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Is Demography Destiny? (Sowell on GOP)
Creators Syndicate ^ | November 13, 2012 | Thomas Sowell

Posted on 11/12/2012 11:11:59 AM PST by jazusamo

Some media pundits see in the growing proportion of non-white groups in the population a growing opposition to the Republican Party that will sooner or later make it virtually impossible for Republicans to win presidential elections or even to control either house of Congress. But is demography destiny?

Conventional wisdom in the Republican establishment is that what the GOP needs to do, in order to win black votes or Hispanic votes, is to craft policies specifically targeting these groups. In other words, Republicans need to become more like Democrats.

Whether in a racial context or in other contexts, the supposed need for Republicans to become more like Democrats has long been a recurring theme of the moderate Republican establishment, going back more than half a century.

Yet the most successful Republican presidential candidate during that long period was a man who went completely counter to that conventional wisdom— namely, Ronald Reagan, who won back to back landslide election victories.

Meanwhile, moderate Republican presidential candidate after moderate Republican presidential candidate has gone down to defeat, even against Democratic presidential candidates who were unpopular (Harry Truman), previously unknown (Jimmy Carter, Bill Clinton) or who had a terrible economic track record (Barack Obama).

None of this seems to have caused any second thoughts in the Republican establishment. So long as that remains the case, demography may indeed be destiny— and that destiny could be Democratic administrations as far out as the eye can see.

If non-white voters can only be gotten by pandering to them with goodies earmarked for them, then Republicans are doomed, even if they choose to go that route. Why should anyone who wants racially earmarked goodies vote for Republicans, when the Democrats already have a track record of delivering such goodies?

(Excerpt) Read more at creators.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatives; gop; sowell; thomassowell

1 posted on 11/12/2012 11:12:02 AM PST by jazusamo
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To: abigail2; Amalie; American Quilter; arthurus; awelliott; Bahbah; bamahead; Battle Axe; ...
*PING*
Thomas Sowell

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2 posted on 11/12/2012 11:15:24 AM PST by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: abigail2; Amalie; American Quilter; arthurus; awelliott; Bahbah; bamahead; Battle Axe; ...
*PING*
Thomas Sowell

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

Recent columns
Nice Losers
Waiving Freedom
Gross Misconceptions

Please FReepmail me if you would like to be added to or removed from the Thomas Sowell ping list…

3 posted on 11/12/2012 11:16:33 AM PST by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

What if it’s not about policy.

What if it really about likability.

Reagan had that in spades.


4 posted on 11/12/2012 11:20:27 AM PST by PetroniusMaximus
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To: PetroniusMaximus
Sowell is a brilliant man but no one will be able to convince people looking for freebies to follow basic Republican principles. Especially while the other party chases them around trying to give them things. It all goes back to education. If children are taught properly in school then this wouldn't be an issue.
5 posted on 11/12/2012 11:29:16 AM PST by Wiggins
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To: jazusamo

Some “moderates” who lost last week, here’s a few:
Linda McMahon
Scott Brown
Tommy Thompson
...there were more

if being “moderate” were the key to winning, why didn’t they win?


6 posted on 11/12/2012 11:30:08 AM PST by TurboZamboni (Looting the future to bribe the present)
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To: PetroniusMaximus

Pravda/Tass USSR kept the subjects ignorant via non-stop one party brain washing.

Pravda/Tass (aka MSM) keeps the subjects ignorant via non-stop one party brain washing.

Plus training the herds to expect ever greater ‘gimmies”.

Likeability factory? Only a racist or a Liberal (is there a difference?) could think Obama has more likeability than Romney. The debates showed Romney to be a decent guy and Obama (for those lacking a closed, washed brain) a jerk.


7 posted on 11/12/2012 11:33:02 AM PST by OldArmy52 (The question is not whether Obama ever lies, but whether he ever tells the truth.)
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To: jazusamo

The takers are not interested in logic or reason. They will always vote for the ones giving them the most goodies. Since there numbers can now control elections it s game,set match.


8 posted on 11/12/2012 11:40:06 AM PST by gleneagle
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To: jazusamo
What Republicans need are MORE PEOPLE who look like Thomas Sowell, Walter Williams, Star Parker, Allen West, Lloyd Marcus, and Mia Love who are constantly in the forefront defending our values!
9 posted on 11/12/2012 11:41:26 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Agreed!


10 posted on 11/12/2012 11:44:30 AM PST by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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Please bump the Freepathon or click above and donate or become a monthly donor!

11 posted on 11/12/2012 11:45:42 AM PST by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: Wiggins

We do have something to look forward to. Eventually, the Democrats won’t be able to give out any more ‘things’, and will have to institute biting austerity. Oh, imagine the riots we will have.

Then the red states can just secede and leave them to their own ways.


