I think it’s plausible, maybe even rock-solid.
The overwhelming majority of Americans agree government spends too much money, but can’t pin down where they’d like to see cuts. There’s a disconnect, a failure of logic.
No one, including Congress, wants to make the hard choices that must be made if we are to avoid fiscal ruin. And why should they? They pay a higher price politically for being responsible than they do for being reckless.
Our fate is sealed.
Politicians of both parties will raise the issue of the deficit, and then immediately start talking about "fraud, waste, and abuse." That's a bait and switch. By all means, let's do a better job of policing fraud, but this is incidental to the deficit problem.
The democrats compound this by carrying on as if we could solve the problem with higher taxes on a handful of rich people and big companies, "who are not paying their fair share." This is also a fraud.
But as a practical matter, people get a steady barrage of misinformation suggesting that there is an easy out, if only a couple of simple and relatively painless things were done. And since they are led to believe that the solution is simple and painless, they are naturally not inclined to eat their vegetables on spending reform. They are also extremely frustrated that the purportedly simple and easy things haven't already been done. The default explanation for that is the evil character of the opposition party, and so we're off to the races on character assassination.
The democrats are by far the greatest offenders here, as they lie instinctively and think class warfare is an end in itself, but Republican hands aren't entirely clean either.