Skip to comments.Tornado Outbreak - OK, KS, NE, IA, MO, MN, WI
Posted on 05/19/2013 1:47:32 PM PDT by dirtboy
click here to read article
SPC issues products for local mets, hatching probabilities.
They fell down on Granbury... hence the casualties.
Again, the relative casualties are because the citizens were warned early in the day to make plans for shelter.
Crap. Looks like His Horses have been let loose.
Have been listening to channel (news thus far...but not getting much from Tulsa...who are you listening to now please?
STORY IA-MARSHALL IA-JASPER IA-
743 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN JASPER...
SOUTHWESTERN MARSHALL AND SOUTHEASTERN STORY COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM
AT 739 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STATE CENTER...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL
OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.
EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STATE CENTER...ST. ANTHONY...MELBOURNE...CLEMONS...HAVERHILL AND
* Tornado Warning for...
northern Okfuskee County in east central Oklahoma...
southern Creek County in northeast Oklahoma...
northwestern Okmulgee County in northeast Oklahoma...
* until 815 PM CDT
* at 743 PM CDT... a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located 2 miles north of Welty... moving northeast at 35
mph. This storm produced a tornado west of Prague and may produce
another tornado at any time.
* Some locations in or near the path of this storm include... slick
If you are near the path of this storm... take cover now! If no
underground shelter is available move to an interior room on the
lowest floor. Mobile homes and vehicles should be abandoned for more
substantial shelter. Avoid windows!
Heavy rainfall may obscure this tornado. Take cover now! If you wait
to see or hear it coming... it may be too late to get to a safe place.
Lat... Lon 3591 9619 3573 9603 3560 9644 3572 9652
time... Mot... loc 0048z 239deg 32kt 3568 9637
I am watching KTUL TV out of Tulsa. It is providing full coverage as storms move toward Tulsa area. KOTV out of Tulsa has also gone to full coverage. I get them on my cable TV.
On web, I am watching KFOR out of OKC.
..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM SWRN TX TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...
...SOUTHERN PLAINS TO MID MS VALLEY...
SECONDARY MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...ON THE ORDER OF 60KT AT 500 MB...IS EXPECTED TO EJECT ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES INTO NRN OK BY 21/00Z. WHILE LATE DAY1 CONVECTION MAY DISTURB LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SERN KS INTO MO...IT APPEARS LARGE SCALE INFLUENCE OF APPROACHING SPEED MAX SHOULD SHARPEN SYNOPTIC FRONT ACROSS OK BY PEAK HEATING. THIS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR RENEWED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE MDT RISK REGION.
THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF HAIL...MAY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ACROSS SERN KS/MO ALONG THE NOSE OF VEERED LLJ. THIS CONVECTION MAY TEMPORARILY DISPLACE THE SYNOPTIC FRONT OR PERHAPS EVEN PRODUCE OUTFLOW THAT BECOMES A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. STRONGEST BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING IS EXPECTED ACROSS WEST TX INTO SWRN OK WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES SHOULD SOAR INTO THE 90S. ALONG/NORTH OF THE MAIN MID LEVEL JET CORE MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL SUCH THAT DEEP CONVECTION WILL EASILY DEVELOP ALONG AFOREMENTIONED CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTO MO AND SHARPENING COLD FRONT/DRYLINE FARTHER WEST. IN FACT...TSTMS MAY DEVELOP BY 20-21Z ACROSS OK WHERE SBCAPE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN EXCESS OF 3000 J/KG. FORECAST DEEP LAYER SHEAR...IN EXCESS OF 50KT THROUGH 6KM...AND THE PROSPECT FOR A VERY MOIST WARM SECTOR FAVOR NUMEROUS SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...AT LEAST THROUGH MID EVENING OF THE CONVECTIVE CYCLE. VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS AND WITH TIME ONE OR MORE MCS/S SHOULD EVOLVE ALONG NOSE OF STRENGTHENING LLJ OVER OK. AMPLE MID LEVEL FLOW WILL EXTEND ALONG THE DRYLINE INTO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU OF TX SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
My cats were worthless. They were non-earthquake detectors.
KTUL is reporting that the supercell seems to be weakening slightly. Rotation seems to be lessening. Still on trajectory to pass south of Tulsa.
Sorry, penelopesire, I pinged you by mistake. Yes, peggybac I meant your page. I really messed up good (blush).
I keep my cat’s litter boxes in the basement so the pups aren’t allowed down there so they love to get down there at any chance. The younger of my 2 cats will hide but the older one will follow me if I have to seek shelter. So far, nothing major - rain, thunder and a little wind.
Looks like you will be a little better off as the storms up your way have formed a line...a little better than those single super storms. Thank goodness!
Re: cats being quake detectors.... I had a cat before Northridge hit. She jumped on our bed & rousted me out right before it hit.... I was under the doorway in a flash.
My kitty now was born n bred in Texas n I got her when she was a year n a half old.... she’s 3 now & HATES thunderstorms. She’s my watch cat ..
You are lucky! We didn’t get much here - thunder, rain and some wind. I’m almost out of the woods.
RE: Animals and weather and green skies:
The Loma Prieta 10-17-89 ED epicenter was about 10 miles from where we lived. My dogs followed me under a stout table. Our neighbor’s cat blamed the neighbor for all the shaking and gave her the “silent cat treatment” for months.
I grew up in KS. green skies usually means hail and bad winds.
In KS, when the air gets deathly still, the cattle stop lowing and milling about, birds stop singing, it’s time to head for the cellar. It’s an eerie quiet, the hairs on the back of your neck stand straight up, you know instinctively something very bad is about to happen.
I pray for everyone impacted in these storms. My parents are in their basement now. I hope they and everyone are safe.
It’s almost passed us but there is another line of storms near Manhattan that will be coming our way.
They just had an explanation of what a multi-vortex tornado is....I didn’t get it all but one who studies these says the speed in these is 315 miles and hour, that has actually been tracked and measured. BUT he believes the speed is much greater....so this is why they become so violent.
Something to do with the air not keeping up with the speed of the tornado rotation etc. so the main vortex divides itself....as this one did.
Kfor just said there are no longer any tornado warnings in their area...but possible more tomorrow as another jet stream comes in....which is apparently what forms these.