Skip to comments.Obama Thwarted: 'No Indication' He Will Win Back House (GOP stands at +5 for 2014 House Midterms)
Posted on 06/18/2013 6:01:26 PM PDT by drewh
President Obama's nonstop fundraising for congressional Democrats is building a huge campaign war chest for next fall, but there is little hope that his party will win back control of the House and make Rep. Nancy Pelosi speaker again, according to an exhaustive new analysis.
But the report from the University of Virginia's Center for Politics also shows that Obama may suffer the fewest losses of House seats for a second-term president since Ronald Reagan in 1986, itself a big victory.
"While it would be foolish to rule out any outcome, there is no indication at this point that the Republican House majority is in jeopardy," said Kyle Kondik, the House analyst on Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball team.
His report suggest that the Republicans will boost their numbers by five seats in 2014. The average loss by the president's party in the sixth year of an administration since 1946 is 21 seats. Dwight D. Eisenhower lost a high of 48 in 1958, Reagan lost five in 1986, and Bill Clinton picked up 5 in 1998.
Sign Up for the Paul Bedard newsletter! Please enter your email address below to begin receiving the Paul Bedard newsletter. You must enter a valid email address in the field above! . The reasons for so little change, Kondik said, is that there are few vulnerable seats on either side and the the national political climate is "pretty neutral." He did warn, however, that if the scandals rocking the White House get worse, the Democrats could suffer bigger losses.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Obama ain’t Bill Clinton.
Hell yeah! And a more conservative House too. It’s time to clear out some of the detritus.
The House in 2014 was always a pipe dream for the Dems. The senate is the thing to be fought over.
ONly thing that will clean that house is lysol and an enema!
where have we heard that before? Rove?
America cannot afford for Nancy Pelosi to be speaker again.
The communists now own the elections. They run the polls and they count the votes. 2014 is going to be big for them. They’re not worried. Just do the same things they did in 2012.
If there were even a shred of integrity left in the United States, the only ‘indication’ would be impeachment.
Although, let’s face it, he should never have been allowed to run for office in the first place, as he clearly does NOT fulfill the constitutional requirements.
The only reason we would not gain too many more is that the GOP majority is pretty strong already, which doesn’t leave a lot of room to increase numbers.
If the Republicans play things right with the scandals, Obamacare implementation, the economy, and everything else that leaves Obama vulnerable, they could win the House and the Senate...oops! It’s the Republicans we’re talking about. WE’RE SCREWED!
We need to fight for both of them. I dont trust Obama at all. If there is a major economic downturn before the midterms and people “need” assistance then we may be looking at a different ballgame. IF Obama got the house and kept the Senate, I could see him in a third term. We need to own this one. No weak candidates. Full support on our side.
FU JugEared mutant
I never ever want to see Nancy Pelosi in the Speakers Chair again, but By God I do not want to see Boehner there either.
If brains were dynamite neither would have enough to blow their noses.
If Republicans voted conservative, I would be heartened by this news.
Obama is not on the ticket. The low-fo voters will be occupied with the latest reality tv program. I’m thinking it will be another 2010. Here’s hoping!
We need to be playing our A-game to find competent conservatives who can debate. Landreaiu has proven herself an intellectual midget. She’s a prime target.
Nor can America afford to have John Boehner as the Speaker. He is an unmitigated disaster.
Evidence is all around me here in Texas that Tea Party Patriots are energized and ready to take America back. With Godly people such as Governor Sarah Palin, Senator Ted Cruz and Congressman Louis Gohmert ready for a fight, genuine Conservative values will triumph in 2014 and in 2016.
I don’t know if 2/3 conservative majority control in each House is possible after 2014 elections. But do patriots understand that if conservatives had that much control in both Houses that conservatives would have constitutional authority under the Constitution’s Clause 2 of Section 7 of Article I to override presidential vetoes? If conservatives had such control of Congress then Obama would practically be a lame duck president for his last two years in office, a lame duck president arguably being what the Founding States had intended by design for all presidents.
The vanishing point in that picture is where?????
and worse is that what has been thought cannot be un-thought
The Republicans won in a record landslide that left them in control of the House and 30 state houses and legislatures.
The GOP-e, then showed how much they relished that vote by convincing their friends on the RNC to fire the chairman.
They then subsequently lost again to Obama, didn't win the Senate, and almost lost the House.
If we have to go into the 2014 election with the current RNC leadership, we may very well lose it!
"Nanner, manner, boo-boo"
Believe it or not, the GOP could actually pick up a House seat In Minnesota of all places.
Collin Peterson is the ranking minority member of the Ag Committee (also a former chair when the Dems controlled the House) and a member of the House since 1990. There has been talk of him retiring in 2014.
His district has a fairly good GOP lean to it - although Dems can do well because of a fairly large number of farmers who buy into the old Grange/Farmer Labor/Non-Partisan League crap.
The district voted in favor of a gay marriage ban and for voter ID in the 2012 elections. it has a socially conservative bent to it. Mitt Romney won the district in 2012 as well.
For those of you geographically inclined, here’s a map of the district:
Michael Steel was an idiot and had very little to do with the rise of the tea parties which brought the victories of 2010.
Two weeks after he spoke at our county dinner, he said white Republicans were scared of him. I had a picture of him with my wife and I on my refrigerator demonstrating how scared we were.
As the Republican chairman the least he could have done was raise Republican’s image with Blacks and instead he crapped on it.
Republicans have a lot of faults but don’t hold Steele up as a blameless sacrificial lamb he was an immense incompetent.
Pass amnesty and the Democrats will win the House by 40-plus votes.
“I never ever want to see Nancy Pelosi in the Speakers Chair again, but By God I do not want to see Boehner there either.”
Personally, I’d like to see both of them in pine box! Due to natural causes of course.
” Obama would practically be a lame duck president for his last two years in office,”
Which would mean that he and his pet monkey would try to bankrupt the country with their vacations.
Given that Congress has the constitutional power of the purse, a conservative supermajority in Congress could override Obama’s vetoes, grounding Obama while they impeach him.
I don't have to defend anything he did to note this ~ while he was RNC chairman we had the greatest victory in 70 years. Since he's been gone we've lost with another GOP-e candidate, and our Congressional victories have not been nearly as magniicent.
So, just maybe, whatever Mike didn't do is the thing the RNC chairman ought to be not doing.
Just before the election we were told by pollsters Obama was losing. When we’re told Obama won’t have a majority after mid-terms, I don’t trust that info.
Personally, I remember that most polls were heavily over-sampling Dems, & as a result we didn’t believe them. It turned out that they were correct - they knew they’d be able to pull all the blacks & low-fo voters to elect the cool guy. Well, the cool guy wasn’t on the ballot in 2010 & all those new voters didn’t turn out. They won’t turn out in 2014 either, most likely. We ought to be able to make some headway in both the House & Senate if we can come up with some decent candidates.