Skip to comments.AMERICA NEARS EL TIPPING POINTO
Posted on 12/05/2012 6:18:35 PM PST by smoothsailing
December 5, 2012
I apologize to America's young people, whose dashed dreams and dim employment prospects I had laughed at, believing these to be a direct result of their voting for Obama.
On closer examination, it turns out that young voters, aged 18-29, overwhelmingly supported Romney. But only the white ones.
According to Pew Research, 54 percent of white voters under 30 voted for Romney and only 41 percent for Obama. That's the same percentage Reagan got from the entire white population in 1980. Even the Lena Dunham demographic -- white women under 30 -- slightly favored Romney.
Reagan got just 43 percent of young voters in 1980 -- and that was when whites were 88 percent of the electorate. Only 58 percent of today's under-30 vote is white and it's shrinking daily.
What the youth vote shows is not that young people are nitwits who deserve lives of misery and joblessness, as I had previously believed, but that America is hitting the tipping point on our immigration policy.
The youth vote is a snapshot of elections to come if nothing is done to reverse the deluge of unskilled immigrants pouring into the country as a result of Ted Kennedy's 1965 immigration act. Eighty-five percent of legal immigrants since 1968 have come from the Third World. A majority of them are in need of government assistance.
Whites are 76 percent of the electorate over the age of 30 and only 58 percent of the electorate under 30. Obama won the "youth vote" because it is the knife's edge of a demographic shift, not because he offered the kids free tuition and contraception (which they don't need because it's hard to have sex when you're living with your parents at 27).
In 1980, Hispanics were only 2 percent of the population, and they tended to be educated, skilled workers who got married, raised their children in two-parent families and sent their kids to college before they, too, got married and had kids. (In that order.)
That profile has nothing to do with recent Hispanic immigrants, who -- because of phony "family reunification" rules -- are the poorest of the world's poor.
More than half of all babies born to Hispanic women today are illegitimate. As Heather MacDonald has shown, the birthrate of Hispanic women is twice that of the rest of the population, and their unwed birthrate is one and a half times that of blacks.
That's a lot of government dependents coming down the pike. No amount of "reaching out" to the Hispanic community, effective "messaging" or Reagan's "optimism" is going to turn Mexico's underclass into Republicans.
Any election analysis that doesn't deal with the implacable fact of America's changing demographics is bound to be wrong.
Perhaps the reason elections maven Michael Barone was so shockingly off in his election prediction this year was that, in the biggest mistake of his career, Barone has been assuring us for years that most of these Third World immigrants pouring into the country would go the way of Italian immigrants and become Republicans. They're hardworking! They have family values!
Maybe at first, but not after coming here, having illegitimate children and going on welfare.
Charles Murray recently pointed out that -- contrary to stereotype -- Hispanics are less likely to be married, less likely to go to church, more supportive of gay marriage and less likely to call themselves "conservative" than other Americans.
Rather than being more hardworking than Americans, Hispanics actually work about the same as others, or, in the case of Hispanic women, less.
It seems otherwise, Murray says, because the only Hispanics we see are the ones who are working -- in our homes, neighborhoods and businesses. "That's the way that almost all Anglos in the political chattering class come in contact with Latinos," he notes. "Of course they look like model Americans."
(Black males would apparently like to work more. Nearly 20 percent of black males under 30 voted for Romney, more than three times what McCain got.)
An article by Nate Cohn in the current New Republic argues, as the title puts it: "The GOP Has Problems With White Voters, Too." As proof, Cohn cites Jefferson County, Colo.; Loudoun County, Va.; Wake County, N.C.; and Somerset County, N.J., all of which went Republican in presidential elections from 1968 through 2004, but which Romney lost in 2012.
Smelling a rat, I checked the demographic shifts in these counties from the 2000 to the 2010 census. In each one, there has been a noticeable influx of Hispanics (and Asians, who also vote Democrat), diminishing "the white vote" that Cohn claims Republicans are losing.
Between the 2000 and 2010 census, for example, the white population of Jefferson County declined from more than 90 percent to less than 80 percent, while the Hispanic population more than doubled, from 6 percent to 14 percent.
In Loudoun County, the Asian population tripled from 5 percent to 15 percent and the Hispanic population doubled from 6 percent to 12 percent. Meanwhile, whites plummeted from 83 percent to 69 percent of the population.
Similarly, Wake County shifted from 74 percent white to 66 percent white in the past decade, while the Hispanic population doubled, from 5 percent to 10 percent, and the black population stayed even at about 20 percent.
In Somerset County, the Hispanic population grew by 63 percent and the Asian population grew by 83 percent since 2000. The number of whites has remained steady, resulting in a population that is now just 62 percent white.