12 posted on 11/12/2012 12:02:41 PM PST by Viennacon
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To: PetroniusMaximus

“But if Republicans continue inarticulate, then it is they who are in big trouble. More important, so is the country.”

Reagan could articulate that which was best for all. Something in which the GOPe is NOT interested.


13 posted on 11/12/2012 12:22:50 PM PST by Scarlet Pimpernel (And what rough beast, its hour come round at last, Slouches towards Bethlehem to be born?)
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To: Viennacon

As Mark Stein said: the country voted for a lifestyle they are unwilling to earn. It can’t last long. Illinois will be the first to fall.


14 posted on 11/12/2012 12:23:37 PM PST by ALPAPilot
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To: ALPAPilot

You are quite right. As long as the doers consent to supporting the slackers; there will be peace of a sort.

But when the last dime has been wrung from the taxpayer that can be extracted from them and the job creators are brought to poverty themselves the riots will begin.

My preference would be to starve the deadbeats and slaggards now while we have something left. Put your assets somewhere beyond their reach until sanity returns to this country. At least use them for your own family before the Democrats take it away from you to feed their useless voting base.


15 posted on 11/12/2012 12:43:23 PM PST by Aleya2Fairlie
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To: jazusamo
In a government that values universal suffrage, yes, demography is destiny. While not necessarily in the usual sense of "race" "creed" or "religion," when a majority of people fall into the human nature trap of class envy and easy living, and that cohort can enforce its will via the political process, then that's exactly what it will do.

The outcome is not a "surprise" or "unexpected."

16 posted on 11/12/2012 12:50:25 PM PST by Cboldt
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To: jazusamo

As long as half of the people see government as a way to get a free phone, TV, housing and medical care they will elect democrats.
Since Republicans are the party of hard-working, productive intelligent individuals, they will get votes only from hard-working, productive intelligent individuals.
Slackers will vote democrat. democrats want more slackers. democrats don’t want hard-working, productive intelligent individuals in their party.
Looks like it will be democrats for a while with the hard-working, productive intelligent individuals supporting the slackers.


17 posted on 11/12/2012 12:52:05 PM PST by I want the USA back
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To: jazusamo
But the Republicans' greatest failure has been precisely their chronic failure to spell out their principles— and the track record of those principles— to either white or non-white voters.,

I think that Mr. Sowell is leaving out one thing in this discussion, and that is the main-stream media's ability to falsely paint those principles. I think Romney and the RNC tried their best to spell out those principles. It's just that it is near impossible to trump the MSM when they are doing the DNC's bidding by painting Republican principles as something that they are not. And it's the principles as described by the MSM and Hollywood that the minority classes hear and understand. That is what we have to overcome.
18 posted on 11/12/2012 1:35:52 PM PST by AaronInCarolina
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To: AaronInCarolina

Bingo. The majority of voters are either incapable or unwilling to sit and intelligently digest platforms and philosophies. They react to quick bits of information and are remarkably naive in their decision making. Democrats hold the edge in EMOTIONAL arguments, and that makes it very difficult for conservatives or libertarians to make sound counterarguments that will resonate. Like many others here, I think it will come to the ‘takers’ taking to the point of collapse, and then the reset button will be pushed. In the meanwhile, if you’re a person of sound conservative leanings, do what you can to protect your family and yourself from the disastrous consequences.


19 posted on 11/12/2012 1:53:51 PM PST by Arkansas Toothpick
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To: AaronInCarolina

Bingo. The majority of voters are either incapable or unwilling to sit and intelligently digest platforms and philosophies. They react to quick bits of information and are remarkably naive in their decision making. Democrats hold the edge in EMOTIONAL arguments, and that makes it very difficult for conservatives or libertarians to make sound counterarguments that will resonate. Like many others here, I think it will come to the ‘takers’ taking to the point of collapse, and then the reset button will be pushed. In the meanwhile, if you’re a person of sound conservative leanings, do what you can to protect your family and yourself from the disastrous consequences.


20 posted on 11/12/2012 1:54:06 PM PST by Arkansas Toothpick
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To: AaronInCarolina
Yes, an excellent point and though Dr. Sowell didn't bring the MSM into this piece he has in other columns.

It's pathetic that the MSM is so in the tank for the Rats and it won't be changing real soon.

21 posted on 11/12/2012 1:59:55 PM PST by jazusamo ("Intellect is not wisdom" -- Thomas Sowell)
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To: jazusamo

Demography is not destiny.
CULTURE is destiny.
The invading barbarians have brought their culture with them, and too much of today’s youth have adopted the urban ghetto “gangsta” culture.
Between the two, we ARE doomed.


22 posted on 11/12/2012 2:13:02 PM PST by Little Ray (I have VOTED AGAINST Obama in the General.)
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To: jazusamo

I’d betcha nobody at the RNC is listening to the man with the plan jaz. Thanks for the ping.


