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Editorial: We are now in a massive ‘dollar bubble’ and it’s going to pop
The Tribune Papers ^ | November 10, 2010

Posted on 11/24/2012 5:33:22 PM PST by upchuck

[Note: This editorial published on Nov 10, 2012]

We are now rushing down a course that is going to create incredible economic hardships for millions of Americans. The increase in the amount of debt that has been added to our economy is astronomical. And there is no end in sight. We now have over $16 trillion of debt, and with Obama’s policies it will be almost impossible to reverse that course.

Debt is the problem. Big debt is a big problem. There are only four ways to tackle it: increase taxes to bring in more dollars, reduce spending to save dollars, reduce entitlements to save dollars, and/or increase job growth which will result in more overall tax dollars coming in to the government.

Increasing taxes in the immediate future is going to be highly counterproductive in that it is going to put a damper on job creation by removing money from the private sector, which in the long run is the only sure way out of this mess.

Reducing entitlements will most certainly have to take place, but is going to be very difficult due to all the lobbying pressures and the fact that Obama has no intention of doing so. Obamacare will make the situation much worse.

Reducing other spending offers some avenues to help fix the problem, but the impact of such reductions will be smaller and will, again, take time to become effective.

Increasing jobs so as to increase revenues is really the only way out. But this would take quite a number of years to accomplish even with someone who knew what he was doing at the helm. Obama is not that person. He doesn’t know how.

At the very least, after another four years the debt load this country will be carrying will be well over $20 trillion dollars. This is close to an impossible load to bear. Our tax base right now, in a good year, is only $2.5 trillion, and in a bad year is around $2 trillion. That means we have a debt to income ration of 8 to 1 or 10 to 1.

In addition, we are spending about $3.5 trillion per year, which means we are borrowing about 40% of everything we are spending. It’s pretty hard to pay off any debt when you are doing that. And how long can that be sustained?

The crux of this problem is that we are unable to deal with the huge debt without facing massive inflation. The big debt has led us right into the ugly face of inflation, the major problem we face.

Generally speaking the amount of money in an economy should be enough so that products and goods and services can be paid for with the existing supply. If the amount of product goes up, it stands to logic that there should be more dollars printed and put in circulation to go with the demand for those products. However, if a great deal more money is printed than would fill that demand, then inflation will follow. For example, if we say that $100 is equal to 1/10th of an ounce of gold, and you print more dollars and don’t add any more gold to the pile, then each dollar will buy less and less gold as the dollar becomes inflated.

In the past four years, we have done just that. Since 2008, our monetary supply has increased over 300%. This is a great more money than was needed to keep up with any increase in the supply of goods, which certainly did not increase by anywhere near 300%. Unfortunately, a great deal of this money was just wasted. What we got instead was just a lot of debt.

In addition, it needs to be noted that 36% of the debt owed by the U.S. has a maturity of less than one year. That makes it subject to frequent refinancing, which will have a severe impact as interest rates go up. The higher rates will make it necessary to print more money to pay just the interest, which in turn will add to the inflationary pressures.

We are all living just now in a ‘dollar bubble’ which is equal in specter to the ‘housing bubble’ and ‘stock market bubble’ we have recently experienced. We are living in a ‘bubble economy,’ no matter how it feels. It is always hard to see the ‘bubble’ when you are inside it. But it would be prudent to plan for it even if it is hard to see and difficult to believe.

It’s going to happen. Massive, high inflation is coming. There is no stopping it now. The “dollar bubble” is going to pop.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: bringthepain; bubble; currency; debt; debtcrisis; dollar; dollarbubble; fiscalcliff; preppers; prepping; reset; uscrisis
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Excellent editorial.

And nobama's plan to handle the dollar bubble is...?

