Skip to comments.RUSSIAN SCIENTISTS: ‘WE COULD FACE COOLING PERIOD FOR 200-250 YEARS’
Posted on 04/29/2013 3:54:22 AM PDT by PreciousLiberty
We could be in for a cooling period that lasts 200-250 years. The period of low solar activity could start in 2030-2040.
Global warming which has been the subject of so many discussions in recent years, may give way to global cooling. According to scientists from the Pulkovo Observatory in St.Petersburg, solar activity is waning, so the average yearly temperature will begin to decline as well. Scientists from Britain and the US chime in saying that forecasts for global cooling are far from groundless. Some experts warn that a change in the climate may affect the ambitious projects for the exploration of the Arctic that have been launched by many countries.
Just recently, experts said that the Arctic ice cover was becoming thinner while journalists warned that the oncoming global warming would make it possible to grow oranges in the north of Siberia. Now, they say a cold spell will set in. Apparently, this will not occur overnight, Yuri Nagovitsyn of the Pulkovo Observatory, says.
(Excerpt) Read more at thegwpf.org ...
By the end of that kind of interval, humans should be quite capable of engineering the climate as desired.
For those interested in tracking solar activity, I recommend The Layman's Sunspot Count.
Perhaps this will provide an economic boost to the bean industry.
“By the end of that kind of interval, humans should be quite capable of engineering the climate as desired.”
Not after the dems take us back to the 7th century.
Don’t forget Muslims and Obama’s sons.(aka Holder’s people)
I am fortunate in that my grain of salt supply functions equally well in warm *and* cold climate.
I’m gonna need a bigger coat!
Look up “interglacial”
We may be in for 100,000 years of cooling.
So why should we find this any more credible than the global warming claims?
>>By the end of that kind of interval, humans should be quite capable of engineering the climate as desired.
Only if we treat the whole process as real science, and not a play for grants, political power, and a means to create massive taxation primarily for the benefit of the political class.
If temps are colder, they will say that they are warmer than they should be, given the new colder baseline.
If temps don't change, they will say that they are much warmer than they should be, given the new colder baseline.
If temps get warmer, they will say that they are catastrophically warmer than they should be, given the new colder baseline.
I have no issue with claims that the Earth is getting warmer or colder and that the climate is changing, as that is normal. My issue is with the notion that after billions of years of constant climatic change, my car and air conditioning are now found to be the cause.
the governments that believe this have already begun moving to control earth access to food and natural and energy sources for their nations
whoever could they be? (not obama)
Sounds like we should all start driving evil gas-guzzlers again.
What do you mean again? Never stopped. If the eco-wack-a-doodles think warming is bad, wait until they see an extended cool down. Of course this would be more in line with their desire to rid earth of humans. Except them of course. I guess they never planted anything in the Arctic or Antarctic huh? I hear the growing seasons there are pretty short. Me, I’m just doin’ my part to provide food for plants and tryin’ to keep us warm. Hemi style!
The Sun is discussed on Spaceweather.com. There are daily values of the 10.7 cm radiation which relates directly to the Sun’s output.
“So why should we find this any more credible than the global warming claims?”
My initial interest in this related to the 11 year solar cycles, which are a well known phenomena and easily measured. The historical record on those extends back to the 17th century.
There have been two Grand Minima in the 11 year cycle. The first was the Maunder Minimum, the second was the Dalton Minimum (information on these is readily available online). Both were associated with sharply colder temperatures, at least in Europe.
The Sun is currently entering into the first Grand Minimum of the modern era. The current solar cycle (Cycle 24) has much lower sunspot activity than any in the last 100 years. NASA has already forecast that Cycle 25 will be much lower yet.
The Layman’s Sunspot Count site I mentioned in my original post is doing a good job of tracking current sunspot numbers in the same fashion as they were tracked historically, and the current cycle is lining up very well with those of the Dalton Minimum.
If these Russians are right, the cooler temps will extend much longer than the 20-40 years I was already expecting.
Hundreds of years of observation.
“I predict that the global warming crowd will embrace this, because it gives them an easy out.”
Actually that’s not right, since their strident claim has been that greenhouse gasses trump all other influences, including the Sun.
Further, if temps are going to trend cooler, there is absolutely no urgency in curtailing CO2 emissions in the short term. In the longer term, I believe market forces will drive a gradual shift away from fossil fuel energy production, and the “problem” (if any) will solve itself.
Oil is an excellent precursor of plastic, so it’ll continue to be useful. ;-)
Because one is based on the idea that a flee on the back of an elephant has some control over it, and the other is based on the sun... (you know that big glowing thing in the sky that holds the entire solar system in place)
Cooling periods have historically always been an economic disaster. Of course, we have never had one with modern medicine, heat and electricity so who knows?
We’ve also never had one with radical Marxists steering the most powerful nation on Earth. If there’s economic disaster ahead (and I believe there is), cold weather will be the least of our worries.
This will also mean famine and wars.
The last cooling period wasn’t a very happy time in history.
Warming? Cooling? Make up your minds already! (Or just come out and admit everybody but important people have to live like cavemen.)
I’m sure the folks in Novosibersk were just overjoyed to hear this news.
I agree. The global warming nuts will claim what little changes they have made have now turned the climate in the opposite direction. OH NO! what to do.
Why? At a purely scientific level because relatively simple models of the earth's climate based on solar irradiance, solar magnetism (for which sunspot number is a proxy), and the earth's orbit correctly retrodict the earth's climate on a scale of millenia in fairly fine detail, while the hugely complex computer models used by the AGW crowd to "prove" that human CO2 emissions were (or are) causing "global warming" can't be made to agree with the climatic record on a time scale of centuries.
On a sociological level because predictions based on solar models don't support anyone's political agenda, while the warming predictions predicated on human causation support the left's agenda of extending state control over every aspect of human activity.
Intellectual honesty hasn't exactly been their strong suit. The low information voter just listens to what Jon Stewart and NPR tell them today, they don't care to compare it with what they were told yesterday.
How do you say “Climate deniers” in Russian?
Not something to look forward to even if it would shut the greenie-weenies up.
I think it has started. Pretty chilly here.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.