23 posted on 11/12/2012 2:15:54 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Arkansas Toothpick

Toothpick, you and I think a lot alike. Too many people vote based on what they are told, not based upon what is true. It’s a shame that we can’t filter out such people if they are ignorant of political truths. The malleable ignorant voter. Its my strong belief that if only informed voters (those who really had an understanding of political truths... principles of the founding fathers, free-market principles, liberty principles, history of Marxism/ProgressiveIdeology, difference between “right” and “left” etc...) were allowed to vote, that the Democrats would never win another election.


24 posted on 11/12/2012 2:18:38 PM PST by AaronInCarolina
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To: SoFloFreeper

-—”What Republicans need are MORE PEOPLE who look like Thomas Sowell, Walter Williams, Star Parker, Allen West, Lloyd Marcus, and Mia Love who are constantly in the forefront defending our values!”

You are SOOO right. I view that as the ONLY way we can elect a conservative in this ANTI-WHITE racist country.

We need a “Trojan Horse” (like Hermain Cain was to be) to get elected and then thru example and leadership make being conservative “cool.”

This country is just too racist (read: anti-White) to elect a white conservative.


25 posted on 11/12/2012 2:32:01 PM PST by AlanGreenSpam (Obama: The First 'American IDOL' President - sponsored by Chicago NeoCom Thugs)
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To: jazusamo

Common sense article by Dr. Sowell; common sense, unfortunately, is not very common with the political elites in the Republican party.


26 posted on 11/12/2012 2:32:56 PM PST by SharpRightTurn ( White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: jazusamo
Sowell is great, but he's wrong.

His theory is that if we just explain why our policies are better for the voter (because the benefits are not self-evident) they will vote for us.

He's giving them too much credit.

This election has reinforced for me that: The Right hopes that th voters are smart. The Left knows that the voters are stupid.

27 posted on 11/12/2012 2:32:56 PM PST by Washi (Look on the bright side: the world is scheduled to end on Dec. 21st.)
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To: Washi

And frankly what conservative would even want the job ruling over a bunch of stupid people in the first place?


28 posted on 11/12/2012 2:34:32 PM PST by dfwgator
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To: Little Ray

Northwestern U. Marxism conference packed with teachers

http://legalinsurrection.com/2012/11/northwestern-u-marxism-conference-packed-with-teachers/

GREAT article - there’s a reason why Bill Ayers chose to enter the field of “education”. It just took one generation to re-program the yutes.


29 posted on 11/12/2012 2:39:27 PM PST by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
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To: Washi

The voters are stupid. The Dems play politics 24/7. Republicans only every election cycle. That puts us at a distinct disadvantage. To convince some poor/minorities to come out way is a very difficult challenge. How do you fight free food? The answer - school vouchers and medical IRAS for the poor. We talk about these things but we never do it. It would not cost more money because we are just shifting existing resources directly into people’s hands rather than through government agencies. Half the poor are too damn lazy to want that control. They prefer to be slaves. But the other half we got a shot at. The goal is to implement these things in just one state and make them work. Other states will follow. The Dems will fight these initiatives because they are not about helping poor people but controlling them.


30 posted on 11/12/2012 4:01:09 PM PST by DHerion
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To: jazusamo
The "demography problem" is that GOP "strategists" keep trying to go after the Democrat base of folks who believe they should be the recipients of loot folks in the government have taken from the productive part of society to ensure their reelection. You know, folks like Obama who outlined this very strategy in a 1998 speech at Loyola University. The people who engineered the loss of Romney, McCain, Dole, GHW Bush, and Ford have always been opposed to those who made possible the landslides of Reagan and the 1994 and 2010 debacles for Democrats. They will continue to do this at their own peril.

I've noticed already in the comments on sites like ABC many who are of the unreflecting, knee-jerking, emotionally-manipulable, slogan-mongering, spinning, talking-points tweeting, hysterical, histrionic, historically-ignorant, politically-shallow group that comprises the voter pool of the Democrat Party (as opposed to the few in leadership who use them). These folks should review that recent Pew study about the differences between Republicans and Democrats in terms of basic knowledge of just about everything. It is, in their case, theoretically, though not probably, enlightening.
31 posted on 11/12/2012 11:54:07 PM PST by aruanan
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To: jazusamo

Amen.


32 posted on 11/13/2012 5:44:58 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll protect your rights?)
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To: Aleya2Fairlie

Yes, we need to starve the beast, I would rather put my extra taxed money into a 401k, an IRA or real estate and make tons of capital improvements, than send a dime to DC.
I would rather take the risk of loss, another tax write off, in the stock market or real estate than send anything to DC.


33 posted on 11/13/2012 7:22:21 AM PST by thirst4truth (www.Believer.com)
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