Skip to comments.Palau is Set to Get Lashed By A “One in A Million” Typhoon
Posted on 12/01/2012 3:28:19 PM PST by dirtboy
The air that now blankets Palau is warm, dry, still, and disturbingly ominous. Palaus sky has reason to brood for in less than 24 hours Typhoon Bopha is predicted to make landfall on the tiny nation of the Republic of Palau with a near direct hit. This typhoon has been securing strength and intensity while at sea and is expected to be a monster typhoon with a violent entry.
As of 4am on December 2, 2012, this typhoon is predicted to sustain 150-mph winds and 180-mph gusts when it reaches Palau on early morning Monday. If that were not enough, storm force winds extend out from the center to 120 miles and maximum wave height is now estimated at 48 feet.
Typhoon Bopha defies all parameters with intense rainfall, huge diameters and fierce, harnessed winds. Yet, what makes Typhoon Bopha a typhoon in a million is that it has developed five-degrees from the equator, an area which is covered by the Coriolis force. The Coriolis effect forces a counterclockwise rotation for all storms in the Northern Hemisphere (storms south of the equator rotate clockwise). According to Wikpedia, since records began, only thirteen tropical cyclones have ever existed between 5°N and 5°S of the equator.
Palau lies on the edge of the typhoon belt and has never seen a typhoon of this magnitude
It’s kinda like our own Typhoon B.
What in the world are 21000 people doing in that miserable place? Mining?
FEMA is going to catch hell after this one hits. Dubya too!
Never mind. I’m thinking of Peleliu.
Palau is dead still right now, with almost an eerie calmness. It belies the impending typhoon disaster that seems to be tracking its way directly for Palau. Any tropical cyclone approaching within 180 miles of Koror is considered a threat to Palau. The latest information has Typhoon Bopha approaching within 15 miles of Koror. In its steady approach, Typhoon Bopha is gaining strength and is expected to reach Palau late Sunday evening with sustained winds of 125 miles per hour and gusts up to 155 miles per hour. This will be the most powerful storm Palau has experienced since before 1941.
Typhoon Bopha is projected to land in mid-Babeldoab with major impact to Palaus city center Koror. Some businesses and households are beginning to prepare; however, there seems to be a general sense of disbelief that the storm is coming and how powerful it will be when it arrives. Driving through the downtown city center only three or four businesses have boarded up their windows. Some locals have explained that it always turns north representing a general distrust in the meterological predictions for Typhoon Bopha.
Palau is an island nation with no building codes. A large majority of homes are built with wood frames and tin roofs. The potential for wide spread destruction is unfathomable. Residents of Palaus northern state of Kayangel, a low lying atoll, have refused to evacuate and the government is not imposing a mandatory evacuation. The last large storm to hit Palau was Typhoon Marie in 1976 with peak gusts of of 86 mph. However, no severe storm has has ever been recorded as effecting Palau. Typhoon Sally had recorded winds of only 89 miles in 1967. Typhoon Sally in 1967 caused wide spread destruction.
Dubya particularly. It is all Bush’s fault as any obama worshiper will tell you.
INB4 Obama sends more aid there than Staten Island!
‘We’ will pay for their clean up. Man I hope those Uyghurs we gave’em can swim.
Guess what the MSM will blame for this?
The MSM is going to talk up every big storm as global worming aren’t they?
Palau (i/pəˈlaʊ/, sometimes spelled Belau or Pelew), officially the Republic of Palau (Palauan: Beluu ęr a Belau), is an island country located in the western Pacific Ocean. Geographically part of the larger island group of Micronesia, with the country's population of around 21,000 people spread out over 250 islands forming the western chain of the Caroline Islands. The islands share maritime boundaries with Indonesia, the Philippines, and the Federated States of Micronesia. The most populous island in the group is Koror, with the capital city, Ngerulmud, located on nearby Babeldaob.
They had better start moving that island now before it gets capsized like Guam.
Are you kidding? It’s a beautiful island with great fishing and diving . Micronesia is incredible.
Palau is about to be Bopha’d
The big problem with this storm is it is much further south than typical super typhoons. There is little Coriolis effect this close to the Equator. So both Palau and the section of the Philippines that Bopha is forecast to cross are not used to dealing with typhoons, let alone supertyphoons.
A good question. Of course one could always ask "where would they go?" because no country that you'd want to immigrate to wants immigrants these days. But there are also facts from Wikipedia:
Palau's economy consists primarily of tourism, subsistence agriculture, and fishing. Tourist activity focuses on scuba diving and snorkeling in the islands' rich marine environment, including its barrier reefs walls and World War II wrecks. The government is the major employer of the work force, relying heavily on financial assistance from the US. [...]
Taxes are moderate, the income tax has 3 brackets with medium rates (9.3%, 15% and 19.6%), corporate tax is 4% and general sales tax is 7.5%. There are no property taxes.
Let's count: tropical climate, abundance of fish, job paid by someone else's money, no property taxes... what more do you actually want? :-) They have it made, more so than the people in 57 states.
Probably more a matter of money than building codes.
OTV????? How come nobody’s heard of it?
Either that or at least be careful to not all go to one side of it and cause it to sink or capsize THAT way.
I pray for those people.
Peleliu is a part of Palau
Prayers for Palau.
You can see Palau off to the WNW of the storm as a small yellow outline next to the number '81'.
As I recall, the Corolois Forces decreases as one approaches the Equator for horizontal velocities, but still remains for vertical velocities. Therefore, I don’t think Coriolis Force has anything to do with what is happening.IMHO
This statement is laughable for its ignorance. The Coriolis force is the force that tends to curve flows into a vortex, and is also the force that tends to force storms into a more north and easterly direction as they move north (in the Northern Hemisphere, of course). The Coriolis force is felt more strongly as one moves away from the equator either north or south until it diminishes again in the polar regions, and is essentially zero precisely at the equator, and weak either side of it, which is the reason cyclonic storms do not generally develop in the 10 degree band circling the Earth at its mid-section. It is the reason why there are many very tall palms where I live (about 8 degrees south) and not so many left on Guam (about 13 degrees north).
It would be inaccurate to say that the area 5 degrees north and south of the equator is NOT subject to the Coriolis force; it is, of course, as is everywhere else on Earth in principle.
The problem with the author's statement is that he leaves the absurdly inaccurate impression that the earth outside the equatorial band is NOT "covered" by the Coriolis force. Not only is it, but the Coriolis force is many times stronger there, which is the very reason for the greater incidence of cyclonic storms OUTSIDE the equatorial band.
Everybody...there is at least one Freeper and other Americans in the path of this storm...time to hit our knees in prayer.
I’m almost in tears for these poor people. They’re going to get hammered and we must all pray.
What the fluke??????
Is this chain of fly specks in the ocean a U.S. Territory, a U.S. Protectorate, a U.S. colony, a U.S. airforce base.....or what!
What's with the financial assistance? Do the 21,000 souls vote Democrat by secret computers wired to Ohio?
What's the story here? How many tiny atolls around the planet are we subsidizing on the QT? Good grief.....!!!!
Palau is beautiful and a great dive site, been there.
Subsidizing their limes and coconuts?
When did Texas move?
WTF are you talking about?
Posted on December 2, 2012 by Oceania TV News
It is 6pm in Palau and the National Emergency Management Office just signaled a fast wailing siren to alert the public that CONDITION 2 is in effect for the whole of the Republic.
CONDITION 2 is intended to provide notice that the typhoon will arrive within the next 24 hours. Travel by boat to any destination is now strictly prohibited. Condition 2 is also an alert that the public should go to the designated shelters in each State.
At the time of the warning announcement Typhoon Bopha was located approximately 480 miles east-southeast of Palau and was said to be moving at 12 miles per hour. The public was strongly advised to take this typhoonvery seriously.
Condition 1 will be announced tomorrow with a mandatory island wide curfew at 6pm on Sunday, December 2, 2012.
According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, at this time, the Typhoon is predicted to reach a maximum waive height of 40 feet with sustained winds of 150mph and gusts of up to 173 mph. The Typhoons closest point of approach will be 13 miles from Koror and 4 miles from Anguar on Monday, December 2, 2012 at approximately 3 a.m.
Ignore my previous reply, it was before I saw that you were thinking of someplace else entirely.
Peleliu is the nearest neighbor to the south. Like, you could probably swim there. But not tomorrow.
I am on board here on Cebu, waiting for a direct hit
around midnight, Wednesday.
As we are only 100 feet from the sea, we may have to consider
evacuation in a few days.
Looks like the US taxpayer will be on the hook for this one as well:
A Compact of Free Association (COFA) defines the relationship that each of three sovereign statesthe Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI) and the Republic of Palauhave entered into as associated states with the United States.
Now sovereign nations, the three freely associated states were formerly part of the Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, a United Nations trusteeship administered by the United States Navy from 1947 to 1951 and by the United States Department of the Interior from 1951 to 1986 (to 1994 for Palau). Under the COFA relationship, the United States provides guaranteed financial assistance over a 15-year period administered through the Office of Insular Affairs in exchange for full international defense authority and responsibilities.
The freely associated states actively participate in all Office of Insular Affairs technical assistance activities. The U.S. treats these nations uniquely by giving them access to many U.S. domestic programs, including disaster response and recovery and hazard mitigation programs under the Federal Emergency Management Agency, and services provided by the National Weather Service, the United States Postal Service, the Federal Aviation Administration, the Federal Communications Commission, and U.S. representation to the International Frequency Registration Board of the International Telecommunications Union. The Compact area, while outside the customs area of the United States, is mainly importable duty-free.
On another thread he said that it was due at his home around midnight Wednesday...hopefully it will veer or ramp down before it gets into his neighborhood...
That storm is going to hit within 36 hours. Godspeed and prayers for your safety.
They’re sitting helpless. All we can is pray and pray that lives will be spared.
This is tragic. Thankfully, shelters are available and we hope they’re solidly built.
I did not know you are on Cebu.
It looks to be almost heading directly to the town of Cebu.
A whole lot more than 23,000 people are going to be impacted by this storm.