1 posted on 11/24/2012 5:33:25 PM PST by upchuck
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To: upchuck

So, should I buy real estate now? Prices are low, rates are low, and I believe housing takes a ride on the inflation train


2 posted on 11/24/2012 5:39:45 PM PST by MattinNJ (Col. West in 2016!!!!!!!!)
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To: upchuck
So refreshing tour hear truthful facts when truth is counted as racism these days
3 posted on 11/24/2012 5:41:02 PM PST by BornToBeAmerican (Things aren't as good as they should be and its Obama's fault, the resident said)
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To: upchuck
Obama stole the election via massive fraud in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida - but it does not erase the fact that millions upon millions of lazy, greedy, stupid, immoral Americans voted for him DESPITE the nightmarish path on which he has placed this country.

Americans by the millions are now degenerate monsters. Let God judge this nation.

4 posted on 11/24/2012 5:41:39 PM PST by SkyPilot
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To: upchuck

BTTT


5 posted on 11/24/2012 5:42:13 PM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: MattinNJ
So, should I buy real estate now? Prices are low, rates are low, and I believe housing takes a ride on the inflation train

I'm thinking sell bonds, maintain gold, maintain stocks and YES move cash to RE.

But that's JMHO.

6 posted on 11/24/2012 5:46:06 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: upchuck

His plan is to hope it pops after 4 more years


7 posted on 11/24/2012 5:46:10 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: SkyPilot

I hope that providence is a little more judicious in the chastisement to come.


8 posted on 11/24/2012 5:46:17 PM PST by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: upchuck
And nobama's plan to handle the dollar bubble is...?

Print even more!

What else???

9 posted on 11/24/2012 5:47:06 PM PST by null and void (The trouble with the world is that the stupid are cocksure and the intelligent are full of doubt.)
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To: upchuck
The writer identified what he believes to be the only four ways to deal with debt.

There is a fifth way ~ PLEDGE ASSETS ~ you can do it the modern way if you want and simply monitize the assets.

Unlike Greece this country has enormous assets of all kinds. The federal government has the assigned ownership role for 30% of the surface landmass ~ and that's just the beginning of things.

Our existing military can certainly acquire tribute to operate if that becomes needed.

10 posted on 11/24/2012 5:48:08 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: upchuck

Where is my Obamaphone?


11 posted on 11/24/2012 5:49:42 PM PST by exnavy (Got ammo, Godspeed!)
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To: upchuck
Just think! Some sucker is going to "inherit" eight years of Obama's "wealth redistribution" bull****.

"I pity the fool" - Mr. T

12 posted on 11/24/2012 5:51:06 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Criminal defense lawyers won't have the Twinkie to kick around anymore.)
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To: upchuck

Pravda USA-”Republicans fault!”


13 posted on 11/24/2012 5:57:56 PM PST by chessplayer
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To: FlingWingFlyer; GeronL

That is why it needs to happen sooner rather than later. We need it to happen while we have a military that can keep foreign countries from trying to divvy us up.

We and everyone you know, needs to buy food and ammo and be prepared to defend your neighborhoods until things settle.


14 posted on 11/24/2012 5:58:17 PM PST by FreeAtlanta (bahits.com)
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To: null and void

Bump.


15 posted on 11/24/2012 5:59:15 PM PST by upchuck (America's at an awkward stage. Too late to work within the system, too early to shoot the bastards.)
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To: muawiyah
Damn straight, muawiyah!

And then they will be able to return the Social Security payments that I made which they already spent.

16 posted on 11/24/2012 5:59:34 PM PST by Aevery_Freeman (The trouble with the "masses" is that they never achieve the "m")
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To: muawiyah
Damn straight, muawiyah!

And then they will be able to return the Social Security payments that I made which they already spent.

17 posted on 11/24/2012 5:59:41 PM PST by Aevery_Freeman (The trouble with the "masses" is that they never achieve the "m")
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To: FreeAtlanta

bump


18 posted on 11/24/2012 5:59:53 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: SkyPilot

19 posted on 11/24/2012 6:02:35 PM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: GeronL
His plan is to hope it pops after 4 more years

He will issue an executive order prohibiting any bubble popping until after 2016. If it happens before that he will blame it on George Bush. What a POS!

20 posted on 11/24/2012 6:07:18 PM PST by immadashell
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To: upchuck

Why am I in this hand basket? Where are we going?


