Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

PPP Poll: Mark Sanford has momentum in SC-1
Public Policy Polling ^ | 05/06/2013

Posted on 05/06/2013 6:45:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

PPP's final poll of the special election in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District finds a race that's too close to call, with Republican Mark Sanford leading Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch 47-46. The 1 point lead for Sanford represents a 10 point reversal from PPP's poll of the race two weeks ago, when Colbert Busch led by 9 points at 50-41.

Sanford has gotten back into the race by nationalizing it and painting Colbert Busch as a liberal. A plurality of voters in the district- 47%- say they think Colbert Busch is a liberal compared to 43% who characterize her as ideologically 'about right.' Colbert Busch's favorability rating has dropped a net 19 points compared to 2 weeks ago, from +25 then at 56/31 to +6 now at 50/44.

While Colbert Busch is seen as too liberal, 48% of voters think that Sanford's views are 'about right' on the issues compared to just 38% who see him as too conservative. Sanford's also seen some repair to his image over the course of the campaign. Although he's still unpopular, sporting a -11 net favorability rating at 43/54, that's up a net 13 points from our first poll in March when he was at 34/58.

If SC-1 voters went to the polls on Tuesday and voted for the candidate they personally liked better, Colbert Busch would be the definite winner. That's why Sanford's campaign has tried to shift the focus toward national Democrats who are unpopular in the district, and that's been a key in helping him to make this race competitive again. Nancy Pelosi has a 24/61 approval rating in SC-1 and although voters don't like Sanford, they do like him better than Pelosi by a 53/37 margin. President Obama doesn't fare a whole lot better in the district. His approval is 39/54, and voters say they have a higher opinion of Sanford than him by a 48/44 spread.

The other key development in this race over the last two weeks is that Republicans are returning to the electorate. On our last poll, conducted right after the trespassing charges against Sanford became public, we found that the likely electorate had voted for Mitt Romney by only 5 points in a district that he actually won by 18. That suggested many Republican voters were depressed and planning to stay home. On our final poll we find an electorate that's Romney +13- that's still more Democratic than the turnout from last fall, but it's a lot better for Sanford than it was a couple weeks ago. Colbert Busch could certainly still win this race. Sanford remains unpopular and she's run a strong campaign. But we said 2 weeks ago that if Sanford was going to win he needed to shift the focus away from him and toward Barack Obama and Nancy Pelosi, and it appears he's done that effectively enough to give him the momentum headed into election day.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: colbertbusch; elizabethbusch; marksanford; ppp; sc2013; southcarolina; stephencolbert
FILL RESULTS HERE
1 posted on 05/06/2013 6:45:33 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Considering the alternative...


2 posted on 05/06/2013 6:56:53 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Is this a dem district?


3 posted on 05/06/2013 7:00:16 AM PDT by newfreep (Breitbart sent me...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: newfreep

It’s said to be a Pub district.


4 posted on 05/06/2013 7:02:22 AM PDT by Fiji Hill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek

I would be voting for our rapscallion rather than the democrap rapscallion


5 posted on 05/06/2013 7:02:32 AM PDT by dennisw (too much of a good thing is a bad thing - Joe Pine)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: newfreep

No, solid GOP, Tim Scott’s district, vacated when he was appointed to fill DeMint’s Senate seat.


6 posted on 05/06/2013 7:06:03 AM PDT by C. Edmund Wright (Tokyo Rove is more than a name, it's a GREAT WEBSITE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Sanford is a rare beast, a fink, but not a RINO.


7 posted on 05/06/2013 7:06:27 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (HRC:"Sometimes she looks like a primary schoolgirl and sometimes a pensioner going shopping,"-NKorea)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I think Sanford is a clown and an embarassment. But if he wins it’s going to be a ROTFLMAO moment.


8 posted on 05/06/2013 7:06:36 AM PDT by tanknetter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

How sad that the GOP couldn’t come up with a less embarrassing candidate.


9 posted on 05/06/2013 7:09:02 AM PDT by Sherman Logan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sherman Logan

He needs to win, then be primaried out in 2014.


10 posted on 05/06/2013 7:12:42 AM PDT by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

WIN WIN strategy for leftists. If he wins, they gloat over his situational ethics. Otherwise, he keeps conservatives home on election day, ala what Obama did. (It did not help, that Sanford got McCain’s endorsement during one of the previous election cycles.)

Strategy for the left, tragedy for the middle and right; because long ago in 1994-1995, Mark Sanford seemed to be a steady Republican.


11 posted on 05/06/2013 7:18:46 AM PDT by First_Salute (May God save our democratic-republican government, from a government by judiciary.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
If Colbert wins it will be the top news story on every network, it Sanford wins it will be a two second blurb buried between a couple large stories.
12 posted on 05/06/2013 7:19:10 AM PDT by apillar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Sivana

Better a live girl than a dead boy I guess.


