a hard swing left, courtesy of all of the illegals voting for free stuff. With a population over 50% mexican, and with the hispanic catholic crowd firmly in the back pocket of the democrats, Texas is royally screwed. Open borders and cheap labor are going to cost you dearly. Don’t believe me? Texas is just one step away from becoming another California.


20 posted on 11/12/2012 9:22:34 AM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

In the aftermath of this painful election it’s easy to become disillusioned. The Dems and their media allies sense this and they’re putting out articles proclaiming the GOP is in disarray, the demographic change only benefits Democrats, and the Republicans have an uphill battle in years to come. Sadly, so many on our side are taking this information as gospel and feeling as if Armageddon is upon us. I’m not denying things are bleak but those people want us to feel this way and have us just surrender and roll over like helpless dogs. We have an uphill fight to save the country but it has to be done because something as great as what we’ve established in America can never be duplicated anywhere else. It’s been a week since the big loss. Time to stop feeling sorry for ourselves and now it’s time to get back to work.


21 posted on 11/12/2012 9:22:39 AM PST by dowcaet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA

Same thing as happened in NC, yankees and hispanics have flooded in during last 15 years. NV, CO were run over by hispanics and CA transplants.


22 posted on 11/12/2012 9:22:41 AM PST by jbwbubba
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: lone star annie

We fired our liberal after the election...


23 posted on 11/12/2012 9:23:03 AM PST by max americana (Make the world a better place by punching a liberal in the face)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: crusty old prospector

RE: The only way to keep Texas red is to shut down the border and run all the illegals out to other solid red states to dilute them

What about Californians moving to Texas like MA voters moving to NH ? How are you going to put a border on that?


24 posted on 11/12/2012 9:23:15 AM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

In the future, will there be a one party system in this country?

Or will the libs split between money/elite and poor libs?


25 posted on 11/12/2012 9:23:41 AM PST by llevrok (2016 Campaign? Freedom FROM the press !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Then, Massachusetts residents slowly MOVED to NH and overwhelmed their residents.

Here's another myth that needs to be blown apart...many of the people that moved here from Assachusetts were conservatives (hence, the red counties along the RH/MA border)...it is the NEW YORKERS that are stinking things up. Worst neighbors ever. They have no respect for private property, and if you call them on it; you wind up on their 'sh*t list'...not a good place to be. My ONLY Assachusetts neighbors voted Romney and Lamontagne.

26 posted on 11/12/2012 9:25:05 AM PST by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant
George W. Bush got 40% of the vote in 2004 among hispanics, so the hispanic vote is not as locked up as the black vote.

GWB was pushing amnesty at the time.

27 posted on 11/12/2012 9:25:13 AM PST by umgud (No Rats, No Rino's)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation
As I have said before, it is directly proportional to the number of Mexicans in the state. The majority of the 37.6% came here within the last twenty years, illegally. Thank the Gipper for getting the ball rolling in 1986 with the first amnesty.

According to the 2010 United States census, the racial and ethnic composition of Texas was the following:

White: 70.4% (Non-Hispanic Whites: 45.3%)

Black or African American: 11.8%

Native American: 0.7%

Asian: 3.8% (1.0% Indian, 0.8% Vietnamese, 0.6% Chinese, 0.4% Filipino, 0.3% Korean, 0.2% Pakistani, 0.07% Japanese, 0.05% Laotian, 0.05% Cambodian)

Pacific Islander: 0.1% (0.02% Guamanian, 0.01% Samoan, 0.01% Tongan, 0.01% Native Hawaiian)

Some other race: 10.5%

Two or more races: 2.7%

Hispanic or Latino (of any race): 37.6% (31.6% Mexican, 0.5% Puerto Rican, 0.2% Cuban)

28 posted on 11/12/2012 9:25:48 AM PST by crusty old prospector
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: HOYA97

We really need a clear operational definition of “Reaching Out.”

If that means agreeing with demands, concessions in the hope to be finally liked, it will not work.

If, on the other hand it means making the case for our beliefs and showing them why it behooves them to follow our succeful model, it might work.

It is not as if the Republicans have been unfriendly, racist or unwelcoming. Quite the contrary. McCain was staunchly in the “legalize the illegals” corner, as was W. Bush. Did it result in ANY additional support in 2008? Did Reagan’s amnesty do it? Did some Republicans supporting the “Dream Act” help? Rubio’s reaching out? Or is this narrative really just a construction to channel Republicans to think that they MUST have Jeb Bush in 2016?

