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Meteorologist Warns Of Major Tornado Outbreak Friday Night In Oklahoma
Meteorologist Aaron Tuttle ^ | 5/31/13 | Aaron Tuttle

Posted on 05/31/2013 9:14:28 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55

MAJOR TORNADO OUTBREAK IMMINENT!!! (Please Share)

I don't often get worked up over events. There are times when all of the parameters are there and very little happens, generally because the models underestimate the CAP strength which prevents thunderstorm development. You better pray they aren't estimating this one correctly because the rest of the ingredients are all there for large damaging tornadoes between the hours of 6pm and midnight across C OK.

(Excerpt) Read more at facebook.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Oklahoma
KEYWORDS: tornadoes; weather
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1 posted on 05/31/2013 9:14:28 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

BTTT


2 posted on 05/31/2013 9:14:59 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

Hope everyone stays safe tonight!

Take shelter and try not to be out during this time!


3 posted on 05/31/2013 9:15:39 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

Hunker down ya’ll!!

Prayers up.


4 posted on 05/31/2013 9:17:41 AM PDT by Gamecock ("Ultimately, Jesus died to save us from the wrath of God." —R.C. Sproul)
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To: ConservativeMan55

Hunker down ya’ll!!

Prayers up.


5 posted on 05/31/2013 9:18:15 AM PDT by Gamecock ("Ultimately, Jesus died to save us from the wrath of God." —R.C. Sproul)
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To: ConservativeMan55

Seems very hyped up for a moderate risk day. No PDS watch etc.


6 posted on 05/31/2013 9:18:22 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: ConservativeMan55

So in other words, its spring in Oklahoma.


7 posted on 05/31/2013 9:19:36 AM PDT by cripplecreek (REMEMBER THE RIVER RAISIN!)
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To: ConservativeMan55

We now know what “Aaron” says now WHAT does Gary England say. In Oklahoma Gary England is ALMOST a “god”!


8 posted on 05/31/2013 9:21:04 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: US Navy Vet

Lol


9 posted on 05/31/2013 9:24:13 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

Local sirens went off twice last evening in Siloam Springs, AR and West Siloam Springs, OK.

Tornadic activity, high winds, and substantial rain.

Numerous tornadoes formed on Oklahoma and central Arkansas yesterday.

Not looking for another evening like that, but it seems to be probable.


10 posted on 05/31/2013 9:25:43 AM PDT by TomGuy (.)
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To: ConservativeMan55
    :^(
11 posted on 05/31/2013 9:26:46 AM PDT by tomkat
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To: TomGuy

From what ive read it sounds like the Mets are more concerned about central Oklahoma tonight. Whereas last night was NE Oklahoma


12 posted on 05/31/2013 9:27:15 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

It was 80 at 6 am here in Texas and 75% humidity.
We are pumping some hot wet air up there.
Lots of it!


13 posted on 05/31/2013 9:28:47 AM PDT by mylife (Ted Cruz understands the law, and he does not fear the unlawful.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

Is this not true about Gary England?


14 posted on 05/31/2013 9:29:12 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: rwfromkansas
Seems very hyped up for a moderate risk day. No PDS watch etc.

Storm cells can pop up and turn into tornadoes in 5 minutes.

They do usually tend to develop in the afternoons and continue into the early evenings.

The massive tornado that destroyed much of Moore formed and went from F1 to F5 in about 10 minutes, per some reports.


15 posted on 05/31/2013 9:29:37 AM PDT by TomGuy (.)
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To: US Navy Vet

It is! Lol. I’m just laughing that it is true haha.


16 posted on 05/31/2013 9:29:53 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55; US Navy Vet
“talk to me Val”
17 posted on 05/31/2013 9:32:04 AM PDT by pepperdog ( I still get a thrill up my leg when spell check doesn't recognize the name/word Obama!)
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To: ConservativeMan55
Major Tornado Outbreak
Can't be official until the Weather Channel names the tornadoes and proclaims they're the result of climate change.
18 posted on 05/31/2013 9:33:28 AM PDT by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: ConservativeMan55

It depends on which direction they go.

Initially, last evening, the ‘big cell’ moving east of us was on a northeasterly path and looked like it was going to miss us completely. Then, about 20 miles away us, it turned right [east] and headed straight for us.


19 posted on 05/31/2013 9:34:57 AM PDT by TomGuy (.)
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To: ConservativeMan55

I wish we here in the Omaha/W Iowa had a “Gary England” type Weather Guy. We are STUCK w/ 25 YO PUNKS and Weather Channel Firelings(Cheryl Lemke)! They got rid of THE ONLY Weather Guy that was worth a SH!T(Jim Flowers/Ch 6).


20 posted on 05/31/2013 9:36:21 AM PDT by US Navy Vet (Go Packers! Go Rockies! Go Boston Bruins! See, I'm "Diverse"!)
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To: ConservativeMan55

I don’t miss tornado season in Georgia , but I am not looking forward to the hurricane season.


