Jeb Bush will run in the primaries against at least four or five conservatives. The conservatives will split the vote and Jeb will be the nominee. It’s been that way for the last 25 years and will be again. If he is nominated we only have ourselves to blame.
I guess so. But what if another moderate runs? There must be establishment types who think the Bush name is still poison. Jeb would split the vote, and enable a conservative to win the nomination, if conservatives could settle on one candidate.
The problem, though, is that anyone who has any kind of record in politics -- especially a voting record in Congress -- is liable to be seen as a moderate or RINO or sell-out, so you get purist fringe candidates splitting the conservative vote.