The way the reaching out has been done results so far in those special interest groups staying with Democrats, and Republicans losing their base who see little reason to work for a party which agrees with the opposition party. Republicans lose both the issue and even more votes.


29 posted on 11/12/2012 9:27:08 AM PST by Anima Mundi (You can lead a brain to facts but you can't make it think.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: HOYA97

That is certainly the truth. But I think it’s because maybe a lot of conservatives don’t really have much faith in our message (which, btw, doesn’t just relate to economics).

And for all the hand-wringing about “minority voters,” it should be remembered that very large sections of the white demographic (including working class younger white males) also voted heavily for Obama. About the only safe group was older rural or small city white males.

We’re simply not getting the message out. The electorate, of any color, is so poorly educated that most of them have no idea what states’ rights means, probably at least 50% of them have never heard of the Bill of Rights and have no idea what people mean when they talk about preserving or defending various amendments, they are clueless about economics, and they are increasingly unchurched, so they don’t have the fundamental ethical or moral formation to understand the implications of individual responsibility (and, again, not just on an economic level).

So we really have to review our approach overall. The message that goes to everybody from young white males to middle-aged Hispanic housewives to elderly black church people has got to be the same, and it’s got to start from the basics of our vision and inspire and get people excited about it again.


30 posted on 11/12/2012 9:28:52 AM PST by livius
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Romney won Texas 57% to 41%, or about 1.27 million votes.

Texas is now, according the US Census Quick Facts:

Population 25,674,681

45% non-Hispanic white

38% Hispanic

12% Black

4% Asian

It's generally accepted that around 1/3 of the Hispanic population is in the US illegally. That's probably higher in Texas.

But still, a significant number of Texas Hispanics have to be voting for Republicans. I think this illustrtates that Republicans do well among the established Hispanic families that have been part of the US for several generations, and not so well among new arrivals.

There could be around 3,000,000 illegals in Texas. Amnesty would probably add a million or more of current illegals to Texas' eligible voter totals. Amnesty alone could turn Texas into a battlground state by legalizing the current illegals there.

31 posted on 11/12/2012 9:29:19 AM PST by Will88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Mexico is rapidly populating Texas. Within 10 years it will cease to be the state it is and petitions to withdraw from the union will be for the purpose of integrating with mexico. Soon following will Be California. then Arizona. The reconquista movement is winning through the birth rate. It is unstoppable and inevitable. When a nation will not defend its borders and sovereignty it ceases to be a nation.

Before Reagan granted amnesty to 3 million illegals he got 37% of the hispanic vote. After he got 30%. His amnesty has drawn another 20 million illegals and the morons in the republican party think with a new amnesty they will get theiri vote.. fools simply fools.


32 posted on 11/12/2012 9:29:37 AM PST by Breto (The Establishment party is killing our country)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Mexico is rapidly populating Texas. Within 10 years it will cease to be the state it is and petitions to withdraw from the union will be for the purpose of integrating with mexico. Soon following will Be California. then Arizona. The reconquista movement is winning through the birth rate. It is unstoppable and inevitable. When a nation will not defend its borders and sovereignty it ceases to be a nation.

Before Reagan granted amnesty to 3 million illegals he got 37% of the hispanic vote. After he got 30%. His amnesty has drawn another 20 million illegals and the morons in the republican party think with a new amnesty they will get their vote.. fools simply fools.


33 posted on 11/12/2012 9:29:51 AM PST by Breto (The Establishment party is killing our country)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

We ought to be concerned. What do you say, Rick Perry?


34 posted on 11/12/2012 9:30:00 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fiji Hill

“Refugees from “blue” states might keep the Longhorn State “red” as long as they leave their politics behind.”

Unfortunately, that’s not what happens. Just like a happy person living with a depressed person, the depressed person does not get happier - the happy person becomes depressed.

Oregon is a good example of what happens to a red state that is “invaded” by blue staters. In the 50’s & 60’s Oregon was a republican and conservative state. After being invaded by Californians and hippies in the 70’s, 80’s, 90’s, 00’s and 10’s, its a blues states’ blue state.

This is just like what is happening in the country, where people from other countries come here for the freedom and opportunity of America, and immediately try to start changing it to their country away from country. Eventually, it starts looking like where they left to get away from.

Assisted suicide, anyone?


35 posted on 11/12/2012 9:31:10 AM PST by Larry - Moe and Curly (Loose lips sink ships.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Crimson Elephant

They thought Bush was going to support amnesty and he did. Congress killed it.
Illegal immigration has and will cost us our country and our freedom. I’m afraid there is no solution at the ballot box.
BTW..we are considering moving from CA to TX, but we will bring two more conservative votes and political contributions.