21 posted on 11/24/2012 6:08:04 PM PST by Graybeard58 (What G.O.P.e. candidate is in store for us in 2016?)
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To: Aevery_Freeman
To put an end to Social Security they will have to come up with another $6 trilion to borrow to refund current deposits ~

That can be done with simple assignment of various federally owned properties with vast oil resources ~ or coal ~ maybe Grand Escalante! That's gotta' have some value.

22 posted on 11/24/2012 6:08:49 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: All

FR really needs your help!

Please Contribute Tonight!

FReepathon Day 55

23 posted on 11/24/2012 6:09:16 PM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Travis McGee

If the mid-western “bread basket of America” is in a five-year drought cycle, as some meteorologists fear, food will be very expensive. Do plant a garden next spring, and if you can, raise some chickens and a goat or two. Your family will be thankful you were so prescient.


24 posted on 11/24/2012 6:10:27 PM PST by txrefugee
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To: BornToBeAmerican

They left out the most important fact: Congress and the President are taking on debt at a level that is literally High Treason.


25 posted on 11/24/2012 6:11:17 PM PST by Psycho_Bunny (Thought Puzzle: Describe Islam without using the phrase "mental disorder" more than four times.)
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To: upchuck

There are only four ways to tackle it:
1. increase taxes to bring in more dollars,
2. reduce spending to save dollars,
3. reduce entitlements to save dollars,
4. and/or increase job growth which will result in more overall tax dollars coming in to the government.

And this administration’s solution will be...

Clearly, number 1; they will also dabble in number 3, as long as it doesn’t discommode Obama’s voter base, i.e. Blacks and Hispanics (BOTH the legal and illegal varieties).

As of even date, Obama’s Marxist Revolution is right on track.

In four more years, America will be unrecognizable, even as compared with the America of today.


26 posted on 11/24/2012 6:12:05 PM PST by Jack Hammer
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To: upchuck

” There are only four ways to tackle it”

You left out the fifth way, the universal historical solution which has been used over and over across the centuries.

We ain’t payin’, and you can’t make us.


27 posted on 11/24/2012 6:12:13 PM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: upchuck

That WAS the plan!


28 posted on 11/24/2012 6:12:32 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper (There goes the dominoes...)
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To: upchuck

Everybody says it is coming. Nobody will say when. All I know is that the Democrats will NEVER allow it to happen on their watch. They will put it off four more years until things are even more horrible. Then the republicans will happily allow themselves to be elected. Two months into the Repulican presidents term in 2017, the whole thing will collapse. The MSM will happily report the Republicans did it.

Just watch. You know I’m right.


29 posted on 11/24/2012 6:15:01 PM PST by RepRivFarm ("During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act." -George Orwell)
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To: muawiyah
There is a fifth way ~ PLEDGE ASSETS ~ you can do it the modern way if you want and simply monitize the assets.

That's a one time fix.

Assets could only be sold by the Federal government once.

The cash the government received it would blow through so fast it would make your head spin.

Productivity is the only thing that allows for a tax base on an ongoing basis.

Trouble is, the big turd that sits on top of us, called government, is anti-productive.

A simple ideological housecleaning is needed, IMHO.
30 posted on 11/24/2012 6:17:35 PM PST by PieterCasparzen (We have to fix things ourselves.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks upchuck.


31 posted on 11/24/2012 6:18:20 PM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: muawiyah

What makes you think they will not merely say “too bad, so sad, your SS ‘deposits’ are gone?”


32 posted on 11/24/2012 6:19:43 PM PST by Clay Moore (The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of a fool to the left. Ecclesiastes 10:2)
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To: PieterCasparzen

bump


33 posted on 11/24/2012 6:20:41 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Clay Moore

They’ll crank SS out of a printing press before saying that.


34 posted on 11/24/2012 6:20:55 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (How long before all this "fairness" kills everybody, even the poor it was supposed to help???)
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To: Jack Hammer

or (5) get the printing presses going at warp speed (dilute the problem away)


35 posted on 11/24/2012 6:22:25 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck (How long before all this "fairness" kills everybody, even the poor it was supposed to help???)
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To: FreeAtlanta

Yup!


36 posted on 11/24/2012 6:22:42 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Criminal defense lawyers won't have the Twinkie to kick around anymore.)
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To: Psycho_Bunny

We listened all those years ago when Congress told us the money we were paying in to Social Security was being “kept” in a trust; then to Al Gore when he told us it was going in to a “lockbox”. We later learned that Congress had SPENT the money we’d paid in to Social Security and other taxes; spent it to . . buy votes . . I suppose. Of course, they’d spent it to pay other old folk’s Social Security; I guess in a sort of Ponzi scheme. Now, I’m supposed to “trust” their deals?


37 posted on 11/24/2012 6:23:35 PM PST by Twinkie (ABORTION is GENOCIDE of Blacks & Hispanics!)
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To: MattinNJ
If to buy real estate, do so as a means to live outside large cities. When the SHTF you'll be able to eek out a few extra days/weeks survival. Buying RE as an investment? Hardly. Not with stagnant employment because of four more years of 0bama. Could even get worse when they start taxing business owners PLUS overkill regs from the EPA, etc.. 'Cloward & Piven' is 0bama's goal so I don't see RE market stimulation. We're headed for collapse so PM's hold value, and food stores and ammo/weapons are the brass ring.

"Increasing jobs so as to increase revenues is really the only way out. But this would take quite a number of years to accomplish even with someone who knew what he was doing at the helm. Obama is not that person. He doesn’t know how.", Romney was the President to meet this most compelling need; job creation. Unfortunately, since 0bama stole the election via voter fraud and Congress chose to look the other way just as they did with 0bama's identification papers, we're doomed for catasrophe so BLOAT, store food and gas if possible and live out in the boonies.

38 posted on 11/24/2012 6:23:55 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America (IMPEACH OBAMA)
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To: FreeAtlanta

I’m *there*.


39 posted on 11/24/2012 6:24:56 PM PST by carriage_hill (America - a great idea while it lasted.)
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is it hard to grow corn in the backyard?


40 posted on 11/24/2012 6:25:04 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Travis McGee

Let’s crash the EBT system!!!

Sign everyone up for EBT and SNAP!!!!


41 posted on 11/24/2012 6:30:35 PM PST by GraceG
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To: upchuck

Through an odd chain of circumstances, the people themselves might be able to fight back, but it takes some background information as well as organization.

To start with, there is not just one US currency dollar, but two. Virtual dollars exist only on computers, and can be “created” just by adding another zero on the end.

Physical dollars are printed in only two places in the US: Fort Worth and Washington, D.C. And even at full capacity, they only print enough paper money to back 5% of US daily retail trade. The other 95% is done with virtual money.

And paper money also has something that virtual money does not. It is “legal tender”, and this is very important.

Were America to not be able to access its virtual money, or if Americans just *refused* virtual money, insisting on physical cash, there would be something called a “currency split”, in which all the trillions of virtual debt would cause virtual money to hyperinflate; while at the same time, physical cash would *deflate* 20 to 1. That is, a physical nickel would have the purchasing power of a dollar right now.

All sorts of things could happen to cause this virtual money bubble to pop. All the people who owned virtual money would suddenly be impoverished, either by not being able to access it; or its value hyperinflating to nothing.

And one thing could happen to cause the massive deflation of paper money: the public refusing to trade in virtual money. Insisting on cash.

Since the government can’t physically print more money, could it print higher denomination bills? Actually not, for the simple reason that there are not enough lower denomination bills to make change for it.

All the people right now who get checks from the government for whatever, would find that the checks are worthless if nobody will trade them for cash, and nobody will accept checks, credit, debit or any other virtual instrument in payment for debts. Because they don’t have to. Because virtual money is *not* legal tender.

“I have a million dollars in the bank!”

“Good for you, but the price of a stick of gum is still 1 cent. Unless you have a cent, you cannot buy it.”