13 posted on 05/06/2013 7:19:30 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: newfreep
Is this a dem district?

R+11
14 posted on 05/06/2013 7:39:05 AM PDT by jimbo123
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

Exactly. The GOP doesn’t need to commit suicide again by letting a Dem win a very Red district but this sleazy idiot needs to then be retired the next time around.


15 posted on 05/06/2013 7:39:35 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I remember four short years ago, so many of us were looking to Sanford as the next big conservative thing.... then came the Argentinian squeeze.


16 posted on 05/06/2013 7:47:23 AM PDT by ScottinVA ( Liberal is to patriotism as Kermit Gosnell is to neonatal care.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

He needs to win, then be primaried out in 2014.
****************************************************
Primaried out after what will undoubtably be a year and a half of rock-solid conservative votes and other activity in the House? I don’t think so—that’s only a dream in the hearts of RINOs and progressive democrats.


17 posted on 05/06/2013 7:52:01 AM PDT by House Atreides
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: House Atreides

I suspect he’ll be King RINO, as compromised as he is.


18 posted on 05/06/2013 7:53:08 AM PDT by dfwgator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator

I suspect he’ll be King RINO, as compromised as he is.
***********************************************************
You’d probably be wise not to bet the farm on that being the outcome.


19 posted on 05/06/2013 7:55:23 AM PDT by House Atreides
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: House Atreides

What he did was dumb but its time to move on and see what he does in the future.


20 posted on 05/06/2013 8:05:44 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek

Nothing here!!! PPP just doing CYA polling at the last minute, same as they did in Wisconsin with Scott Walker. Any Republican or Conservative that votes for Colbert-Busch is drinking or smoking funny stuff. She is as left-wing as they come and is in the pants and skirts of Obama & Pelosi!!! Sanford will win handily!!! Remember Obama & Benghazi, voters in SC-1 when you vote tomorrow!!!


21 posted on 05/06/2013 8:15:03 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
 photo ELIZABETH-COLBERT-BUSCH-mugshot-28422886400x800_zps6f1d4cf0.jpg This is the 1988 'job enhancement' mugshot of his opponent.
22 posted on 05/06/2013 8:22:18 AM PDT by RetSignman ("...a Republic if you can keep it")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: RetSignman

MUGSHOT?

That’s new to me...

What did she do?


23 posted on 05/06/2013 8:23:07 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

[What did she do?]

Contempt of Court.


24 posted on 05/06/2013 8:37:14 AM PDT by RetSignman ("...a Republic if you can keep it")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The rat is drowning! Quick, Stephen, throw her a lifeline!


25 posted on 05/06/2013 8:38:36 AM PDT by Viennacon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
 photo 29358_640678979290929_150379079_n_zps332c27ff.jpg Sound familiar? Barack Obama: "This is our time..."
26 posted on 05/06/2013 8:43:50 AM PDT by RetSignman ("...a Republic if you can keep it")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Vote for the weasel. It's important.

Better an idiot who will vote properly than a friggin Colbert of all people.

27 posted on 05/06/2013 8:47:08 AM PDT by Darren McCarty (Abortion - legalized murder for convenience)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ScottinVA
I remember four short years ago, so many of us were looking to Sanford as the next big conservative thing.... then came the Argentinian squeeze

I remember. I was hoping McCain would pick him for VP.

28 posted on 05/06/2013 8:49:40 AM PDT by Darren McCarty (Abortion - legalized murder for convenience)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: dfwgator
Primaries are a great and underused tool that need to be used more often.
29 posted on 05/06/2013 8:53:57 AM PDT by Darren McCarty (Abortion - legalized murder for convenience)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I’ll never vote for another Busch no matter how you spell it!


30 posted on 05/06/2013 9:21:18 AM PDT by PALIN SMITH (In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: PALIN SMITH

LOL -— Very nicely put!


31 posted on 05/06/2013 9:38:09 AM PDT by House Atreides
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Darren McCarty
Maybe McCain knew about Sanford's extracurricular activities...it did seem odd at the time that he wasn't a finalist for the VP slot.

Sanford's problem is one of timing. Politics is full of men who cheated on their first wife, got divorced, remarried, and were given a pass for their earlier conduct--Bob Dole for example. Sanford is just a bad-timing two-timer.

32 posted on 05/06/2013 9:40:18 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Looks like Sanford is okay as of this hour tonight per Drudge headline: http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/sanford-colbert-busch-election-results-91039.html?hp=t1_3

SANFORD [R] 54.5%
COLBERT [D] 45.0%


33 posted on 05/07/2013 5:26:05 PM PDT by Bronzy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bronzy

SANFORD WINS.

I’m not celebrating.


34 posted on 05/07/2013 8:17:12 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson