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America, Prepare For A Century Of Drought
TBI ^ | 1-11-2013 | Rob Wile

Posted on 01/11/2013 9:33:04 PM PST by blam

America, Prepare For A Century Of Drought

Rob Wile
Jan. 11, 2013, 6:21 PM

Corn and wheat prices surged today. The immediate reason appeared to be the year-end USDA report, that showed supplies were lower than projected.

But concurrent with that report was the release of the Commerce Department's National Climate Assessment Development Advisory Committee National Climate Assessment survey.

One of the findings: we can expect up to a century of drought.

Here's a chart from the report projecting percent of the country in drought conditions in the coming years.

Commerce/NOAA

The red line is based on observed temperature and precipitation. The blue line is from the average of 19 different climate models. The gray lines in the background are individual results from over 70 different simulations from these models.

The projections are derived from the Palmer Drought Severity Index, one of the most widely used measure of drought, the report says.

"These results suggest an increasing probability of drought over this century throughout most of the U.S.," the committee says. "Droughts have become more frequent and intense in some regions, and confidence is that these trends are projected to continue."

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climate; drought; droughtgraph; foodprices; weather

1 posted on 01/11/2013 9:33:11 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

Just as good as the hockey stick. I call bull crap.


2 posted on 01/11/2013 9:35:32 PM PST by ConservativeInPA
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To: blam

Whatever the experts say, bet the opposite


3 posted on 01/11/2013 9:37:56 PM PST by IncPen (Read the Constitution.)
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To: blam

How many platinum coins do we have to mint for this one to fix?


4 posted on 01/11/2013 9:40:39 PM PST by C210N (When people fear government there is tyranny; when government fears people there is liberty)
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To: blam

They can’t guess next month’s weather let alone decade of drought. No Hurricanes Texas is dry.


5 posted on 01/11/2013 9:44:42 PM PST by Mike Darancette (LIM=Low Information Media)
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To: blam

If you don’t the climate prediction, just wait a few days...


6 posted on 01/11/2013 9:56:19 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (....Let It Burn....)
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To: blam

Only a fool would try to predict a century of weather.


7 posted on 01/11/2013 9:57:44 PM PST by txrefugee
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To: blam

BI is marxist crap, but I appreciate your posting it so we can pick it apart. Normally in this type of propaganda they at least make an attempt to force the statistics (blue line) to lie about the past (red line). But I see their blue line can’t get out of bed in the 1930’s to “predict” the drought that happened 7 decades ago. There is no upward trend in drought despite many megatonnes of CO2 and a modest amount of warming that it causes. OTOH, there is La Nina (strong in the 30’s, early 50’s and again recently that causes drought in North America. La Nina is not a result of “global warming” nor will it be.


8 posted on 01/11/2013 10:16:21 PM PST by palmer (Obama = Carter + affirmative action)
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To: blam

Lord I hope not, the last 5 years of Texas have been brutal, the last 2 in particular.

Got 3.5 in of rain this week in 2 days.
That should help


9 posted on 01/11/2013 10:34:09 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Mike Darancette

No hurricanes at all this year.


10 posted on 01/11/2013 10:35:27 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: blam

A lot of folk thought the world was coming to an end in 2012 too..


11 posted on 01/11/2013 10:42:15 PM PST by DocDiesel
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To: Mike Darancette

They can’t guess next month’s weather? They can’t even get it right two days from now.


12 posted on 01/11/2013 11:03:21 PM PST by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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Wasn’t there an endless climate change induced drought in Australia just a few years ago?


13 posted on 01/11/2013 11:39:06 PM PST by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%)
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To: mylife

Yes, lots of rain here in central Texas this week. 5.25” in two days!!
Best slow floater we have had in years.


14 posted on 01/12/2013 12:15:35 AM PST by 9422WMR (Life is not fair, just deal with it)
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To: mylife

Sandy slip by the memory portal there?


15 posted on 01/12/2013 12:16:47 AM PST by 9422WMR (Life is not fair, just deal with it)
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To: 9422WMR

Slow soaker.


16 posted on 01/12/2013 12:34:31 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: 9422WMR

No Hurricanes in Tx


17 posted on 01/12/2013 12:35:34 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: mylife

“Slow soaker.”
No, I posted “slow floater”,
As in toad floater, it’s a local phenomenon!
It’s a slow soaking rain that floats everything away!
Over 5” of rain in less than 24 hours! That’s what I’m talking about!


18 posted on 01/12/2013 12:57:20 AM PST by 9422WMR (Life is not fair, just deal with it)
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To: blam

There is plenty of water in the oceans and it can be distilled and transported to regional water distribution systems both in the US and, say, Africa, if we want to do so.

I know a little about plumbing, i.e. pipes and waters systems, having once been in the business as a wholesaler, and for the past 20 years involved in environmental affairs.

American technology, plus Israeli technology, could make a significant part of the US and Africa bloom with food crops, export crops, and animal preserves to save their endangered species. It is all a matter of intelligence, planner, foresight, and leadership.

We have the technology, but definitely lack leadership. AL GORE is not leadership, he’s a one man environmental menace.


19 posted on 01/12/2013 1:01:29 AM PST by MadMax, the Grinning Reaper
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To: blam

Running out of beer on a Saturday night is not a drought.


20 posted on 01/12/2013 1:06:56 AM PST by MadMax, the Grinning Reaper
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To: blam

We, as a nation have lost God’s protection. This is not the worst of it.


21 posted on 01/12/2013 3:29:49 AM PST by Wpin ("I Have Sworn Upon the Altar of God eternal hostility against every form of tyranny...")
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To: blam

I can’t believe that anyone is stupid enough to believe anything these weather gurus predict.

Hell! They can predict weather accurately longer than 24 hours....and we are to believe them.

Experts: People who are paid to solve problems and come up with solutions.....and right or wrong....always do. They have never failed to come up with an answer because not to do so would tarnish their reputations and jeopardize their incomes.


22 posted on 01/12/2013 4:06:20 AM PST by DH (Once the tainted finger of government touches anything the rot begins)
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To: dsrtsage
"Wasn’t there an endless climate change induced drought in Australia just a few years ago?"

Posted four days ago:

Australia’s Weather Is So Hot, New Colors Added To Weather Map


23 posted on 01/12/2013 4:07:22 AM PST by blam
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To: 9422WMR

Best slow floater we have had in years.


Here in South Texas we call that a “turd floater.”


24 posted on 01/12/2013 4:10:05 AM PST by DH (Once the tainted finger of government touches anything the rot begins)
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To: DH
Here in Mobile, we call them 'gully washers'.

And The Rainest City In The USA Is....

"Mobile, Ala., actually topped a new list of soggiest cities in the contiguous 48 states, with more than 5 feet of rainfall annually, according to a study conducted by San Francisco-based WeatherBill, Inc. "

25 posted on 01/12/2013 4:14:16 AM PST by blam
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To: blam

I was wondering how the Fat Cats were going to enable Soros’ adecoagro ipo, farms in South America, to get investments.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-01-28/soros-backed-farmland-venture-adecoagro-cuts-price-of-planned-new-york-ipo.html


26 posted on 01/12/2013 5:49:15 AM PST by mgist
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To: DocDiesel

“A lot of folk thought the world was coming to an end in 2012 too..”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

You mean...it didn’t?


27 posted on 01/12/2013 7:11:16 AM PST by RipSawyer (I was born on Earth, what planet is this?)
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To: ConservativeInPA

I call bullshlt. They cannot correctly the weather three days in advance


28 posted on 01/12/2013 7:17:40 AM PST by Rannug ("God has given it to me, let him who touches it beware.")
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To: Rannug

guess


29 posted on 01/12/2013 7:23:14 AM PST by Rannug ("God has given it to me, let him who touches it beware.")
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To: MadMax, the Grinning Reaper

Make a good book.


30 posted on 01/12/2013 7:47:09 AM PST by huldah1776
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To: ConservativeInPA

You can bet the globull warmer nuts will keep pulling out “model” graphs to back up their BS.

Same NOAA El Nino preditctions missed 2012 and now they want to claim 100 years???


31 posted on 01/12/2013 8:15:37 AM PST by X-spurt (Republic of Texas, Come and Take It!)
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To: 9422WMR

That is a turd floater LOL


32 posted on 01/12/2013 9:30:55 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks blam. Drought isn’t going to be a problem (this sounds like the AGW agitprop anyway) — cold, wet, too-long springs cause the problems that lead to famine, except in places which rely on the two-season (wet and dry) cycle, i.e., equatorial regions, and give or take being marginal (e.g. on the edge of the Sahara) to begin with.

http://archive.archaeology.org/1209/letter/iceland_hjalmarvik_irminger_east_greenland_current.html

http://theresilientearth.com/?q=content/little-ice-age-ii-sequel

http://www.windows2universe.org/earth/climate/little_ice_age.html

and break out the tinfoil hats:
http://www.iceagenow.com/New_Little_Ice_Age_to_Begin_in_2014.htm


33 posted on 01/12/2013 10:25:09 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Romney would have been worse, if you're a dumb ass.)
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To: mylife

Yea, I call ‘em turd floaters too, but in polite company one can substitute toad for turd!
Anyway, most rain I have ever had in one rain at this location in 24 hours!
Bam


34 posted on 01/12/2013 10:40:40 AM PST by 9422WMR (Life is not fair, just deal with it)
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To: 9422WMR

The problem with heavy rain is most of it washes away.
Flooding causes erosion and other troubles that don’t benefit the land, but at least the lakes get full.

I like the long slow soaker.
We just got a bit more this morning.


35 posted on 01/12/2013 10:51:44 AM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: MadMax, the Grinning Reaper

Running out of beer isn’t a drought....it’s a catastrophe!


36 posted on 01/12/2013 11:09:12 AM PST by stboz
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