Now granted, this situation is untenable for the government, so they would have to do something, but by that point, “Gresham’s Law” would come into effect. Nobody would want their worthless virtual dollars, and would spend them as soon as they got them, for anything they could get. And everybody would horde physical dollars and coin.

And, as with the deflation during the Great Depression, the saying would hold true: “You could buy a pound of hamburger for a nickel, but nobody had any nickels.”


42 posted on 11/24/2012 6:30:52 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy (DIY Bumper Sticker: "THREE TIMES,/ DEMOCRATS/ REJECTED GOD")
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To: FreeReign
So, should I buy real estate now? Prices are low, rates are low, and I believe housing takes a ride on the inflation train

I'm thinking sell bonds, maintain gold, maintain stocks and YES move cash to RE.

Real estate is not a bad investment, although it can certainly go down more, and can be stolen by the government. Being a prepper works really well, here, as if you just load up on long lasting goods you know you will need anyway, like toilet paper, you don't need to sell your gold coins or get into a shootout like Mad Max when the inflation really hits. You will have locked in a lot of your wealth into things you will use.

What we all need to watch for, and I see no help from anyone determining this, is the point at which the US cannot pay the interest on the debt through its tax income. This is the upper limit on when the crash will happen. It will probably happen sooner than that though, as interest payments start crowding out all other spending.

At that point or before, and before the crisis, I believe the government will make a bold move, it will get rid of the federal reserve system and default on all debts owed to the federal reserve. After that, the treasury will just print money.

This is when the hyperinflation will really begin, because congress will now just be printing to keep the crowds docile, but those people have no chance at all of managing the economy back to health wisely.

It will also mark a completely new economic theory as we abandon capitalism. Previous to this event, wealth was generated by the productive, and the government taxed that wealth and spent it as parasites on the productive class. The new economic theory will be that the federal government creates money and distributes it through entitlement spending, and it trickles back to the government through the economy. The productive class will be the new parasites on the entitlement class, as they get money from the entitlement class by exploiting them.

43 posted on 11/24/2012 6:32:26 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: upchuck

I’ve tried to explain this to people.

And I’ve been laughed at, mocked, made fun of, flipped the bird, called a racist, etc.

The Republicans who are supposed to represent me and my interests have (to a large degree) joined in the mockery.

So this is what utter hopelessness and despair feels like? :(

Life sucks in Obamaland. :(


44 posted on 11/24/2012 6:33:00 PM PST by Tzimisce (What do you do when every every branch of the government is corrupt and aligned against you?)
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To: muawiyah
There is another way.. currently under way.

Government sponsored Hypothecation schemes.

45 posted on 11/24/2012 6:37:06 PM PST by Track9
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
And paper money also has something that virtual money does not. It is “legal tender”, and this is very important.

Paper money is the only thing that exists outside the matrix. Even if a person buys gold, the cash used to buy it stays in the matrix and continues circulating. But good old cash lives outside. If it is not in an account in a bank, no one can loan against it, or confiscate it. You only need to protect it from theft and destruction. It is the only way to go Galt.

46 posted on 11/24/2012 6:40:14 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
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To: upchuck
In addition, we are spending about $3.5 trillion per year, which means we are borrowing about 40% of everything we are spending.

From WHO?

Just WHAT entity has that kind of money to LOAN?

47 posted on 11/24/2012 6:41:08 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: Aevery_Freeman

Uhhhh... will you accept Treasury bonds ?

They’re a little low on cash at the moment.

But the bonds are just as good as cash, really.

Zero risk, really, just like cash.


48 posted on 11/24/2012 6:41:41 PM PST by PieterCasparzen (We have to fix things ourselves.)
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To: SkyPilot

yup!

SIN is the ‘problem’; not DEBT!


49 posted on 11/24/2012 6:42:17 PM PST by Elsie (Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going...)
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To: txrefugee

I live in a place where stuff grows readily (N. FL), but if I had to feed my family from seeds, we’d be in big trouble. I can water flowers, but I seem to kill fruits and veggies mostly.


50 posted on 11/24/2012 6:42:59 PM PST by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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