Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Obama's Great Big 2014 Problem
American Thinker ^ | 01/12/2013 | Thomas Lifson

Posted on 01/12/2013 11:03:10 AM PST by SeekAndFind

Never mind the propaganda media's barrage of epitaphs for conservatism and the GOP, the midterm elections are shaping up to heavily favor the purportedly down-and-out opposition to "fundamental change" in America.

Conn Carroll of the DC Examiner analyzes just which Senate seats will be possible pick-ups for the GOP: ...a total of seven Democratic Senators from states that Mitt Romney carried in 2012 are up for election in 2014. And six of those Senators (Sens. Mark Begich, D-Alaska, Mark Pryor, D-Ark., Mary Landrieu, D-La., Max Baucus, D-Mont., Tim Johnson, D-S.D., and Jay Rockefeler, D-W.V.) hail from states that Romney carried by double-digits.

But it is not just the particular seats that will be up that makes 2014 a potential disaster for the Dems, it is the varying nature of midterm and general election voters:

As Thomas Schaller notes, this spells doom for Democrats in 2014:

"It's no mystery why Democrats generally perform better in presidential years while Republicans tend to excel in midterm cycles: Lower midterm turnouts tend to skew the electorate toward older, white and/or more affluent voters. Given the growing cleavage in recent decades between partisan preferences of white and non-white voters, cyclic differences in racial composition are particularly important.

And, Schaller notes, this is particularly troublesome for Democrats at the state level, since "all but nine of the 48 governors with four-year terms are elected in non-presidential cycles, as are the substantial majority of state legislators."

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014; elections; senate

1 posted on 01/12/2013 11:03:19 AM PST by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I don’t really think Obama has much of a problem now that the electorate is made up primarily of ‘takers’ combined with those working for the destruction of the constitution.


2 posted on 01/12/2013 11:07:56 AM PST by Baynative (Those that work for a living are now outnumbered by those that vote for a living.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

He was supposed to get his butt kicked in the House and Senate last year wasn’t he? Let’s not start counting chickens just yet.


3 posted on 01/12/2013 11:09:07 AM PST by Past Your Eyes (You knew the job was dangerous when you took it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I’m not falling for this again. The DemocRATS run the elections in America. They’ll do just fine. Probably pick up a few more seats. Until we have comprehensive election reform in this country, opponents to the commie ‘RATS don’t stand a chance.


4 posted on 01/12/2013 11:09:55 AM PST by FlingWingFlyer (Impeach Obama Now.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Actually, it may be that some states are looking to convert a Democrat Senatorship over to a Republican....most likely in a state that teeters between entitlement and some sense of propriety and decency.

That really isn’t my concern here in Georgia now. I’m about, all about, getting rid of these two no-ball RINO bastards we have here - Isakson and Chambliss. I will support their opponents in a same-party primary, but I’ve already told both of them I’m going to even vote for their Democrat opponent if I have to ......I’m doing this because they just won’t listen. They love the trappings of their DC second-tier power and just lie and equivocate and fence-sit when talking to us here at home.

They’re out, if I can help it. I would vote for a Zell Miller Democrat over either of them any day of the week.


5 posted on 01/12/2013 11:10:14 AM PST by Gaffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The war will be over by Christmas.


6 posted on 01/12/2013 11:10:53 AM PST by Psalm 144 (Capitol to the districts: "May the odds be ever in your favor.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I’ve heard this all before...


7 posted on 01/12/2013 11:11:24 AM PST by Shadow44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Seriously?

The GOP are the ones with the bigger problem. They had one of the best chances to take Senate seats in 2012 and they blew most of them.

All the Dems have to do is continue what they are doing — and blaming Bush is still working for them.


8 posted on 01/12/2013 11:11:27 AM PST by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Gaffer

“I would vote for a Zell Miller Democrat over either of them any day of the week.”

So would I, but they are extinct apparently.


9 posted on 01/12/2013 11:12:56 AM PST by Psalm 144 (Capitol to the districts: "May the odds be ever in your favor.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The GOP is the mirror image of the DNC.
They deceive and lie (Scott Brown),
they backstab their own candidates (Mr. RomneyCARE),
they help the DNC (Boehner),
and they spend endlessly money we do not have
as they DARE to impose Laws for Americans
other than themselves.


10 posted on 01/12/2013 11:15:02 AM PST by Diogenesis (Vi veri veniversum vivus vici)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Psalm 144

I’d say that any Democrat that doesn’t poll on the win side for Fulton, City of Atlanta, or Dekalb side is a Democrat I’d take a serious look at.


11 posted on 01/12/2013 11:16:58 AM PST by Gaffer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Senate victories depend on Obama voters staying home for off-year elections and turn out by those wishing to reelect GOP Governors and legislatures as well Congressman

Our hopes lie in people not splitting their votes & reelecting Dem senators for seniority sake.

Damn ticket splitters in 2012 in MT, ND, WVA ( as well as IND, MO )

12 posted on 01/12/2013 11:28:23 AM PST by SMGFan (SMGfan is not "Sub Machine Gun" fan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

By 2014 the election fraud will be beyond Venezuelan efforts. Senate and House races will be heavily pressured and there will be NO Republican opposition or even complaint evem as the vote fraud will be more overt than any time since Tammany.


13 posted on 01/12/2013 11:39:27 AM PST by arthurus (Read Hazlitt's Economics In One Lesson ONLINE www.fee.org/library/books/economics-in-one-lesson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I read an interesting take on mid-term elections about a month ago. The author’s thesis was that, during Presidential elections, coverage is totally dominated by the National Media which are obviously 100% in the tank for the communist. This causes national coverage of major Congressional races with the same bias.

Mid-term elections, on the other hand, are dominated by local and state media and the national media play a MUCH smaller role. At the statehouse and Congressional level, we have a much better chance.

I hope the author is correct.


14 posted on 01/12/2013 11:39:37 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Romney is out of the picture, and this is a mid-term election, that means the tea party and Palin will have more sway, which means we do better.


15 posted on 01/12/2013 11:51:20 AM PST by ansel12 (Cruz said "conservatives trust Sarah Palin that if she says this guy is a conservative, that he is")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Republicans might take back the Senate in 2014.

I don't expect the direction of legislation or governance to change one bit, either way.

16 posted on 01/12/2013 11:59:35 AM PST by Mr. Jeeves (CTRL-GALT-DELETE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Probably one of the best opportunities the Republicans have to turn an entire state is West Virginia. But the candidate they picked would have to be a real orator. Since the vile Jay Rockefeller is retiring, they should put up a whole slate of Republicans to replace him, so that in the primary they would hold debates all over the state.

It’s actually a trick, because they would, by mutual agreement, spend only 10% of each of their time running against each other, and 90% trashing the Obama and the Democrats as the party that wants to *destroy* West Virginia.

The idea is not to damage each other, but that the winner gets Rockefeller’s seat, and the other contenders go for the most powerful state offices.


17 posted on 01/12/2013 12:09:50 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy (Best WoT news at rantburg.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

2014 will be a rout of Repubs. They will become politically irrelevent after 2014 ... especially if one ... only ONE ... Repub goes along with ANY gun control vote.


18 posted on 01/12/2013 12:36:04 PM PST by CapnJack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CapnJack

Had difficulty reading after “growing cleavage”.....


19 posted on 01/12/2013 12:56:10 PM PST by bicyclerepair ( >-> Zombies eat brains. >-> 50% of FL is safe.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

1st thing that needs doing is for the conservatives to oust a whole passel of RINO crappola in their primaries.


20 posted on 01/12/2013 1:31:05 PM PST by Joe Boucher ((FUBO))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ProtectOurFreedom

That is assuming that the Okenyan’s low-information minions read. Now these idiots do watch the late night shows, but Obama won’t be on them during the mid-terms since it’s not about him.

My thesis is that these voters turn out massively during the presidential years to keep the freebies flowing. It is all ObamaStash. They don’t bother to vote in mid-terms, because they do not understand our republican form of government.

Besides, voting once every four years by these scum is about the most work you can get out of them.


21 posted on 01/12/2013 2:18:46 PM PST by A'elian' nation (Political correctness does not legislate tolerance; it only organizes hatred. Jacques Barzun)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Lets see ...didn’t we say that we would capture the SENATE in 2012???


22 posted on 01/24/2013 9:15:21 AM PST by ExCTCitizen (More Republicans stayed home then the margin of victory of O's Win...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson