Skip to comments.2014 Gubernatorial Races: An Early Take - Part 5 [Minnesota, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio]
Posted on 06/16/2013 7:49:50 AM PDT by justiceseeker93
If ever there was a region where incumbent Republican governors can experience the great GOP gubernatorial apocalypse, it is the upper Midwest. Three of the races involve Republican incumbents who rode the Republican wave of 2010 into office. They are Rick Snyder in Michigan, John Kasich in Ohio and Scott Walker in Wisconsin. That potential loss of three Governors offices may be mitigated by a Pat Quinn Democratic loss in Illinois. The problem is that Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin are less red than Illinois is certainly blue.
(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...
It's one of an eight part series on the 2014 governor races by the same author on Red State. Each part covers a different region of the country.
I hope this author is aware that massive Democrat election fraud and cheating is something that has to counteracted in at least some of these states. Along those lines, and looking ahead to the 2016 presidential elections, it's of critical importance that the GOP win (or retain) as many Secretary of State positions as possible as one weapon against fraud and cheating.
The DNC/OFA has built a massive data complex using personal info on ALL citizens. How do Repubs overcome this?
The Dems do not have to run against the stigma of a recall election in Wisconsin this time. And they will not run a lightweight like Tom Barrett again. The election of 2014 is going to be a tight wire, closer than the 2010 or 2012 recall elections were.
I live in the People's Socialist Hell-Hole named Illinois. Not sure where Red State got their approval numbers for Quinn, but the polls I've seen have Quinn under 20% approval.
In fact, once Lisa Madigan gets in the race (as I think she will) Quinn's toast from the Democrat side. Lisa's daddy Mike Madigan (Speaker of the Illinois House) has had an iron fist grip on Illinois politics for the last 30+ years now. If Daddy's Girl Lisa runs - she wins. Period. It'll be a pure machine politics win, the votes in this state won't matter.
Bill Daley (brother of former mayor Richard Daley) has tossed his hat in the ring, but has also telegraphed that if Lisa Madigan gets in, he's bowing out. If Madigan stays out of the race, Bill Daley will be the de facto Democrat Candidate.
While there may be other Democrat candidates, I don't see them as "serious" candidates by any stretch, whether Lisa Madigan gets in the race or not. Either Madigan or Daley can easily bump that milquetoast piece of crap Quinn off the ticket. Plenty of people in this state (Democrat and Republican alike) are still MAD AS HELL at Quinn's doubling the State Income Tax and the runaway property taxes here in Illinois. No way Quinn survives on the Democrat side.
On the Republican Side - frankly it doesn't matter who runs. The next Governor of this state will either be Daddy's Girl Lisa Madigan, or Bill Daley.
But what the heck, here's who the two announced, top candidates are on the Republican (read that RINO) side.
First is State Treasurer Dan Rutherford. Rutherford is part of the GOP-E machine here in Illinois. His views on abortion and gun control are not well known to the public. According to a published but not widely seen interview with NBC-5 in Chicago Rutherford says he supports Conceal-Carry in Illinois and is as "pro-life as they come."
On other social issues such as "gay marriage" Rutherford says the following: "We as Republicans should not allow the social issues to define a good Republican from a bad Republican, I mean it. There are a lot of good Republicans that aren't pro-life. There are a lot of good Republicans that don't support the idea of conceal carry. You know what? That doesn't make 'em a bad Republican.
That immediately takes Rutherford out of consideration in my view, no way I can vote for the guy. While it's true there are many so-called Republican's in this state that don't support the Pro-Life movement or support Conceal-Carry, we out here in the grass-roots call them DEMOCRATS. That's what they should change their party to!
Then there's businessman Bruce Rauner. Rauner is thus far focusing his campaign on how bad Illinois' finances are, driving the need to reform the bankrupt pension system in this state, and improve the business climate which is driving small to medium sized business' out of the state. Other businesses such as Caterpillar, Motorola and others have announced shut-downs in Illinois or moving expanded manufacturing facilities (Caterpillar) out of state rather than adding capacity in Illinois.
Rauner's positions on social issues (abortion, gun control, "gay marriage") haven't been well defined or documented that I can find, putting Rauner in the "need more information" category.
If there are any other serious Republican contenders in Illinois, I don't know them. There's been some speculation that Judy Baar-Topinka (state Comptroller) may run, I don't view her as a serious candidate. She's run before against Blagojevich (now in Federal Prison in Colorado) and lost handily.
Likewise Kirk Dillard came in second in the Republican Governor's primary back in 2012 in a hard fought battle, problem with Dillard is he won't way that he will not raise taxes. To me, that puts him in the "HELL NO!" category.
In Summary: In this complete HELL-HOLE called Illinois, it doesn't matter who runs on the Republican side in the upcoming Gubernatorial race. The next Democrat Gubernatorial Primary winner will be the next Governor.
God help us all.
Why has Illinois turned from a swing state into such an overwhelming 'Rat state in last few decades?
Illinois is a red state, except for Cook Co. and a small area in southern Illinois. The rest of the state can’t out vote Chicago area. I heard a couple of politicians from downstate were going to introduce a bill to make Chicago area its own state. I’d love that!!
See post #8. Chitcago as a 'sanctuary city' attracting illegal criminal aliens, plus being the home of all the government cheese eating welfare rats means that this core Democrat constituency far outnumbers the rest of the state, meaning "as Chitcago goes, so goes the state."
Illinois outside of Chitgago, Champaign and East St. Louis is a predominantly red state. If we could just get rid of those three cancers this state would be much better off.
I live near Chicago. Who do you think will win the IL GOP governor primary? I think that Treasurer Rutherford will win, since he’s held a statewide office, like Jim Edgar & George Ryan.
The WI democrats did not nominate anyone at their convention to run against walker because feingold and kind refused to run. Tom Barret would be considered a super heavy weight compared to the garbage they’ll run.
The dems here in WI will be lucky to lose by the margain of the last two attempts against walker
Thumbnail sketch of state of 2014 Midwestern Gubenatorial races
FReep mail me if you want on, or off, this Wisconsin interest ping list.
I don't think it matters who wins the IL Republican Primary.
IMO, for any Republican to have an ice cube's chance in hell at winning the Gubernatorial race, it has to be backlash against either the Madigan machine or the Daley machine.
Part of me thinks that most folks in this state would be adamantly against a Madigan in the Governor's mansion that's a puppet for big daddy Mike in the State house, but you know as well as I do people in this state are just dumb as hell ........
Good overall take. Thanks for the ping.
It will be interesting to see how the Detroit bankruptcy and the impact of Obamacare on unions will play in MI. Snyder has next to nothing to do with those two developments.
I wouldn’t put it past Democrats/unions to gin up unrest in urban areas which would require a response by Snyder. Then they could nail Snyder for being anti-union or racist.
Cook County is red, bright commie Marxist-Obamaist red. Like the flag of Red China. But we wouldn’t want to associate democrats with the color of socialism so it’s great our side is playing along with a blog called “Red State”.
That puke election thief Quinn is super duper unpopular which is why he probably won’t be renominated.
If her royal highness Lisa Madigan (who is inexplicably super popular) runs we probably have no chance.
If she’s not interested in primaring Quinn, Bill Daley is. Vomit.
The jerkass in MN isn’t popular either but he leads his nobody opponents.
So does that freak, Franken.
Has anyone even announced against Frakenberry?
Jeff Johnson, one of the 2 announced candidates against Dayton may not be much but at least he’s won elective office.
That state needs some recruitment, badly.
I’d also love to see Chip Craavak rematch Nolan.
“Jeff Johnson—the name you know.”
I was waiting for you to mention that. :-P
Craavak should have a rematch with Nolan, whose only purpose seems to be to jack up his own pay as much as possible.