Skip to comments.The Politics of Sequestration: More Nuanced Than You Think
Posted on 03/01/2013 10:24:40 PM PST by neverdem
The predominant view in Washington seems to be that the GOP is headed for a public relations drubbing on the sequester...
This last option is especially intriguing given some responses in the most recent Fox News poll (which isnt done by Fox News, but rather is a joint effort between Republican and Democratic polling firms). There, 49 percent of respondents said they thought the sequestration cuts would either have positive effects or no real effects on the economy, and 57 percent said that automatic spending cuts were necessary because Washington was incapable of getting the deficit under control through other means.
This ambiguity is even more obvious when one places the numbers in historical context. Consider the most recent NBC/WSJ poll. It finds Democrats with a two-point advantage on dealing with the economy, which is about where it has been for much of the past two decades; their advantage is far less...
The Senate picture is even more vivid. Only one Republican senator up for re-election in 2014, Susan Collins of Maine, hails from a state Obama carried in 2012. Indeed, theres only one other seat, the one in Georgia, where the president received as much as 45 percent of the vote. The rest of the Republican caucus isnt up for re-election until 2016 at the earliest; three-and-a-half years is a lifetime in politics. There are also five Democratic senators up for re-election from states where the president failed to reach 45 percent of the vote in 2012.
But the bottom line is that no president with a sub-50 approval rating has ever avoided losing at least 15 seats in the House in a midterm election; indeed you have to get to the high 50s before you start to see single (digit?) seat losses occur with regularity...
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Which I bet is why Boehner is playing his lay low strategy doing nothing but passing popular Reid Senate bills sent to the house, passing them w GOP votes or without.
GOP purpose is nothing more than ‘hold on’. And its not all Boehners fault either, and I say this even though I hate VAWA esp this new version that just passed in house.
You see any alternative GOP bills that are serious?
Republicans don't think it's important to have anybody on the sales floor every day. When pelosi was in the minority, she was on tv every night tying Mark Foley to the entire Republican Party. She won.
I don’t think Newt would’ve done it this way. And they hated him.
CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER OPINES-—EXCERPT (In order to savage Republicans before the nation and increase Dem’s midterm chances) Obama’s move-—deliberately making the most painful and socially disruptive cuts possible (releasing hardened criminals-—2000 imprisoned illegal immigrants)——is enormous.
(Earlier)-—at the fiscal cliff, Obama broke and split Republicans on taxes. (Now)-—with the sequester, he intends to break them on spending..... to make the cuts as painful as possible, and watch the Republicans come crawling for a balanced deal—ie, tax-hikes.
In the past two years, House Republicans stopped cold Obamas left-liberal agenda. If Obama can break them now, the road is open to resume enactment of Obama’s expansive, entitlement-state liberalism proclaimed in his second inaugural address (29 NEW giveaways).
But Obama cannot win if nothing bad really happens with sequestration. Indeed, hed look both foolish and cynical for having cried wolf.
(Poster’s parenthetical inserts)
Don't worry, Obama can always be counted on to create a crisis.
That's the Chicago strategy patented by plieing Mayor Rahm Emanuel. The WH is teeming with the kingpins of criminal Chicago politics. They got scams even John Gotti was in awe of.
OUR CHICKEN LITTLE PRESIDENT But it was nice to see Obama floundering WRT sequester---getting hit broadside by Woodward and the "nothing effect" of sequester.
Chicken Little Obama winged around the country warning that the "sky would fall" unless Repubs gave him another trillion in taxes.
He’ll end up going too far, like all lil’ dictators do. The blowback is gonna hurt. Bad. Hope all his flying monkeys are ready for what’s coming.
A really bad WH move was letting Michele loose-—everytime she appears in public, Americans cringes-—wondering why Ohaha ever married “that.”
Nonsense and Krauthammer suffers from inside-the-beltway blindness. He’s like a stopped clock and we praise him when he’s correct as if he were a prophet. Watch him and you’ll hear him telling the nation what we’ve known for months.
The fact is most Americans like their rep. and will stick with them. The Reps go home and tell their constituents it wasn’t me, then they blame Obama. Americans don’t trust the MSM and haven’t for a long time.
Obama will lose more Dem house seats and the Senate. It’s why Reid blinked. He’ll be in the minority soon. Obama’s already gone to far - the oceans are still rising.
Music to my ears.....thanks.
Sweeter is a Constitutional Conservative a la Clarence Thomas (only electable). I don’t see one out there and I’d prefer a governor for the experience. What do you see?