Each would know that any type of modeling is subject to error.
Climate models are created from theories (approximations) and highly complicated, interdependent, nonlinear systems. That doesn’t account for the massive scale of Earth’s climate system.
Now for the data. How accurate is the data? Was it taken near heat islands. Is the data skewed because lack of precision of the equipment, knowledge of the person taking the measurements, equipment calibration, etc. etc. I suggest that current methods are crude at best.
Question to anyone modeling a system — what is your estimate of the precision of your measurements and models? How would that manifest itself in errors short term and long term. Are the models and data accurate enough to bet the future of our economy and well being on them?
“Each would know that any type of modeling is subject to error.”
To be clear, I’m not making an assumption here on their assumptions. I talk with a lot of midling-layer scientists. Most of them I speak to seem generally aware of the flaws and things that need to be worked out in their own field. But they appear completely unaware - and unbelieving – that it’s not just their own field.
It is very much like “the Emperor’s new clothes”. They just can’t believe the audacity involved.