36 posted on 11/12/2012 9:32:40 AM PST by Oldexpat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Simple don’t hire their asses.


37 posted on 11/12/2012 9:34:56 AM PST by JohnD9207 (Isn't freedom worth fighting for?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA
Like Rush says... you can`t beat Santa Claus. Amerika likes free stuff, and the dems are willing to engage in bidding wars in order to dole the goodies out to them.

I wonder what happens when the repo-man arrives to take away all the "free" stuff that was paid with borrowed money?

38 posted on 11/12/2012 9:35:50 AM PST by Flick Lives (We're going to be just like the old Soviet Union, but with free cell phones!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Texas was solid democrat in presidential votes up until 1952..

1952-1956 .. Republican
1960-1964-1968 .. Democrat
1972 .. Republican
1976 .. Democrat
1980 on .. Republican


39 posted on 11/12/2012 9:37:52 AM PST by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oldexpat

No Republican will ever win the WH from now on out. This ended 4 yrs ago. The cancer has now invaded all areas & will eventually kill its subject.


40 posted on 11/12/2012 9:40:10 AM PST by Digger
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: deport

Back then Democrats were more conservative than Republicans.


41 posted on 11/12/2012 9:41:08 AM PST by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: nascarnation

I heard Scott Rasmussen on the radio this morning and said that roughly the same amount of blacks voted in 2012 as in 2008, and that Hispanic voter turnout was only slightly higher (1-2%) -BUT the White Voter turnout overall was
7 Million less in 2012 than in 2008 (99 Million in 2008 and 92 Million in 2012).

He said demographics haven’t changed at all that much, but White voters stayed home.


42 posted on 11/12/2012 9:41:08 AM PST by PMAS (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

There may be Kalifornians in and around Travis County, but I rarely run into them in the eastern half of the state, except maybe The Woodlands. And the ones that I do, typically are conservatives. Now, Albuquerque is a totally different story. They are what has made that state blue. It has been proven in every national election going back to the 1800’s that voters nine times out of ten vote for whomever promises to put the most jingle in their pocket book, whether it actually happens or not. That is why “conservative” states like North Dakota and Montana vote for democratic senators. Farm subsidies.


43 posted on 11/12/2012 9:41:55 AM PST by crusty old prospector
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: ABQHispConservative

Cruz cannot do it alone. One problem we have is that when Hispanic conservatives offer solutions, it is immediately labeled “amnesty”, even if it isn’t.

The best way around this is to FORCE any legislative solution to NOT be seen as a victory for Obama...either make it (ugh) bipartisan, OR—better—as an enforcement/path to legitimacy deal that Obama begrudgingly signs.


44 posted on 11/12/2012 9:42:17 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

What’s missing from all these “projections” is the number of those who will stop voting Demonrat once the economy hits the dumpster. I’m sorry it is coming to that of course, but it will take a major economic, natural or terrorist catastrophe to wake enough people up.

Sooner or later the left wing’s policies catch up with the naive. Once that happens there will be a major shift away, especially Anglos and Asians as they have the most to lose. It will happen, just a matter of time as to when.


45 posted on 11/12/2012 9:43:34 AM PST by A_Former_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Will88
Texas voting for Gov. 2010. A lot of the border area is blue but some other areas such as Houston, Austin, Dallas, San Antonio are also blue.


46 posted on 11/12/2012 9:44:55 AM PST by deport
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: PMAS

Interesting - he knows a lot more about demographics than I do.

But if I look at 2.5 million people dying every year (who mostly vote R) and being replaced by folks who mostly vote D, it’s an uphill battle.


47 posted on 11/12/2012 9:45:20 AM PST by nascarnation (Baraq's bankruptcy: 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: rktman

“TX will go blue within the next 4 to 6 years due to the influx of libs”

Like a cancer, libs flee what they have created, and go on to infest their next state.


48 posted on 11/12/2012 9:46:03 AM PST by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Breto

Go into any Walmart or Lowe’s at any time of day and I will guarantee you that the majority of people are young, Spanish-speaking families with two kids in the shopping cart and one on the way. Except maybe in Highland Park... Once granted amnesty,they have no reason to vote for a republican when the socialist party is offering gifts from Santa Claus year round.


49 posted on 11/12/2012 9:47:26 AM PST by crusty old prospector
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Send “scouts” to red county blue states and offer incentives and perks to move to Texas.


50 posted on 11/12/2012 9:48:20 AM PST by Morris70
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-104 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson