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The Republicnas' Primary Problem
Ann Coulter Dot Com ^ | 6 Feb 2013 | Ann Coulter

Posted on 02/07/2013 12:31:40 AM PST by Rummyfan

Having just lost an election, many Republicans are anxious to remake our party in the image of Democrats. The theory seems to be that whatever we're doing isn't working, so we better change everything.

But in fact, whatever Republicans did in 2012 -- other than an overly long primary fight -- worked amazingly well, given the circumstances.

In a detailed analysis of the 2012 election, William A. Galston, a fellow with the liberal Brookings Institution, makes a number of fascinating observations that Republicans would do well to consider before embracing amnesty, abortion, gay marriage and Beyonce.

In my analysis of his analysis, the single most important factor in the election was simply that Obama was an incumbent. As Galston notes, beating an incumbent president is a feat that has happened only five times since the turn of the last century. Republicans have done it only once.

On closer examination, in all these cases the incumbent president faced a primary challenge. In three of the five, the incumbent also had a third-party challenger in the general election.

-- In 1912, Theodore Roosevelt ran against incumbent William Howard Taft and, failing to win the Republican nomination, ran on a third-party "Bull Moose" ticket against him.

-- In 1932, President Herbert Hoover faced a number of primary opponents, including Calvin Coolidge and John Blaine (and it was also a few years into the Great Depression).

-- In 1976, Ronald Reagan nearly beat a never-elected incumbent, Gerald Ford, in the primary, losing narrowly on the convention floor, 1,070 to 1,187. (And Ford still almost pulled it out!)

-- In 1980, Teddy Kennedy ran a primary campaign against President Jimmy Carter all the way to the convention, and John Anderson ran as a liberal third-party candidate in the general election.

(Excerpt) Read more at anncoulter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 02/07/2013 12:31:49 AM PST by Rummyfan
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To: Rummyfan

2 posted on 02/07/2013 12:35:14 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: Rummyfan
Maybe we should embrace Beyonce....


3 posted on 02/07/2013 12:36:42 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: Rummyfan
Title should read:

The Republicans' Primary Problem

Please correct thank you.

4 posted on 02/07/2013 12:38:14 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: Rummyfan
Still, Obama did worse than nearly any other incumbent who has won re-election. Indeed, had the election been held a week earlier, Obama probably would have lost.

Huh?

5 posted on 02/07/2013 2:14:15 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: Rummyfan

Dah!


6 posted on 02/07/2013 2:22:02 AM PST by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: Rummyfan

“But in fact, whatever Republicans did in 2012 — other than an overly long primary fight — worked amazingly well, given the circumstances”.

Huh!?¡¿


7 posted on 02/07/2013 2:24:54 AM PST by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: Rummyfan

Coulter’s part of the GOP-E problem. She needs to shut up and go back to sipping her cocktails with Maher.


8 posted on 02/07/2013 2:49:18 AM PST by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Rummyfan

Well Ms. Coulter had promoted one RINO after another. Romney and her darling Chris Christy, who actually gave Obama a boost.


9 posted on 02/07/2013 3:32:59 AM PST by School of Rational Thought (Fun for women ages 21 through 35)
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To: Rummyfan

The only left out was booing the name of God..But then that’s obvious once the GOPES accept their agenda.
Nuts to Roves RINOS !


10 posted on 02/07/2013 3:45:15 AM PST by mosesdapoet ("It's a sin to tell a lie", in telling others that , got me my nickname ......Ex Chi" mechanic")
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To: Rummyfan
The republican party is a party of complete losers today. Loser ideas, loser concepts, loser understanding of the world culture and essentially a loser mentality on the enemy.

You can not legislate from a position of compromise.

Democrats are not conservatives enemy. The GOPe/republicans are the dire nemesis of conservatism and we have to defeat this LOSER mentality.

11 posted on 02/07/2013 4:08:11 AM PST by sirchtruth (Freedom is not free.)
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To: Rummyfan

“Indeed, had the election been held a week earlier, Obama probably would have lost.”

This assertion is dubious.


12 posted on 02/07/2013 4:10:23 AM PST by BlueStateRightist (Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.)
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To: Rummyfan
Knowing that all the polls are worthless these days (only 9% response rates) we can't really say that, but Obama certainly lost a lot of votes compared to his 2008 win.

Those votes did not turn into Republican votes BTW.

You win elections by registering your supporters and turning them out to vote.

You never win elections by arguing positions and policies during a campaign ~ that stuff is already settled in folks' minds long before the campaign anyway.

So, who was it DID NOT TURN OUT TWICE TO VOTE FOR OBAMA?

That's actually an easy question to answer. Demographics got rid of a good 2 million of his voters between 2008 and 2012 (minority death rates are higher unless you're Japanese). He lost 4 million in the aggregate, which means he failed to make up for the dead people AND discouraged another 2 million ~ probably mostly young black men without jobs but having college degrees.

He also lost another 2 million new voters who would usually have registered to vote for the first time but didn't ~ again, another body of disaffected people.

WE CAN GET THOSE VOTERS! That's 4 million to 6 million potential Republicans ~ and with them we can win any election.

We must beware of any politician who tells us we can get new voters during the campaign ~ does not happen! We need to find and register new Republican voters long before the campaign. The primaries may well provide us with the best method to stir their interest hence we must BEHAVE OURSELVES ~ that nominating petition BS in Virginia probably alienated all of our potential new Republican voters for a generation. It's going to be very tough to undo the damage Bolling and Romney did in this state!

13 posted on 02/07/2013 4:35:24 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

“Those votes did not turn into Republican votes BTW. “

Riebus couldn’t even get previous Republican voters out. Possibley because they have been disenfranchised by the party of RINOs. Where the heck were any conservative values? Romney already supported a form of obamacare, abortions and amnesty. And now Rove and Priebus want to further step into the pile of crap they manufactured for the party of the “values”?


14 posted on 02/07/2013 4:42:58 AM PST by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Rummyfan

@11. Sirchtruth: “You can not legislate from a position of compromise.”

As some wit once said, “It’s impossible to look up to someone who has their ear to the ground.”


15 posted on 02/07/2013 5:12:42 AM PST by Chad N. Freud (FR is the modern equivalent of the Committees of Correspondence. Let other analogies arise.)
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To: Rummyfan
Coulter :”Having just lost an election, many Republicans are anxious to remake our party in the image of Democrats. The theory seems to be that whatever we're doing isn't working, so we better change everything. “

????

Christie was her first pick, he wouldnt run so she endorsed Romney as being ‘the most electable’.

I guess she like Rush expects her loyal fans to have no memories.

16 posted on 02/07/2013 5:14:54 AM PST by sickoflibs (Losing to Dems and Obama is not a principle! Its just losing.)
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To: Rummyfan

The GOP primary process isn’t working because the elites have too much control and keep forcing losers like them on the party.


17 posted on 02/07/2013 5:15:38 AM PST by freedomfiter2 (Brutal acts of commission and yawning acts of omission both strengthen the hand of the devil.)
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To: sickoflibs

“I guess she like Rush expects her loyal fans to have no memories. “

That is exactly why I don’t listen to either one of them now. Makes my life a whole lot more calm & peaceful too. BTW, they both expect support for the crap they write and any product they endorse like the awful tea Rush claims to have created, nasty tasting & expensive.


18 posted on 02/07/2013 5:22:50 AM PST by kcvl
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To: School of Rational Thought
Well Ms. Coulter had promoted one RINO after another. Romney and her darling Chris Christy, who actually gave Obama a boost.

Ann Coulter is as dead to me as Fredo was to Michael.

19 posted on 02/07/2013 5:53:25 AM PST by Night Hides Not (The Tea Party was the earthquake, and Chick Fil A the tsunami...100's of aftershocks to come.)
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To: kcvl
RE :”BTW, they both expect support for the crap they write and any product they endorse like the awful tea Rush claims to have created, nasty tasting & expensive.”

Rush is like :
Bla-bla-bla conservative... bla-bla-bla ...Romney will win....bla-bla-bla.. I told you so folks as I am always right ...bla-bla-bla....Obama will cave if.....bla-bla-bla... our principles...bla-bla-bla... YOU need Life-lock call this #...

Those sneak in commercials he weaves into the end of his ‘bla-bla-bla's’ monologs are especially annoying. I can make it through 5 to 10 minutes of his BS

He is too successful for ‘our’ own good.

20 posted on 02/07/2013 6:07:14 AM PST by sickoflibs (Losing to Dems and Obama is not a principle! Its just losing.)
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To: Rummyfan
Republicans are anxious to remake our party

Whenever the people use possessives like we, our, us, in the same sentence as the Republican Party I'm reminded of that old joke:

The Lone Ranger and Tonto were riding through a valley when the entire Apache nation, on the warpath, appeared on the ridge. The Rangers says, "Well, my friend, it looks like we maybe in trouble." Tonto replies, "Whose "we", paleface."

The Republican Party is run by the GOPe and the big money donors who fund them. It's their party.

21 posted on 02/07/2013 7:52:07 AM PST by Count of Monte Fisto
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