Should have read, “Dave Leip’s”, not “Dave Lieb’s”.
There will end up being a significant real turnout decline in New York and New Jersey.
It’s obvious Romney’s total will end up beating McCain, but I think Romney’s numbers will end up betting McCain even with the increase in voting age population from 2008 to 2012 taken into account.
The Wiki page appears pretty accurate and actually is more updated than my own spreadsheet - I’m going to make another pass through mine tonight. Romney should pull ahead of McCain by Thanksgiving, for sure, I would think, unless the California vote count really slows.
One thing that stinks is the New York SoS maintains no running vote count and they don’t have a certification date until well into December.