21 posted on 05/31/2013 9:36:50 AM PDT by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to thoe tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
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To: pepperdog

Lol


22 posted on 05/31/2013 9:38:00 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: TomGuy

I watched that torpedo live from a cloud to a torpedo to it’s complete destruction...ghastly stuff


23 posted on 05/31/2013 9:40:52 AM PDT by advertising guy (golf in june in Phoenix ? it's so dry, our gators use Gold Bond)
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To: advertising guy

bttt


24 posted on 05/31/2013 9:42:19 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: cripplecreek

Yup, we had a tornado touch down here in Broken Arrow OK last night. Oklahoma tornadoes in the late spring is much like springtime shootings in Chicago. Hey, it’s tradition.


25 posted on 05/31/2013 9:42:26 AM PDT by A_Tradition_Continues (formerly known as Politicalwit ...05/28/98 Class of '98)
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To: ConservativeMan55

From the SPC in Norman, OK:

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT FRI MAY 31 2013

VALID 311630Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL OK...SERN KS...AND SWRN MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT PLAINS
INTO UPPER MIDWEST...

...REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN OK...SOUTHEAST KS...AND SOUTHWEST MO. VERY LARGE
HAIL...WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES/VIOLENT ARE POSSIBLE...

...OK/KS/MO...
ANOTHER VERY VOLATILE ENVIRONMENT IS IN PLACE ACROSS PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY TODAY. WIDESPREAD VERY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S ARE
RESULTING IN THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 4000
J/KG. THIS AIR MASS IS CURRENTLY CAPPED...AND THE CAP SHOULD
RESTRAIN DEEP CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ALLOWING STRONG
HEATING.

BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY OVER THE TX PANHANDLE...ALONG WITH A SECOND AND STRONGER
TROUGH OVER CO...WILL APPROACH THE REGION. THIS WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN
THE CAP AND ALLOW EXPLOSIVE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
DRYLINE OVER WEST-CENTRAL OK...AND ALONG THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING
FROM CENTRAL OK INTO SOUTHWEST MO. DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR
VALUES ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES. SHEAR VECTORS PERPENDICULAR
TO THE N-S DRYLINE OVER CENTRAL OK WILL FAVOR DISCRETE STORM
STRUCTURES. ALL 12Z MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES RAPID INTENSIFICATION
OF THE LOW LEVEL JET OVER CENTRAL OK BY EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES. GIVEN THESE PARAMETERS...IT APPEARS THE THREAT OF A FEW
STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES ARE IN PLACE. HAVE INCREASED SEVERE
PROBABILITIES OVER THIS REGION...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK
WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR AN UPGRADE TO HIGH RISK AT 20Z IF
SHORTER-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THIS SCENARIO.

DURING THE EVENING...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL
INTO A FAST-MOVING MCS THAT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST OK
INTO SOUTHWEST KS. HIGH CAPE VALUES AND AN INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET
WILL PROMOTE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE...ALONG WITH
LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

...IA/MN/WI...
AN UPPER LOW IS PRESENT THIS MORNING OVER WESTERN SD...WITH MULTIPLE
SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING NORTHWARD ACROSS IA/MN. STRONG DAYTIME
HEATING IS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS OVER PARTS OF
MN/WI/IA WHERE MODERATE AFTERNOON CAPE IS EXPECTED. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM BY MID AFTERNOON OVER MN/IA AND
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE SUPERCELLULAR
WITH A RISK OF HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS OR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

...IL/IND...
AN ONGOING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE STL AREA MAY RE-INTENSIFY
THIS AFTERNOON AS IT TRACKS INTO AN INCREASINGLY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR
MASS OVER IL/IND. IF THIS OCCURS...LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE.


26 posted on 05/31/2013 9:44:09 AM PDT by halo66
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To: ConservativeMan55

BTT. I had a meteorologist friend in the Navy who was clamoring to move to the midwest after he got out, and I was wondering why, because he’d never lived there in his life. “It’s where it’s interesting,” he told me. Yeah. Sometimes interesting isn’t good.


27 posted on 05/31/2013 9:44:14 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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28 posted on 05/31/2013 9:44:57 AM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: oh8eleven

As some politician talks about introduction a law that would prevent tornadoes from killing people. Mayne making them get liability insurance before they form too.


29 posted on 05/31/2013 9:46:13 AM PDT by matt04
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To: rwfromkansas

Note the statement in the latest outlook from the SPC in Norman, OK:

...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN OK
WILL BE CONSIDERED FOR AN UPGRADE TO HIGH RISK AT 20Z IF
SHORTER-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS MAINTAIN THIS SCENARIO.

I would imagine when Tornado Watches are issued today in Oklahoma, you will see a PDS version...


30 posted on 05/31/2013 9:46:34 AM PDT by halo66
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To: matt04

bump!


31 posted on 05/31/2013 9:46:48 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

We live 20 miles south of Moore, Oklahoma. The shelter is stocked and the bugout bag is packed. If the house is not damaged, but the power goes out, the generator is good to go and I bought plenty of fuel yesterday.


32 posted on 05/31/2013 9:52:33 AM PDT by SVTCobra03 (You can never have enough friends, horsepower or ammunition.)
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To: cripplecreek
So in other words, its spring in Oklahoma.

Indeed.

You know things are going to get interesting when the sky turns green...

33 posted on 05/31/2013 9:54:20 AM PDT by aragorn (We do indeed live in interesting times. FUBO.)
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To: aragorn

BTTT


34 posted on 05/31/2013 9:55:16 AM PDT by ConservativeMan55
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To: ConservativeMan55

Weather people have really become hysterical over the years. Weather happens, sometimes ugly and with death. Now these media clowns use such events to gin up a scare and boost their ratings. Every time there’s an earthquake they’re on to the tsunami warnings now also, most certainly rooting for another (once in a lifetime) big one.

In the end it’s just tornado season this year, like every other year.


35 posted on 05/31/2013 9:58:39 AM PDT by wrencher
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To: wrencher
So true. The weather talking heads need to make each event "the worst ever" or you won't watch them otherwise.

Down in Altus, where I graduated from high school too many years ago, this time of the year was when you got to socialize with your neighbors in the fraidy hole. A really good neighbor would bring a bottle of Jack with him.

36 posted on 05/31/2013 10:10:19 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: wrencher

Tornado season is the weatherman’s Viagra.


37 posted on 05/31/2013 10:11:13 AM PDT by Old Yeller
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To: Old Yeller

I’m sure Obama will be praying for his homies in Monroe, OK...


38 posted on 05/31/2013 10:13:58 AM PDT by DJ Frisat ((optional, printed after my name on post))
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To: rwfromkansas

I don’t think the watch on the Moore tornado day was a PDS.


39 posted on 05/31/2013 10:15:21 AM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
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To: wrencher

What an idiotic statement. In 2012 natural disasters cost this nation over 160 billion dollars and claimed tens of thousands of lives globally. The single most important thing a person can do to protect lives and property is to BE PREPARED. Warning people of impending or potential danger isn’t hysteria or hype, it is fundamental to disaster preparation.


40 posted on 05/31/2013 10:16:15 AM PDT by stormer
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To: ConservativeMan55
The chance is there. I would simply pay attention to the weather.


41 posted on 05/31/2013 10:16:26 AM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: advertising guy

“I watched that torpedo”

Was it a Bangalore Torpedo?

(Fifties war movie tidbit.)


42 posted on 05/31/2013 10:17:53 AM PDT by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra ( Ya can't pick up a turd by the clean end!)
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To: ConservativeMan55

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html


43 posted on 05/31/2013 10:19:11 AM PDT by Sequoyah101
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To: stormer

If the media cries wolf too often, they will be ignored. Hyping storms to get ratings and viewers ultimately increases the risk of people not paying attention when they need to. I will admit that it is a fine line.

A side note.
We now have storm chaser Facebook groupies now. While the photos and videos they provide are fascinating, the groupies are flocking to the storm chasers thinking that they have superior knowledge over the NWS and meteorologists.


44 posted on 05/31/2013 10:24:38 AM PDT by listenhillary (Courts, law enforcement, roads and national defense should be the extent of government)
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To: ConservativeMan55

just a coinky dink this is when the asteroid passes us

maybe we get some earthshakes along with tornadoes?


45 posted on 05/31/2013 10:28:42 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age Takes a Toll: Please Have Exact Change)
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To: Dr. Bogus Pachysandra

more like a bangaMoore type

lol


46 posted on 05/31/2013 10:28:53 AM PDT by advertising guy (golf in june in Phoenix ? it's so dry, our gators use Gold Bond)
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To: SVTCobra03

What do you “fuel” with ?


47 posted on 05/31/2013 10:37:18 AM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (NRA Life Member)
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To: ConservativeMan55

Book mark for validation.


48 posted on 05/31/2013 10:39:06 AM PDT by Safetgiver ( Islam makes barbarism look genteel.)
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To: Billthedrill
BTT. I had a meteorologist friend in the Navy who was clamoring to move to the midwest after he got out, and I was wondering why, because he’d never lived there in his life. “It’s where it’s interesting,” he told me. Yeah. Sometimes interesting isn’t good.

In the National Weather Service midwest postings are highly prized.

One of the least popular postings is Elko, Nevada.

49 posted on 05/31/2013 10:40:31 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: rwfromkansas
Seems very hyped up for a moderate risk day.

SPC is considering at high risk at 3PM CDT.

50 posted on 05/31/2013 10:41:30 AM PDT by Strategerist
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