These were the counties chosen by Cohn, not me, to show that Republicans are losing "the white vote." Except they're not so white, anymore. With blacks, Asians and Hispanics voting 93 percent, 73 percent and 71 percent for Obama, Republicans have to do more than just win the white vote. They have to run the table.
Romney got a larger percentage of the white vote than Reagan did in 1980. That's just not enough anymore.
Ironically, Romney was the first Republican presidential candidate in a long time not conspiring with the elites to make America a dumping ground for the world's welfare cases. Conservatives who denounced Romney as a "RINO" were the ones doing the bidding of the real establishment: business, which wants cheap labor and couldn't care less if America ceases to be the land of opportunity that everyone wanted to immigrate to in the first place.
It’s a good article, reminds me of why I started reading Coulter years ago. I own her books, I like her writing.
The last sentence is pure BS.
There were 6M white voters who abandoned Obama in 2012. Unfortunately, Romney only picked up an additional million or so whites compared with 2008.
The largest pool of untapped voters are whites who sat it out. That's the only place you're going to find those 5M+ votes.
>> Whites are 76 percent of the electorate over the age of 30 and only 58 percent of the electorate under 30
That’s what happens when the white **** slaughter their nascent babies. Oh well, maybe the white guys should court more hispanic women and save the Country... /semi-sarc
[ An irrational statement... ]
Sooo running the inventor of Romney-Care against the inventor of Obama-Care is rational?..
To a RINO it might seem to a good thing to do..
But on a good day a RINO is merely a moderate democrat..
Ann is known for two things pimping the Fatman(flaming liberal) and the Massachusetts liberal..
I was also AND I began to notice that Palin was like an NFL ball carrier that chooses to run out of bounds rather than try to run over the defensive linebacker.
My point: She only takes it so far then she backs off. We need somebody who will actually wield the "terrible swift sword".
There's no one on the stage willing at this point to represent Conservatives by battering head on into the opposition.
No problem - it’s why I list my e-mail or contact me through this medium...I will save it in the 97 version right now and post it under there - listing which version...no problem at all...
The cities rule. The concentrated corruption rules. Other demographics are no longer relevant.
America has already tipped.
To right the balance there must be catastrophe or revolution.
Thank you. Nice list. Helpful.
Don't look now but Ann Coulter just attacked business.
Is she making a career transition to a liberal position? Other "conservatives" have over the past few years. Ann knows now that there's more fame and fortune and exposure on the liberal side of the media aisle.
Will she throw a coming out party with Huffington, Sullivan, Drudge, etc?
I'd prefer she remember her faith and ask them to join her in prayer for the nation.
We are beyond the "even horizon". It may not look like we're currently being swallowed up, but we're beyond the point where it's possible to escape.
We are beyond the "event horizon". It may not look like we're currently being swallowed up, but we're beyond the point where it's possible to escape.
This is one of my many concerns. Not that we have people of color in power positions, but what is their mind set? Do they value the uniqueness of America? Or are they there to change us from the inside so that we are a shadow of what we once were?
The government (mostly the liberals) is doing what they have always done...telling us they can do better with our money than we can...that's why they created Social Security, Medicare, and took away incentives to support charities.
Plus, they are letting immigrants come into this country illegally so that now the middle class has to pick up more and more of those (40 million) who don't pay taxes share.
She's also a little short sighted.
We've already tipped over. We just haven't hit the ground yet.
Surprising that at least the white youth voted for Romney. So there is some hope in states with higher White populations such as New Hampshire and Minnesota
Blame the retarded immigration policies plus abortion and family breakdown by whites
Are you moving there?
Yep! That is what I intend! I can live well on a grand a month, or less (as per my examples!) I now have four different places to check out. North of Manila, two places on Cebu, and one near Davio. AlexW is on Cebu, beachfront, I believe. He can give actual details and cost estimates. I have some friends near Manila, but it is a more expensive area.
The GOP is finished. The snowball is rolling down the hill as fast as it can and nothing is stopping it. The only immigration reform we are going to see is blanket amnesty which equals more democrat voters”
No argument with anything you posted.
The damage to America has been done.
Amnesty is coming. Anyone in this forum who still believe it can be stopped is in denial, or just whistlin’ at the wind. The Pubbies aren’t going to stop this — they are going to aid and abet it.
But really, “amnesty” per se doesn’t really matter any more. Whether or not we naturalize the illegals will not effect the final outcome. It will only delay that for a few years.
The reason is that the illegals will “self-naturalize” within twenty years, through their CHILDREN. Every baby that comes from an illegal woman is automatically an American citizen. The illegals may not become “quite legal” in their lifetimes, but they will not fade away — their children will replace them in 15-20 years as erstwhile “Americans”. Citizens by law, but not by culture.